Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 21-Oct-26

The race to secure a majority of seats in Victoria’s Upper House is evenly poised with the L-NP Coalition/One Nation set to secure 18 seats, level with the ALP/Greens (18 seats); the remaining four seats are undecided. This special Roy Morgan survey was conducted over the three months from July to September, with a representative Victoria-wide cross-section of 2,845 electors and an average of around 360 electors in each of the state’s eight Upper House regions. This interviewing period included the resignation of former Premier Jacinta Allan on 28 July, the swearing in of Ben Carroll as the new Premier on the same day, One Nation’s announcement of Warren Pickering as its Victorian leader on 3 August, and revelations about Pickering’s past. This is a closer result than an earlier SMS Roy Morgan Poll conducted in early August, which showed the L-NP Coalition and One Nation securing a majority of 21 seats in Victoria’s Upper House. The changed result is driven by an improved performance from the Greens in recent months.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED,{STORE}MORGAN POLL,{STORE}AUSTRALIAN GREENS,{STORE}AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY,{STORE}LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA,{STORE}ONE NATION PARTY