Activism may explain ASX’s sprint to 6000

Original article by Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 25 : 12-Apr-17

Hasan Tevfik of Credit Suisse says international shareholder activists may increasingly target Australian shares, adding that it is surprising that they have not already done so. He suggests that activist investors may have contributed to the local sharemarket’s recent rally. Shareholder activism has come under scrutiny in the wake of a proposal by US hedge fund Elliott Management for BHP Billiton to undertake a major restructuring.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, ELLIOTT MANAGEMENT CORPORATION, ELLIOTT ASSOCIATES LP, PERPETUAL INVESTMENTS, JP MORGAN ASSET MANAGEMENT INCORPORATED, JANA PARTNERS LLC, AMERICAN WHOLE FOODS

CBA pips BHP again and is tipped to be most traded in 2017

Original article by Peter Ker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 11-Jan-17

Some $A67.55bn worth of Commonwealth Bank shares changed hands in 2016, making it the most-traded Australian stock by value for the second consecutive year. Turnover of BHP Billiton shares totalled $A62.71, making it the second-most traded stock by value for the calendar year. Michael Heffernan of Phillip Capital says the banking major is likely to retain the title for some time. Telstra was the most-traded stock by volume for the seventh year in a row.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, PHILLIP CAPITAL LIMITED, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, NEWCREST MINING LIMITED – ASX NCM, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, SOUTH32 LIMITED – ASX S32, MIRVAC GROUP – ASX MGR, ALUMINA LIMITED – ASX AWC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE

Short sellers target Rio, BHP

Original article by Peter Ker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 22 : 8-Sep-16

New figures show that 4.79 per cent of Rio Tinto’s shares were subject to short selling on 31 August 2016, compared with 0.48 per cent on 30 July 2015. Likewise, the proportion of BHP Billiton’s shares that are short sold has risen from 0.2 per cent in March 2015 to 2.15 per cent on 31 August. Pure-play iron ore producer Fortescue Metals Group has traditionally been a key target for short sellers, but shorting activity has fallen from around 12.6 per cent in April 2015 to 2.5 per cent at the end of August.

CORPORATES
RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, WESTERN AREAS LIMITED – ASX WSA, SHAW AND PARTNERS LIMITED, MYER HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX MYR, WORLEYPARSONS LIMITED – ASX WOR, METCASH LIMITED – ASX MTS, MONADELPHOUS GROUP LIMITED – ASX MND, FLIGHT CENTRE TRAVEL GROUP LIMITED – ASX FLT, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, SHORTMAN.COM.AU

‘Sell everything’ call a distant memory

Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 19-Aug-16

Global sharemarkets have defied forecasts in January 2016 of a major slump, with most key indices having recovered from a sell-off in February. Andrew Mitchell of Ophir Asset Management says equities should continue to rise, unless there is a "black swan" event. Many fund managers increased their portfolios’ exposure to cash holdings following the Australian market’s downturn in April 2015, but its rebound from 2016 lows has prompted some to reinvest in equities.

CORPORATES
OPHIR ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND GROUP PLC, FTSE 100 INDEX, BENNELONG AUSTRALIAN EQUITY PARTNERS PTY LTD, KATANA ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATION, MERRILL LYNCH AND COMPANY INCORPORATED, DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE INDEX, ORGANISATION OF PETROLEUM EXPORTING COUNTRIES

That high P/E for a stock may not be that high a P/E after all

Original article by Philip Baker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 26 : 9-Aug-16

Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index currently boasts a forward price/earnings ratio of 16 times, while its long-term average is around 14.5 times. In contrast, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 boast forward P/E ratios of about 18 and 20 times. Meanwhile, many individual stocks in the ASX/200 boast P/E ratios of more than 20 times. Clime Investment Management argues that the elevated P/E ratios of some top-20 stocks may not be justified.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, CLIME ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, DOMINO’S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED – ASX DMP, RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED – ASX RHC, REA GROUP LIMITED – ASX REA, COCHLEAR LIMITED – ASX COH, CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, BLOOMBERG LP

Expensive defensives ‘threatened’

Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 11 : 12-Jul-16

Paul Ashworth of Cameron Harrison is among the financial market experts who question whether the rally in defensive stocks can be sustained. Defensive sectors such as healthcare, utilities and industrials have posted double-digit gains over the last year, while the broader Australian sharemarket has shed three per cent. Prime Value Asset Management’s ST Wong notes that some stocks such as infrastructure and utilities are now trading at high forward price-earnings ratios, but he says they could post further gains if the bond rally continues.

CORPORATES
CAMERON HARRISON PTY LTD, PRIME VALUE ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, AGL ENERGY LIMITED – ASX AGL, ALTIUM LIMITED – ASX ALU, TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED – ASX TWE, INFIGEN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX IFN, INVESTORS MUTUAL LIMITED, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, INTEGRAL DIAGNOSTICS LIMITED – ASX IDX, VIRTUS HEALTH LIMITED – ASX VRT, ORORA LIMITED – ASX ORA, VITA GROUP LIMITED – ASX VTG

ASX tipped to hit 5500 by end of 2016

Original article by Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 21 : 11-Jul-16

Hasan Tevfik of Credit Suisse says Australian shares are relatively cheap at present, in comparison to alternative investments such as cash and bonds. Tevfik adds that the prospect of further official interest rate cuts should also prompt investors to switch to equities. Meanwhile, UBS notes that the market’s price-to-book value is now 13 per cent below the long-term average, and about 50 per cent lower in the case of resources stocks. UBS’s David Cassidy expects the market to be trading at around 5,500 points by the end of 2016.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX ALL ORDINARIES INDEX, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, BRAMBLES LIMITED – ASX BXB, AMCOR LIMITED – ASX AMC

Dud stocks stage tidy turnarounds

Original article by Simon Evans
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 16 : 15-Jun-16

A number of stocks whose poor performance had made them candidates for tax-loss selling in the lead-up to the end of the financial year have rebounded in recent months. Santos reached a low of $A2.64 early in 2016, but the stock has since risen to around $A4.48. Other resources and mining-related stocks have also staged a turnaround in recent months, while grocery wholesaler Metcash has risen strongly since September 2015. Likewise, speculation of a potential demerger has boosted the share price of Origin Energy.

CORPORATES
SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, METCASH LIMITED – ASX MTS, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, SOUTH32 LIMITED – ASX S32, WORLEYPARSONS LIMITED – ASX WOR, BRADKEN LIMITED – ASX BKN, PERPETUAL INVESTMENTS, IGA, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, COLES SUPERMARKETS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, ALDI STORES SUPERMARKETS PTY LTD, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, ARRIUM LIMITED – ASX ARI

Is the yield play back in vogue?

Original article by Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 25 : 8-Jun-16

The low interest rate environment has prompted strong support for high-yielding Australian stocks. However. investors recently began selling yield stocks amid expectations of several interest rate rises in the US during 2016. Citi Global Markets’ Karen Jorritsma notes that yield stocks will be back in favour following the release of the latest US jobs data, which will dampen expectations that the Federal Reserve will increase the cash rate.

CORPORATES
CITIGROUP PTY LTD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, SCENTRE GROUP – ASX SCG, SYDNEY AIRPORT – ASX SYD, TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED – ASX TCL, APA GROUP – ASX APA, KATANA ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, DEXUS PROPERTY GROUP – ASX DXS, MIRVAC GROUP – ASX MGR

Coca-Cola Amatil tops 10 stocks to buy if June turns ugly

Original article by Simon Evans
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 30 : 3-Jun-16

The Australian sharemarket has performed well since mid-April 2016, but some analysts believe that this may not be sustained. Tim Baker of Deutsche Bank has identified a number of defensive stocks that investors should consider if sentiment becomes bearish in June. They are Coca-Cola Amatil, Estia Health, Mirvac Group, DUET Group, AGL Energy, Suncorp Group, Medibank Private, Shopping Centres Australasia Property Group, Vicinity Centres and Healthscope.

CORPORATES
DEUTSCHE BANK AG, COCA-COLA AMATIL LIMITED – ASX CCL, ESTIA HEALTH LIMITED – ASX EHE, MIRVAC GROUP – ASX MGR, DUET GROUP – ASX DUE, AGL ENERGY LIMITED – ASX AGL, SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED – ASX SUN, MEDIBANK PRIVATE LIMITED – ASX MPL, SHOPPING CENTRES AUSTRALASIA PROPERTY GROUP – ASX SCP, VICINITY CENTRES – ASX VCX, HEALTHSCOPE LIMITED – ASX HSO