STOCK PRICE INDEXES – AUSTRALIA

Small-cap party could end in tears when the next crash comes

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Original article by Philip Baker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 26 : 20-Oct-16

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained almost 944 per cent since the Black Monday sharemarket crash of October 1987, while the S&P 500 has risen by 854 per cent. In contrast, Australia’s All Ordinaries Index has increased by nearly 245 per cent. However, analysis by Richard Coppleson of Bell Potter suggests that when dividends are taken into account the All Ordinaries Accumulation Index has only slightly underperformed the S&P 500. Meanwhile, Coppleson warns that the current rally in small-cap stocks is unsustainable and a major fallout is inevitable.

CORPORATES
DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX ALL ORDINARIES INDEX, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

AFIC warns on bank dividends

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Original article by Simon Evans
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 25 : 18-Oct-16

Australian Foundation Investment Company MD Ross Barker expects the S&P/ASX 200 to be trading at around its current level in 12 months’ time. However, he expects the 50 largest stocks to outperform small- and medium-capitalisation stocks over the next year. Barker does not anticipate any further easing of monetary policy and says there is potential for a rise in the cash rate before the end of 2017. He adds that the major banks may not be able to sustain their dividend payouts, while large miners could potentially increase their dividends in the next few years.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN FOUNDATION INVESTMENT COMPANY LIMITED – ASX AFI, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED – ASX TCL, SYDNEY AIRPORT – ASX SYD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW

ASX to hit 6000 in ’17, says Credit Suisse

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 25 : 18-Oct-16

Hasan Tevfik of Credit Suisse believes that the Australian sharemarket’s "profits recession" of the last several years has ended, which will be reflected in the market’s outlook. Credit Suisse expects the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 to reach the 6,000-point level by the end of 2017, buoyed by single-digit growth in earnings per share over the next year. Meanwhile, Matthew Sherwood of Perpetual is upbeat about the outlook for the economy, forecasting a rise in GDP growth over the next 12 months.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, PERPETUAL LIMITED – ASX PPT, ANSELL LIMITED – ASX ANN, BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED – ASX BSL, CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX CTX, COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED – ASX CPU, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, LEND LEASE GROUP LIMITED – ASX LLC, MAQUILADORA PARTNERSHIP, MYER HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX MYR

OPEC deal sparks energy stocks rally

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Original article by Jessica Sier, Jens Meyer
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 30 : 30-Sep-16

The S&P/ASX 200 index rose one per cent to 5,471.3 points on 29 September 2016. Energy stocks performed strongly following a decision of OPEC members to reduce production in the coming months. The energy sector closed 6.3 per cent higher, with Beach Energy gaining 10 per cent and Santos, Origin and Woodside all climbing more than seven per cent.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, ORGANISATION OF PETROLEUM EXPORTING COUNTRIES, BEACH ENERGY LIMITED – ASX BPT, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, LYNAS CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX LYC, SPARK INFRASTRUCTURE GROUP – ASX SKI, MIGME LIMITED – ASX MIG, SOSV, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Investors warned not to expect smooth ride

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 23-Sep-16

Australian equity strategists are cautious about the near-term outlook for the domestic bourse, with most still expecting the S&P/ASX 200 to be trading at around the 5,500-point level at the end of 2016. Meanwhile, Tony Brennan of Citigroup forecasts that the benchmark index will top 5,750 points by mid-2017. With the US Federal Reserve opting to leave interest rates on hold in September, David Cassidy of UBS says the presidential election could influence the timing of the next interest rate move.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, BANK OF JAPAN

Two-thirds of funds beaten by the index

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 : 20-Sep-16

Data from Morningstar shows that 36.25 per cent of Australia’s actively-managed large-capitalisation funds matched or exceeded the return from the S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index in the year to 31 August 2016. This compares with 37.16 per cent over a three-year period, and 35.9 per cent over five years. In contrast, the five-year performance of US actively managed large-cap equity funds against the S&P 500 was just 9.5 per cent. Julian Beaumont of Bennelong Australian Equity Partners notes that Australia’s large-cap funds are more likely to engage in so-called index hugging.

CORPORATES
MORNINGSTAR PTY LTD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 ACCUMULATION INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, BENNELONG AUSTRALIAN EQUITY PARTNERS PTY LTD, STATE STREET GLOBAL ADVISORS LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX SMALL ORDINARIES ACCUMULATION INDEX, RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED – ASX RHC, PRIMARY HEALTH CARE LIMITED – ASX PRY, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA

Correction fears as bears claw back hopes of rally

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Original article by Chris Kohler, Daniel Palmer
The Australian – Page: 19 & 28 : 14-Sep-16

The Australian sharemarket posted further losses on 13 September 2016, after initially rebounding from the sharp fall in the previous trading session. However, US markets rallied after Federal Reserve official Lael Brainard said the central bank should adopt a cautious approach to tightening monetary policy. The Australian market has shed about six per cent in the last three weeks, and Lucinda Chan of Macquarie Private Wealth says further profit-taking is likely.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, MACQUARIE PRIVATE WEALTH MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, MYER HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX MYR, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA

Central bank fears spook markets

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Original article by Jacob Greber, Sally Rose, Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 12-Sep-16

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index has shed 4.4 per cent since the start of August 2016, and a 2.5 per cent downturn in the S&P 500 is expected to push the local market lower on 12 September. The US market was sold down after a Federal Reserve official suggested that the strength of the US economy could warrant an interest rate cut in the near-term. This prompted renewed support for the US dollar and a sharp rise in bond yields. Meanwhile, Nick Bishop of Aberdeen Asset Management expects an upturn in global financial market volatility in the December quarter.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, ABERDEEN ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, UBS GLOBAL ASSET MANAGEMENT (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Commodity troubles weigh on ASX

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 28 : 2-Sep-16

The S&P/ASX 200 Index fell 17 points, or 0.3 per, to 5,415.6 on 1 September 2016. Investor sentiment was negatively affected by the weakness in share prices in the US and a fall in oil prices due to a larger-than-expected increase in US inventories. Santos and Origin Energy both lost 3.2 per cent in value. Katana Asset Management portfolio manager Romano Sala Tenna expects crude oil prices to continue to range between $US40 ($A53) and $US50 a barrel.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, NEWCREST MINING LIMITED – ASX NCM, NORTHERN STAR RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX NST, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, KATANA ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED

ASX ends earnings season on sour note

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Original article by Jens Meyer, Patrick Commins
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 28 : 1-Sep-16

The S&P/ASX 200 index closed 0.8 per cent lower at 5,433.0 on 31 August 2016. Mining and energy stocks were out of favour. Analysts are rather disappointed with the earnings season which ended on 31 August. Goldman Sachs found only five companies whose performance was judged impressive: Fortescue, Seven Group Holdings, GWA Group, JB Hi-Fi and Mayne Pharma.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, GOLDMAN SACHS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, SEVEN GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX SVW, GWA GROUP LIMITED – ASX GWA, JB HI-FI LIMITED – ASX JBH, MAYNE PHARMA GROUP LIMITED – ASX MYX, HARVEY NORMAN HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX HVN