SUPPLY AND DEMAND

The lithium party’s still young

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Original article by Alex Gluyas
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 24 : 14-Jul-21

Matthew Hope of Credit Suisse forecasts that the strong rise in the price of lithium since February will be sustained. He says the lithium supply glut has ended, and the world faces a growing supply deficit as current and proposed lithium projects will be insufficient to meet demand. Rising demand for lithium has also boosted the share prices of Australian-listed producers; Pilbara Minerals’ shares gained 522.6 per cent in 2020-21, which was the second-best return among S&P/ASX 200 stocks.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, PILBARA MINERALS LIMITED – ASX PLS

US review boosts Australian minerals

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Original article by Matthew Cranston, Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 10 : 10-Jun-21

The Biden administration has released the findings of its review of the nation’s critical mineral supply chain vulnerabilities. Amongst other things, the report has called for the US to source more critical minerals such as rare earths from its key allies and partners in order to reduce its reliance in imports from China. The report noted that the US will still be highly dependent on China for the processing of critical minerals, given that the nation has limited onshore processing and refining capacity. Meanwhile, Prime Minister Scott Morrison says Australia has a "responsibility" to expand its endowment of critical minerals.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET

BHP hiring as it faces critical lack of drivers

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Original article by Peter Ker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 27-May-21

BHP plans to hire an additional 200 train drivers for its iron ore operations in the Pilbara, in response to what has been described as a ‘critical’ shortage in the sector. BHP’s iron ore asset president Brandon Craig says the new trainees will have "rewarding careers" at the resources group, which suggests that BHP will not follow Rio Tinto in shifting to driverless trains. BHP uses automated trucks at its Jimblebar iron ore mine, while the Gina Rinehart-backed Roy Hill aims to fully automate its fleet of trucks by 2023.

CORPORATES
BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, ROY HILL HOLDINGS PTY LTD

UBS sees sharp drop in iron ore price

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Original article by Lachlan Moffet Gray
The Australian – Page: 16 : 6-Apr-21

UBS expects a looming increase in global iron ore supply to result in the price of the steel input falling below $US100 per tonne in the December 2021 quarter. The iron price peaked at more than $US170 per tonne earlier in the year, but UBS says it is reaching an ‘inflection point’. The firm notes that iron ore shipments from Brazil are increasing, while inventories at Chinese ports are increasing. UBS has reduced its share price targets for Rio Tinto, BHP and Fortescue Metals Group; the firm has also downgraded its recommendation on the latter two from ‘buy’ to ‘neutral’.

CORPORATES
RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD

Building approvals bounce back on HomeBuilder

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Original article by Michael Bleby
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 39 : 1-Apr-21

Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that approvals for stand-alone homes increased by nearly 14 per cent month-on-month in February, to 14,072 in seasonally adjusted terms. Approvals for apartments and townhouses increased by 49 per cent to 5,350; however, this followed a 39 per cent fall in January. Economists say the federal government’s HomeBuilder scheme has been a major catalyst for the strong demand for housing.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Forrest’s LNG import vital to avoid shortfall

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Original article by Angela Macdonald-Smith
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 7 : 29-Mar-21

Andrew Forrest’s proposed LNG import terminal at Port Kembla in New South Wales is tipped to inject up to 500 terajoules of gas into the domestic market per day, beginning in January 2023. Nicola Falcon from the Australian Energy Market Operator says the project comes at a critical time, with current gas production in Victoria falling at a faster rate than was previously forecast. The Port Kembla project is expected to cost in the vicinity of $250 million and is one of six LNG import projects being flagged for NSW, Victoria and South Australia.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN ENERGY MARKET OPERATOR LIMITED

Co-working occupancies coming back to life after brutal year

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Original article by Martin Kelly
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 & 32 : 17-Feb-21

Hub Australia CEO Brad Krauskopf says the average occupancy rate across his company’s eight co-working sites is currently around 70 per cent. This remains well below the pre-coronavirus average of more than 90 per cent, but Krauskopf notes that there has been a 250 per cent increase in enquiries since the start of 2021. The Commons’ MD Cliff Ho says occupancy at its Sydney Central site is almost back to the pre-pandemic level, although occupancy at its four sites in Melbourne is currently at around 70-75 per cent.

CORPORATES
HUB AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, THE COMMONS

Coal exports to steady before a slide

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Original article by Joe Kelly
The Australian – Page: 4 : 9-Feb-21

The New South Wales government has forecast that demand for the state’s thermal coal in Asia will remain strong at more than 600 million metric tonnes a year until 2030. However, this is expected to gradually decline to about 470 million metric tonnes in 2050 as the global transition to alternative sources of energy generation gathers pace. The government document also notes that the industry contributes about 22,000 direct jobs to the state economy, as well as some 89,000 indirect jobs.

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Emerging Asia’s appetite for coal may be fading

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Original article by Elouise Fowler
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 15-Jan-21

A report from the Global Energy Monitor on future demand for thermal coal in Asia may have implications for one of Australia’s biggest sources of export revenue. The report concludes that developing nations in the region may build just 25 gigawatts of new coal-fired power stations in 2021, compared with the 125GW that was planned five years ago. Australia’s thermal coal exports to developing countries in Asia have increased significantly in recent years, offsetting a decline in demand from traditional buyers in the region as they adopt net zero emission targets.

CORPORATES
GLOBAL ENERGY MONITOR

Producers to reap windfall as LNG price soars

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Original article by Perry Williams
The Australian – Page: 17 : 11-Jan-21

Australia’s revenue from LNG exports is likely to rise strongly after a surge in demand for LNG in Asia boosted the price of the commodity. Industry sources have stated that a Japanese utility has paid $US37 per million British thermal units for an LNG shipment from the Gorgon project in Western Australia. The benchmark for LNG spot prices in North Asia also recently rose to $US20.70 per mbtu, compared with just $US2 per mbtu in June. Cold weather in Asia has been the key driver of the surge in demand for LNG.

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