SUPPLY AND DEMAND

China steel output may fall 25pc

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Original article by Angus Grigg, Jennifer Hewett, Phillip Coorey, Amanda Saunders
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 7-Apr-15

The price of iron ore fell to $US47 per tonne in early April 2015, and it has now shed 63 per cent since the beginning of 2014. Australian economist Ross Garnaut has forecast that steel production in China will decline by 27 per cent in the next 15 years, which would in turn affect demand for Australian iron ore. Meanwhile, Chris Richardson of Deloitte Access Economics notes that the continued fall in the iron ore price will slash Australia’s national income and tax revenue

CORPORATES
DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF INDUSTRY AND SCIENCE, VALE SA, ATLAS IRON LIMITED – ASX AGO, MOUNT GIBSON IRON LIMITED – ASX MGX, BC IRON LIMITED – ASX BCI

Digital economy chips in $79b a year

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Original article by Paul Smith
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 8 : 25-Mar-15

A Deloitte Access Economics report estimates that the digital economy now accounts for 5.1 per cent of Australia’s GDP, and this is forecast to reach 7.3 per cent by 2020. The value of the digital economy is expected to rise from $A79bn at present to $A139bn in five years’ time. The report was produced on behalf of Google, whose Australian MD Maile Carnegie says action is needed to increase the supply of skilled workers in the information and communications technology sector

CORPORATES
DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD, GOOGLE INCORPORATED, ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT

Affordability biggest risk, says Lend Lease

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Original article by Michael Bleby, Nick Lenaghan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 38 : 17-Mar-15

Housing affordability is an important factor in the Australian construction industry. Lend Lease CEO of property, Tarun Gupta, said on 16 March 2015 that affordability is currently at an acceptable level but should be closely monitored. Figures provided by CoreLogic RP Data show that house prices have risen by 7.6 per cent nationally over the past 12 months, and by 14.1 per cent in Sydney

CORPORATES
LEND LEASE GROUP LIMITED – ASX LLC, CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, RP DATA LIMITED

China iron ore demand to fall

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Original article by Angus Grigg, Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 8 : 11-Mar-15

Former Bureau of Resource & Energy Economics CEO Quentin Grafton notes that major iron ore producers have forecast that Australia’s exports to China will peak in the 2020s. However, he believes that Chinese shipments could be reaching their peak now. J Capital Research MD Tim Murray also suggests that Australian iron ore exports may be approaching their peak, and forecasts that a fall in volumes of up to 10 per cent in 2015

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF INDUSTRY AND SCIENCE. BUREAU OF RESOURCES AND ENERGY ECONOMICS, J CAPITAL RESEARCH COMPANY LIMITED, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL UNIVERSITY. CRAWFORD SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS AND GOVERNMENT, CHINA. GENERAL ADMINISTRATION OF CUSTOMS, CHINA METALLURGICAL INDUSTRY PLANNING AND RESEARCH INSTITUTE, MYSTEEL.COM LIMITED

Another 9m homes needed by 2055

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Original article by Rebecca Thistleton
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 34 : 6-Mar-15

The Australian Government’s Intergenerational Report forecasts that the nation’s population will top 39.7 million in 2055. This will require the construction of an additional nine million residential dwellings over the next four decades. Graham Wolfe of the Housing Industry Association has called for government action to make more land available for residential development and measures to improve the planning process

CORPORATES
HOUSING INDUSTRY ASSOCIATION LIMITED, MASTER BUILDERS AUSTRALIA INCORPORATED, URBAN DEVELOPMENT INSTITUTE OF AUSTRALIA, THE REAL ESTATE INSTITUTE OF AUSTRALIA LIMITED

China’s steel production to fall

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Original article by Sarah-Jane Tasker, Matt Chambers
The Australian – Page: 20 : 5-Feb-15

The iron ore price may fall to below $US60 ($A77) a tonne, having dropped 50% between September 2013 and early February 2015. The commodity is now trading at $US63, but China Iron & Steel Association executive vice secretary-general Li Xinchuang forecasts a further weakening in demand. In response, dominant Australian producers Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton have ramped up their output while also cutting their cash costs by nearly half. Lourenco Goncalves, CEO of US-based rival Cliffs Natural Resources, has criticised the strategy

CORPORATES
CHINA IRON AND STEEL INDUSTRY ASSOCIATION, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, CLIFFS NATURAL RESOURCES INCORPORATED, WHITEHAVEN COAL LIMITED – ASX WHC, ILUKA RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX ILU, SOUTH32 LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, NIKKO ASSET MANAGEMENT GROUP

Less demand for places in top private schools

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Original article by Bethany Hiatt
The West Australian – Page: 13 : 3-Feb-15

There has been a decline in the waiting lists for admission to many private schools in Perth, according to some principals. South Perth’s Wesley College is among the private schools that have reported lower demand for places, particularly in its junior school. College head David Gee suggests that factors such as the downturn in the mining sector and the uncertain economic outlook may have contributed to falling demand

CORPORATES
WESLEY COLLEGE, HALE SCHOOL, SCOTCH COLLEGE

Old power stations drive blackout risk

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Original article by Mark Ludlow
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 6 : 12-Jan-15

It is estimated that Australia’s National Energy Market has about 9,000 megawatts of electricity that is surplus to demand. However, Industry Minister Ian Macfarlane says the Federal Government does not intend to pay power companies to shut down older power stations, arguing that the issue needs to be addressed by the market. AGL Energy chairman Jeremy Maycock has previously raised concerns that power blackouts may become more frequent as companies are continuing to operate older power stations

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF INDUSTRY AND SCIENCE, AGL ENERGY LIMITED – ASX AGL, AUSTRALIAN ENERGY MARKET OPERATOR LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN ENERGY REGULATOR

Lot release ‘too slow in NSW’

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Original article by Tim Binsted
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 18 : 26-Nov-14

Brickworks MD Lindsay Partridge believes that the limited supply of land for residential development is contributing to the rising cost of homes in New South Wales. He has urged the State Government to accelerate the release of new housing lots, arguing that it should be making 10 times more lots available than at present. Meanwhile, Brickworks achieved 14 per cent growth in revenue year-on-year in the first quarter of 2014-15

CORPORATES
BRICKWORKS LIMITED – ASX BKW, CIMB SECURITIES INTERNATIONAL (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD

Medibank Private float stirs hype as retail demand balloons

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 18 : 18-Nov-14

There has been strong demand for Medibank Private shares from both retail and institutional investors. Retail investors have expressed interest in buying more than $A4.8bn shares in the IPO, while institutional demand is estimated at $A12bn. The share offer for retail investors closed on 14 November 2014, while the bookbuild for institutional investors will commence on 19 November. Retail investors will pay no more than $A2 per share

CORPORATES
MEDIBANK PRIVATE LIMITED – ASX MPL, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FINANCE, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, MACQUARIE CAPITAL PTY LTD, ELEY GRIFFITHS GROUP PTY LTD, PROMINA GROUP LIMITED, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS