An Australia-wide Roy Morgan face-to-face poll conducted over the weekend (February 16/17, 2019) with a cross-section of 851 Australian electors shows the ALP 52.5% cf. L-NP 47.5% on a two-party preferred basis.
This shows a 3% swing to the L-NP following the ALP’s decision to support a loosening of Australia’s border protection laws by backing a ‘Medivac Law’ allowing for the transfer of refugees and asylum seekers already on Manus Island or Nauru to Australia for medical reasons given the recommendation of two doctors. The Home Affairs Minister then has a right to reject the transfer however the Minister’s decision is itself subject to further review.
The L-NP primary vote is now 37% (up 2.5%) overtaking the ALP primary vote which has fallen 1.5% to 34.5%. Support for the Greens is down 1% to 11.5% while support for One Nation has increased 0.5% to 3.5%. Support for Clive Palmer’s UAP is unchanged at 1% while support for Independents/Others is down 0.5% to 12.5%.
Gary Morgan, Executive Chairman Roy Morgan, says:
“The results of last weekend’s Roy Morgan poll show the issue of border protection is a major strength for the L-NP however a lot can happen between now and when the Federal Election is due in May.”
Roy Morgan Poll, conducted February 16/17, 2019 – Australia-wide cross-section of 851 Australian electors.
Roy Morgan Poll, conducted February 2/3 & 9/10, 2019 – Australia-wide cross-section of 1,673 Australian electors.