Original article by Sarah Turner
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 22 : 30-Sep-19
A quarterly survey of economists shows that there is general consensus that the Reserve Bank of Australia will reduce the cash rate to 0.5 per cent by mid-2020. Most of the respondents expect official interests to be cut by 25 basis points before the end of 2019, followed by another cut by June. However, Shane Oliver of AMP Capital and Alan Oster of National Australia Bank expect a cash of 0.5 per cent at the end of 2019. Futures markets have priced in a 76 per cent chance of a rate cut on 1 October, and fully priced in a rate cut in November.
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ