Early signs of tinsel raise ho-ho-hopes of a rally

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 27 : 13-Dec-18

Australia’s benchmark index posted its second-largest one-day gain for 2018 on 12 December, while some key Asian markets also rallied amid signs of a thawing of relations between the US and China. Meanwhile, the S&P/ASX 200’s forward price-earnings ratio fell below its long-term average of about 14 times on 10 December and the index’s estimated dividend yield reached a two-year high of 5.2 per cent. It should also be noted that over the last two decades, the S&P/ASX 200 has gained an average of two per cent during the last two weeks of a calendar year.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, HANG SENG INDEX, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, KOSPI INDEX, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES COMPANY LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Sharemarket in $30bn surge after thaw in US-China trade war

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 17 & 28 : 4-Dec-18

Materials and energy stocks posted the strongest gains on 3 December, with the Australian sharemarket rebounding from a big fall in the previous trading session. Investors responded positively to trade discussions between the US and China at the G20 meeting, as well as claims by President Donald Trump that China has agreed to remove tariffs on US cars. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar peaked at a four-month high of $US0.7384 in local trading.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, GROUP OF TWENTY (G-20), ROYAL BANK OF CANADA, BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, SOUTH32 LIMITED – ASX S32, OZ MINERALS LIMITED – ASX OZL, BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED – ASX BSL, BORAL LIMITED – ASX BLD, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, BEACH ENERGY LIMITED – ASX BPT, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX, HANG SENG INDEX, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, KOSPI INDEX, FTSE 100 INDEX

Battered bourse ready for a recovery

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 29 : 16-Nov-18

The S&P/ASX 200 reached an intra-day low of 5,686.8 points on 15 November, before recovering to post a modest gain for the session. The recent sell-off means that with some exceptions, the Australian sharemarket now offers quite good value. The market’s forward price-earnings ratio is now slightly above its long-term average, while the dividend yield of five per cent is at its highest level in almost three years. Meanwhile, the benchmark index has recorded an average gain of 2.1 per cent in December over the last five years.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED

Blue-chip beating adds to rout

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 17 & 27 : 15-Nov-18

The Australian sharemarket has now shed more than 10 per cent since it peaked at a 10-year high in August. The 3.5 per cent decline in the last two trading sessions followed a rebound in recent weeks, after the local market fell 6.1 per cent in October. Blue-chip stocks in particular have been heavily sold down, and traders suggest that offshore selling has been a major driver of the pullback. Richard Coppleson of Bell Potter says this could potentially result in a rebound in the next week or so.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, SOUTH32 LIMITED – ASX S32, CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, COCHLEAR LIMITED – ASX COH, SEVEN WEST MEDIA LIMITED – ASX SWM, NINE ENTERTAINMENT COMPANY HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX NEC, PACT GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX PGH, RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED – ASX RHC, BINGO INDUSTRIES LIMITED – ASX BIN, AUSNET SERVICES LIMITED – ASX AST, COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED – ASX CPU, MEDIBANK PRIVATE LIMITED – ASX MPL, SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX, HANG SENG INDEX, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, KOSPI INDEX, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, ORGANISATION OF PETROLEUM EXPORTING COUNTRIES, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED

Fund managers count the cost of Red October meltdown

Original article by Melissa Yeo
The Australian – Page: 28 : 14-Nov-18

Platinum Investment Management CEO Andrew Clifford notes that October 2018 was the most challenging month for global markets since February 2009. The Australian sharemarket lost 5.4 per cent during October, extending its losses since an August peak to more than 10 per cent. The Platinum Global Fund and Monash Capital’s Absolute Investment Fund posted losses of 5.9 per cent and 5.69 per cent respectively, although hedge fund VGI Partners posted a modest gain of 0.8 per cent.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, PLATINUM INVESTMENT HOLDING PTE LTD, PLATINUM GLOBAL FUND, MONASH CAPITAL PTY LTD, MONASH ABSOLUTE INVESTMENT FUND, VGI PARTNERS PTY LTD, GRYPHON CAPITAL INCOME TRUST – ASX GCI, L1 LONG SHORT FUND LIMITED – ASX LSF, OPHIR ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, CONTANGO INCOME GENERATOR LIMITED – ASX CIE, K2 GLOBAL EQUITIES FUND, WCM GLOBAL GROWTH LIMITED – ASX WQG, CARSALES.COM LIMITED – ASX CAR, VIVA ENERGY GROUP LIMITED – ASX VEA, THE STAR ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED – ASX SGR, GWA GROUP LIMITED – ASX GWA, PERPETUAL LIMITED – ASX PPT, VIRTUS HEALTH LIMITED – ASX VRT, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, CORPORATE TRAVEL MANAGEMENT LIMITED – ASX CTD, BLOOMBERG LP, MSCI WORLD INDEX

Local rally defies Wall Street blues to signal correction may be over

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 28 : 31-Oct-18

The Australian sharemarket has posted strong gains in the last two trading sessions, reducing its loss for the month to 6.5 per cent. The local bourse has recovered from its recent 18-month low of 5,624 points, having peaked at 6,373 points in late August. Meanwhile, Tony Brennan of Citigroup notes that growth stocks were the biggest underperformers in the Australian market’s recent sell-off, although he adds that these stocks’ price-earnings multiples remain high.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE INDEX, MSCI WORLD INDEX, MSCI EMERGING MARKETS INDEX

Super hit in $50bn plunge

Original article by David Rogers, James Kirby
The Australian – Page: 1 & 2 : 26-Oct-18

The S&P/ASX 200 has shed almost seven per cent so far in 2018, including a fall of 10.8 per cent since August. The big sell-down on 25 October will impact on superannuation funds’ returns, with balanced funds having lost about 2.5 per cent so far in 2018-19. SuperRatings MD Jeff Bresnahan says most super fund members who have chosen the balanced option can expect the value of their super to fall by around four per cent in response to the sell-off.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, SUPERRATINGS PTY LTD, DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE INDEX, NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, NETFLIX INCORPORATED, FACEBOOK INCORPORATED, ALPHABET INCORPORATED, GOOGLE INCORPORATED, XERO LIMITED – ASX XRO, AFTERPAY TOUCH GROUP LIMITED – ASX APT, WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED – ASX WTC, AUSTRALIA. FUTURE FUND MANAGEMENT AGENCY, CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

Tech, financials in sea of red as world awaits US earnings

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 17 & 28 : 16-Oct-18

Bearish investor sentiment again weighed on Asian sharemarkets on 15 October, which followed the Australian bourse further into negative territory. Richard Coppleson of Bell Potter expects global markets to follow the historical trend for October, whereby sharp sell-offs are usually followed by a strong recovery in the final months of the year. However, he adds that the Australian sharemarket is unlikely to rebound strongly until there is evidence that Wall Street’s latest sell-off was merely a correction.

CORPORATES
BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, HANG SENG INDEX, SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, JANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLC – ASX JHG, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, JP MORGAN AND COMPANY INCORPORATED

Investors brace for another volatile week

Original article by Perry Williams
The Australian – Page: 19 : 15-Oct-18

Futures pricing suggests that Australian equities will fall when the local sharemarket opens on 15 October. The S&P/ASX 200 shed 4.7 per cent in the previous week, despite a modest gain on 12 October, and Shane Oliver of AMP Capital says there is a high risk of a further correction in the short-term. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also clawed back some of its losses on 12 October, after shedding 1,300 points in the previous two trading sessions.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE INDEX, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, TD SECURITIES, FARR, MILLER AND WASHINGTON LLC

6000-point level the next test of new down leg

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 28 : 9-Oct-18

The Australian sharemarket’s 1.4 per cent fall on 8 October was its largest single-day loss since late March, with blue-chip stocks in particular retreating. The bearish investor sentiment also weighed on the Australian dollar, which fell to its lowest level in 2.5 years in local trading. Charting suggests that the S&P/ASX 200 could fall below 6,000 points in coming days, although the earnings outlook means it would be unlikely to remain below this level for very long.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED – ASX ALL, TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED – ASX TWE, NORSK HYDRO AS, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, COCHLEAR LIMITED – ASX COH, RESMED INCORPORATED – ASX RMD, INVOCARE LIMITED – ASX IVC, NUFARM LIMITED – ASX NUF, ANSELL LIMITED – ASX ANN, GOLDMAN SACHS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, PEOPLE’S BANK OF CHINA