VOTING – AUSTRALIA

Steph Hunt (Melbourne) and Aaron Violi (Casey) are the only two Liberals to achieve a primary vote swing of +4%

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 28-May-25

The Liberal Party suffered a crushing defeat at the Federal Election held earlier this month, and the recriminations continue under new leader Sussan Ley. However, there were some bright spots for the party with 20 Liberal/LNP candidates achieving a positive primary vote swing, led by Liberal candidate for Melbourne, Steph Hunt, who achieved a primary vote swing of +4.6% from 2022, and Liberal MP from Casey (Victoria), Aaron Violi, with a primary vote swing of +4.4%. Other notable performances included Simmone Cottom with a primary vote swing of +3.9% in the Victorian seat of Hawke, Benson Saulo with a swing of +3.5% in the inner Melbourne seat of Macnamara, Tim Beddoe with a swing of +3.3% in the western Melbourne seat of Maribyrnong and re-elected Liberal MP Tim Wilson reclaiming his seat on Melbourne’s bayside with a primary vote swing of +3.1%. Of the 20 Liberal/LNP candidates to achieve a positive primary vote swing in their electorate, 15 were in Victoria, three were in New South Wales and two were in Queensland.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

‘Extreme, divisive politics’: Greens’ near-total wipe-out

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Original article by Clare Armstrong
Herald Sun – Page: Online : 8-May-25

Sky News and the ABC have both declared that Labor’s Sarah Witty has won the seat of Melbourne, which Greens leader Adam Bandt has held since 2010. However, a Greens spokeswoman has stated that the minor party has yet not conceded defeat in the previously safe seat, arguing that "many thousands of votes" have not yet been counted. The Greens are hopeful that more than 15,000 absentee and declaration votes will favour Bandt. Commenting on Bandt’s defeat, a Labor source said "he’ll blame Labor, he’ll blame the Liberals, he’ll blame voters, but he’ll never blame himself". The Greens went into the federal election with four MPs in the lower house, but Stephen Bates and Max Chandler-Mather have also lost their seats and Elizabeth Warren-Brown’s seat of Ryan in Queensland is in doubt. Greens senators Sarah Hanson-Young and Mehreen Faruqi are believed to be the frontrunners to succeed Bandt.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN GREENS, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Australians rush to cast early votes in record numbers

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Original article by Shane Wright
The Sydney Morning Herald – Page: Online : 24-Apr-25

Data from the Australian Electoral Commission shows that a record 542,000 people voted on Tuesday, when pre-poll voting began. This compares with just 314,000 on the first day of pre-poll voting in 2022. The AEC has also sent out ballot papers to 2.2 million people who have registered for a postal vote. The growing shift to early voting – just 46 per cent of Australians voted on the actual election day in 2022 – has implications for the major political parties and individual candidates, given that some key policies have not yet been announced. The total cost of each party’s policies are also typically released in the last week of an election campaign.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN ELECTORAL COMMISSION

No policy and extreme right views will cost Dutton: Labor

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Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 17-Sep-24

Labor MPs are hopeful that the Coalition’s lack of policies will see voters look more favourably upon the federal government in the lead-up to the next election. With opinion polls continuing to suggest the election result will be very tight, and the possibility of a Coalition minority government not being ruled out, Tim Ayres, who is an assistant minister in the federal government, claims voters will be reluctant to vote for the Coalition because of what he claims are the extreme views of Opposition leader Peter Dutton.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

Labor working tails off to lift primary vote

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Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 26-Mar-24

Labor won the 2022 federal election with a primary vote of just 32.6 per cent. The combined vote for the major political parties fell to a record low of 68.3 per cent; in contrast, the vote for minor parties and independents reached a record high of 31.7 per cent. There was a similar trend against the major parties in Saturday’s state election in Tasmania. However, Labor believes that its low primary vote is not permanent but reflects voters concerns about issues such as the cost of living crisis and migrant numbers. Treasurer Jim Chalmers says Labor is working hard to give people the government they "need and deserve". He adds that the next election will be "close and hard fought".

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

Roy Morgan predicts No will win The Voice referendum; No (44%) well ahead of Yes (39%) as voting set to start

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 26-Sep-23

Now 44% (up 8% points since May) of Australians say they would vote ‘No’ to establish an ‘Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice’ at next month’s referendum if it were held today – the first time more Australians have indicated to Roy Morgan that they would vote ‘No’ to this proposition. In comparison, only 39% (down 7% points since May 2023) say they would vote ‘Yes’ and a further 17% (down 1% point) are ‘Undecided’ on how they would vote. If ‘Undecided’ respondents are removed the split in favour of the ‘No’ vote is 53% cf. 47%. However, past experience with surveys conducted before previous referenda shows that ‘Undecided’ voters are far more likely to end up as a ‘No’ rather than a ‘Yes’ vote, meaning the actual figure is likely to be a larger majority in favour of ‘No’ than indicated here. This special Roy Morgan online survey was conducted with an Australia-wide cross-section of 1,511 Australian electors aged 18+ from Monday September 18 – Sunday September 24.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED

First act in office would be to kill voter ID law: Labor

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Original article by Tom McIlroy
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 5 : 24-Nov-21

Special Minister of State Ben Morton has told a parliamentary committee that nobody will be denied the right to vote under the federal government’s proposal to require people to prove their identity at polling booths. He also that more than 700 people had admitted to voting more than once at the 2019 election, and the Australian Electoral Commission had identified 311 multiple votes before they were counted. However, Labor senator Don Farrell has urged the government to withdraw the voter ID legislation; he also says Labor’s first priority would be to repeal the legislation if it wins the next election.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIAN ELECTORAL COMMISSION, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Voter ID bill may discourage turnout and no evidence it will prevent fraud, committee says

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Original article by Paul Karp
The Guardian Australia – Page: Online : 11-Nov-21

The parliamentary committee on human rights has expressed reservations about the federal government’s legislation that would require voters to supply proof of their identity at polling stations on election day. Amongst other things, the committee is concerned that the voter ID laws may discourage people from voting; it also warns that the legislation may have a "disproportionate" impact on certain groups, such as the homeless and indigenous people in remote communities. The committee has also questioned whether the legislation would be effective in addressing election fraud.

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Voters will be asked to show identification to vote under Morrison government proposal

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Original article by Paul Karp
The Guardian Australia – Page: Online : 27-Oct-21

The federal government has attracted criticism over plans to make it compulsory for voters to supply identification documents at polling stations on election day. The bill has been endorsed by the Coalition’s partyroom but has yet to introduced to parliament. Shadow special minister of state Don Farrell says Labor will oppose any bill that includes "anti-democratic thought bubbles". The government had first proposed voter ID laws in late 2018, while One Nation senator Malcolm Roberts recently introduced a voter ID bill in the upper house.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, ONE NATION PARTY

Parties urge shorter pre-polling time

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Original article by Geoff Chambers
The Australian – Page: 6 : 24-Oct-19

The issue of early voting in federal elections came under scrutiny by the joint standing committee on electoral matters on 23 October. Andrew Hirst, the Liberal Party’s federal director, told the committee’s inquiry into the 18 May election that the pre-polling period should be reduced from three weeks to two, while the number of pre-polling centres should be reduced to 2013 levels. He argued that pre-polling means that many people have voted before political parties have released their key election policies.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. JOINT STANDING COMMITTEE ON ELECTORAL MATTERS, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN ELECTORAL COMMISSION, GETUP LIMITED