VIRUS DISEASES – AUSTRALIA

Cost of Covid: $4bn a week

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Original article by Geoff Chambers
The Australian – Page: 1 & 6 : 5-May-20

Treasurer Josh Frydenberg will use a National Press Club speech on 5 May to warn that the coronavirus pandemic will reduce GDP by about $50bn in the June quarter. However, he will contend that the GDP hit could have been around $120bn if Australia had imposed the more restrictive lockdowns of some European countries. Frydenberg will add that economic activity will be reduced by nearly $4bn for every week that lockdown restrictions remain in place, and that the economic impact of the pandemic would have been much worse without initiatives such as the JobKeeper scheme.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

Are Australia’s big four banks equipped for recession?

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Original article by Ian Verrender
abc.net.au – Page: Online : 4-May-20

The general expectation is that Australia’s major banks will ride out the coronavirus-induced economic downturn relatively unscathed. However, contrary to popular opinion, the nation’s financial system did not cope well with the global financial crisis; indeed, the federal government had to underwrite bank loans and guarantee deposits. Meanwhile, Australia’s banks now have significant exposure to the residential and commercial property sectors. With unemployment likely to reach double digits, there will be growing pressure on already heavily indebted households; demand for office space will also fall as more people become jobless or work from home permanently, which will in turn reduce commercial property values.

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Sports face $200m broadcast hit

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Original article by John Stensholt
The Australian – Page: 19 : 4-May-20

Executives of Australia’s free-to-air and pay-TV networks believe that the value of sports broadcasting rights has fallen in 2020 because events are being held without crowds due to the pandemic. The Australian Football League and the National Rugby League in particular are expected to face a large decline in broadcasting fees when their 2020 seasons resume. Meanwhile, there is doubt as to whether Fox Sports will renew its broadcasting rights deal with Football Federation Australia beyond the current season.

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SEVEN WEST MEDIA LIMITED – ASX SWM, NINE ENTERTAINMENT COMPANY HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX NEC, TEN NETWORK HOLDINGS LIMITED, FOX SPORTS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, FOXTEL MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN FOOTBALL LEAGUE, NATIONAL RUGBY LEAGUE, FOOTBALL FEDERATION AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Covid kickstart: states fire up

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Original article by David Penberthy, Paul Garvey, Simon Benson
The Australian – Page: 1 & 2 : 4-May-20

The easing of coronavirus lockdown restrictions will be considered by the national cabinet earlier than expected, due to the rapid take-up of the CovidSafe app. However, the South Australian government will relax some restrictions, such as allowing children to visit playgrounds and skate parks, while travel within the state may be permitted within days. Premier Steven Marshall says the state is on track to eliminate the virus rather than simply suppressing it. Western Australia recently permitted residents to gather in groups of 10 and lifted restrictions on some recreational activities. Meanwhile, the eastern states are keeping lockdown restrictions in place for now.

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SOUTH AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PREMIER AND CABINET

Good news and bad debt

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Original article by Terry McCrann
Sunday Herald Sun – Page: 63 : 3-May-20

The advice from Australian Banking Association CEO Anna Bligh that "so far" more than 320,000 home loan borrowers and 170,000 businesses have had loan repayments deferred is a mix of ‘good’ news and ‘bad’ news. Clearly the numbers who need repayments deferred "will increase". Some "good news" for the government is Roy Morgan’s April estimate of Australia’s unemployed and under-employed, down 439,000 on the last 2 weeks in March – however, it only dropped because of the government’s JobKeeper scheme. If JobKeeper numbers were added to those who are unemployed and under-employed then "real joblessness" is probably around a third of the workforce, with not one person from the public sector ‘out-of-work’. Even with Australian banks proactively playing their part the post-virus reality is not going to be "a walk in the park" – assuming it is allowed!

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AUSTRALIAN BANKING ASSOCIATION, ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Business cashflow assistance tops $6bn

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Original article by Geoff Chambers, Patrick Commins
The Australian – Page: 4 : 1-May-20

Prime Minister Scott Morrison says the federal government’s tax-free cashflow payments have assisted employers to remain in business during the coronavirus pandemic. New figures show that some 343,211 small businesses and non-profit organisations had collectively received $6.09bn worth of cashflow payments by 28 April. Eligible businesses are entitled to receive payments of between $20,000 and $100,000; the average amount received to date is $17,700 per business. The government estimates that about 720,000 businesses will be eligible for the payments.

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AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET

Prepare for drawn-out downturn

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Original article by Richard Gluyas
The Australian – Page: 13 & 17 : 1-May-20

The ANZ Bank has posted an interim cash profit of $1.41bn, which is 60 per cent lower than previously. The result was marred by impairment charges totalling $1.7bn, while a decision on its half-year dividend will be deferred until August due to uncertainty regarding the economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic. ANZ’s common equity tier one ratio has fallen to 10.8 per cent, compared with 11.5 per cent a year ago. Meanwhile, CEO Shayne Elliott says the Australian economy is unlikely to experience a V-shaped recovery.

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AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Economic hit outpaces Great Depression

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Original article by Matthew Cranston, Tom McIlroy
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 8 : 29-Apr-20

Treasury officials have told a parliamentary inquiry that Virgin Australia is not the only company that has sought government assistance due to the coronavirus pandemic. Treasury Secretary Steven Kennedy has warned that some businesses will not recover from the crisis. He also said the expected rapid rise in Australia’s unemployment rate will be unprecedented. The jobless rate is forecast to reach 10 per cent in June; Kennedy noted that while unemployment rose much higher during the Great Depression, it did so over several years.

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AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, VIRGIN AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX VAH

Government payments outweigh wage slump

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Original article by Matthew Cranston
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 29-Apr-20

New figures from the Commonwealth Bank of Australia highlight the impact of the coronavirus on the labour market. Its analysis shows that there has been a 50 per cent increase in the number of CBA bank accounts that are receiving JobSeeker payments. Senior economist Gareth Aird says the increase in government benefits that have been paid since the onset of the pandemic has been greater than the fall in wages and salaries paid into CBA accounts to date. Meanwhile, CBA expects the savings rate to rise significantly in the June quarter.

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COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA

Westpac braces for virus shock

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian – Page: 17 & 21 : 29-Apr-20

Westpac has advised that its half-year accounts will include a pre-tax impairment charge of $2.24bn. This includes a $1.6bn provision for coronavirus-related loan losses. However, CEO Peter King says the bank is well-positioned to absorb an increase in loan losses, while Westpac does not expect the impairment charges to have much effect on its common equity tier-one capital ratio. Westpac is not expected to undertake a capital raising, having raised some $2.77bn from investors in November. Westpac will release its interim results on 4 May.

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WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC