K62 Finance

Are Australia’s big four banks equipped for recession?

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Original article by Ian Verrender
abc.net.au – Page: Online : 4-May-20

The general expectation is that Australia’s major banks will ride out the coronavirus-induced economic downturn relatively unscathed. However, contrary to popular opinion, the nation’s financial system did not cope well with the global financial crisis; indeed, the federal government had to underwrite bank loans and guarantee deposits. Meanwhile, Australia’s banks now have significant exposure to the residential and commercial property sectors. With unemployment likely to reach double digits, there will be growing pressure on already heavily indebted households; demand for office space will also fall as more people become jobless or work from home permanently, which will in turn reduce commercial property values.

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Prepare for drawn-out downturn

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Original article by Richard Gluyas
The Australian – Page: 13 & 17 : 1-May-20

The ANZ Bank has posted an interim cash profit of $1.41bn, which is 60 per cent lower than previously. The result was marred by impairment charges totalling $1.7bn, while a decision on its half-year dividend will be deferred until August due to uncertainty regarding the economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic. ANZ’s common equity tier one ratio has fallen to 10.8 per cent, compared with 11.5 per cent a year ago. Meanwhile, CEO Shayne Elliott says the Australian economy is unlikely to experience a V-shaped recovery.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Westpac braces for virus shock

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian – Page: 17 & 21 : 29-Apr-20

Westpac has advised that its half-year accounts will include a pre-tax impairment charge of $2.24bn. This includes a $1.6bn provision for coronavirus-related loan losses. However, CEO Peter King says the bank is well-positioned to absorb an increase in loan losses, while Westpac does not expect the impairment charges to have much effect on its common equity tier-one capital ratio. Westpac is not expected to undertake a capital raising, having raised some $2.77bn from investors in November. Westpac will release its interim results on 4 May.

CORPORATES
WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC

Virus-plagued NAB seeks $3.5bn

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Original article by Richard Gluyas
The Australian – Page: 13 & 17 : 28-Apr-20

National Australia Bank has posted a 2019-20 interim net profit of $1.3bn, compared with $2.7bn previously. Loan impairments rose to $1.2bn due to a sharp increase in provisions due to the coronavirus, while NAB has reduced its interim dividend from $0.83 per share to just $0.30. NAB shares were suspended from trading on 27 April pending a $3.5bn capital raising, which comprises a $3bn institutional placement and a $500m share purchase plan. Meanwhile, NAB is bearish about the outlook for the economy and unemployment in the near-term.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB

Greedy banks protect profits: ACCC

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Original article by Cliona O’Dowd, David Ross
The Australian – Page: 15 : 28-Apr-20

The Australian Competition & Consumer Commission has released the interim report of its Home Loan Price Inquiry. It has concluded that the nation’s four major banks failed to pass on the full 75 basis point reduction in the cash rate during 2019 in order to protect their profits. The ACCC also found that existing home loan customers tend to pay higher interest rates than new borrowers. Steve Mickenbecker of Canstar says it is a ‘lethargy tax’ rather than a ‘loyalty tax’, and the onus should be on existing customers to actively request a lower interest rate.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN COMPETITION AND CONSUMER COMMISSION, CANSTAR PTY LTD

CBA delays all SME repayments

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Original article by Max Maddison
The Australian – Page: 17 : 24-Apr-20

The Council of Small Business Organisations’ deputy chairman David Gandolfo has welcomed the Commonwealth Bank’s decision to defer loan repayments for many small business customers until the end of June. The loan deferral will automatically apply to small business accounts that have lending limits of less than $5m, although these customers can opt to continue making repayments. Business customers with loans of between $5m and $10m will be able to defer repayments for six months due to the impact of the pandemic.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, COUNCIL OF SMALL BUSINESS ORGANISATIONS OF AUSTRALIA LIMITED

$A doing its job to help stabilise the economy

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Original article by Sarah Turner, Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 22-Apr-20

The Reserve Bank of Australia has bought $47bn worth of federal and state government bonds since 20 March. The central bank has progressively reduced its daily bond purchases from $5bn to just $500m since then, and it will now buy federal government bonds three times a week and state bonds just once a week. Meanwhile, RBA governor Philip Lowe says the Australian dollar fell more sharply than he had expected in March. It reached a low of $US0.5741 and has since recovered to around $US0.63. Lowe says the currency has been a "great shock-absorber" for the domestic economy over the last three decades.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

NAB reveals $1.4bn writedowns

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian – Page: 16 : 21-Apr-20

National Australia Bank has advised that its cash profit for the six months to 31 March will be marred by writedowns totalling $1.14bn. This includes a $188m provision for customer remediation and an impairment charge of $742m associated with its software capitalisation policy. Westpac recently warned that its half-year results will include some $1.43bn worth of write-downs. Meanwhile, analysts expect the major banks’ loan losses and dividend payouts to be a key focus for investors when their interim results are released.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

No sign of breakout in inflation: King

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Original article by Adam Creighton
The Australian – Page: 13 & 16 : 20-Apr-20

The Reserve Bank of Australia has been actively buying state and federal government bonds in response to the coronavirus crisis. Former Bank of England governor Mervin King contends that the risk of a sharp rise in inflation will remain low if central banks rather than governments continue to have responsibility for deciding how much money to print. King has also described modern monetary theory as "nonsense", while he has praised regulators in Australia, the UK and New Zealand for advising banks to delay their dividend payments.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BANK OF ENGLAND

Record bond deal shows confidence in Australia: PM

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Original article by Sarah Turner, Vesna Poljak, Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 : 17-Apr-20

The Australian Office of Financial Management has revealed that domestic investors accounted for 68.1 per cent of the federal government’s $13bn bond deal. Banks in turn bought more than 50 per cent of the new bonds, while investment managers accounted for 25 per cent of the issuance. Prime Minister Scott Morrison says the strong support for the bond deal demonstrates that investors are confident that Australia will be able to repay its debt.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY. OFFICE OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET