K62 Finance

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence increases again as RBA meets to decide on interest rates – now 115.2 (up 1.8pts)

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 3-Nov-15

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia rose by 0.1 per cent to 115.2 in the week ended 1 November 2015. The largest contributor to the increase in consumer confidence over the past two weeks has been the positive increase in the "time to buy index", which has risen by seven per cent over the last fortnight and is now at +30 per cent. Meanwhile, 46 per cent (up two per cent in a fortnight) say now is a "good time to buy" major household items. Roy Morgan Research executive chairman Gary Morgan says the recent ABS low inflation figure and the positive movement in the ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating is a good sign for the Turnbull Government. However, the high level of real unemployment and under-employment is still Australia’s major problem. By implementing reforms to free-up the labour market the Government will have a much bigger and more positive impact on the Australian economy overall than the recent suggestion of tax reform and increasing the rate of the GST to 15 per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, 7-ELEVEN STORES PTY LTD

Aussie higher on RBA bets as currency wars rumble on

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Original article by Mark Mulligan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 32 : 3-Nov-15

The Australian dollar traded around $US0.7139 in late local trade on 2 November 2015. Traders expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to keep the official interest rate unchanged. The Australian currency has lost about 27 per cent in value against the US dollar since the US Federal Reserve ended its policy of quantitative easing.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Nailing cup victor easier than RBA pick

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Original article by Jacob Greber, James Thomson
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 7 : 3-Nov-15

It is difficult to guess whether the Reserve Bank of Australia will decide to cut the official interest rate when the board of the central bank meets on 3 November 2015. Economists from Australia’s four big banks believe that the cash rate will remain unchanged at two per cent. Some analysts expect a cut, stressing the fact that headline inflation was only at 1.5 per cent in the September quarter.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BLOOMBERG LP, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD

NAB does 10-year deal with Visa

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Original article by Shaun Drummond
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 2-Nov-15

National Australia Bank has terminated its alliance with MasterCard in favour of rival credit card provider Visa. The two groups will co-operate in the development of new payment solutions as the trend toward the use of mobile devices for making payments gathers pace. Australian banks are also holding talks with Google regarding the introduction of its Android Pay system.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, VISA INTERNATIONAL, MASTERCARD AUSTRALIA LIMITED, GOOGLE INCORPORATED, APPLE INCORPORATED, SAMSUNG CORPORATION, AMERICAN EXPRESS COMPANY

Bank profits feel the heat of increased competition

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Original article by Clancy Yeates
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 2-Nov-15

Factors such as low interest rates and growing competition are putting downward pressure on the lending margins of Australia’s major banks. Westpac has reported flat net interest margins for fiscal 2015, while the rival "big four" banks reported lower margins. Julie Coates of PricewaterhouseCoopers forecasts that the banks’ margins will fall below the record low of 2.05 per cent recorded in 2008.

CORPORATES
WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS AUSTRALIA (INTERNATIONAL) PTY LTD, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, WATERMARK FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Tech fund rush to hit $1b

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Original article by Patrick Durkin
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 2-Nov-15

Square Peg Capital will launch a $A200m venture capital fund that will invest in technology start-ups. Square Peg Capital was co-founded by Paul Bassat, who was also the joint founder of jobs website SEEK. Other recent initiatives in Australia’s venture capital space include a $A200m fund launched by Blackbird Ventures and Atlassian Software founder Michael Cannon-Brookes. Brandon Capital also launched a $A200m fund earlier in 2015.

CORPORATES
SQUARE PEG CAPITAL PTY LTD, SEEK LIMITED – ASX SEK, BLACKBIRD VENTURES PTY LTD, ATLASSIAN SOFTWARE SYSTEMS PTY LTD, BRANDON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, AUSTRALIANSUPER PTY LTD, HEALTH EMPLOYEES’ SUPERANNUATION TRUST AUSTRALIA LIMITED, STATEWIDE SUPERANNUATION PTY LTD, HOST-PLUS, THE GROUP OF EIGHT LIMITED, AIRTREE VENTURES PTY LTD, ACCEL PARTNERS, 99DESIGNS PTY LTD, CARSALES.COM LIMITED – ASX CAR, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF INDUSTRY, INNOVATION AND SCIENCE, AUSTRALIA. OFFICE OF THE CHIEF SCIENTIST, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, AUSTRALIAN FOOTBALL LEAGUE, GOCATCH, ROCKT, VEND LIMITED, SCRIPTROCK PTY LTD, JETSTAR AIRLINES PTY LTD

ANZ calms the market on dividends fears

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Original article by Clancy Yeates, James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 17 : 30-Oct-15

The ANZ Bank has posted a cash profit of $A7.2bn for 2014-15, which is one per cent higher than previously. However, its Australian division’s cash profit rose by seven per cent. The group’s return on equity fell from 15.4 per cent to 14 per cent in 2015-16, and CEO Mike Smith says it will abandon its goal of lifting this to 16 per cent. He has also stressed that ANZ will not reduce its dividend payout in order to offset the cost of complying with new capital requirements.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, CADENCE CAPITAL LIMITED – ASX CDT, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY

Westpac’s Evans says no rate cut in sight

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Original article by Mark Mulligan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 30-Oct-15

HSBC’s Paul Bloxham expects a reduction in Australia’s cash rate in either November or December 2015, in the wake of lower-than-expected inflation data in the September quarter. Westpac’s chief economist Bill Evans in turn still believes that the cash rate will remain unchanged in November, noting that the Reserve Bank has ignored one-off falls in the inflation rate in the past. Andrew Ticehurst of Nomura expects the cash rate to remain on hold until February.

CORPORATES
HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, NOMURA AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Fed leaves rates on hold, preps for potential December lift

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Original article by
The Age – Page: Online : 29-Oct-15

The Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting in late October 2015 has resulted in US interest rates being left unchanged. The central bank’s monetary policy statement noted that the US economy is expanding at a "moderate pace", while jobs growth has slowed. The statement omitted the previous month’s reference to the potential impact of global risks on the US economy. BlackRock’s Russ Koesterich says a rate cut remains possible in December.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, BLACKROCK INCORPORATED, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK, REUTERS HOLDINGS PLC

Aussie dives as third-quarter inflation figure surprises

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Original article by Mark Mulligan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 34 : 29-Oct-15

The Australian dollar was buying $US0.7119 late in trading on 28 October 2015, after starting the session above $US0.72. The currency fell sharply in response to official data showing that the headline and core inflation rates were lower than forecast in the September quarter, which may strengthen the case for further monetary policy easing. Paul Dales of Capital Economics says an interest rate cut is possible in November.

CORPORATES
CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT