K62 Finance

Surging dollar harming export earnings

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 20 : 4-Jun-20

The Australian dollar peaked at a five-month high of $US0.6983 in local trading on 3 June, having fallen to an 18-year low of $US0.551 earlier in 2020. The currency has averaged $US0.648 so far in the first half of the calendar year, compared with an average of around $US0.68 in the second half of 2019. The dollar’s recent rebound has boosted offshore interest in Australian equities, although it will weigh on the nation’s export earnings.

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Savings rates are drying up as banks race to the bottom on mortgages

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Original article by Matt Johnson
The New Daily – Page: Online : 3-Jun-20

Data from Canstar shows that Australian banks reduced the interest rates on a range of savings accounts and term deposits by up to 75 basis points in May. However, the interest rates on mortgage loans were reduced much less aggressively, averaging just 0.08 per cent for variable home loans and 0.36 per cent for fixed-rate loans. Steve Mickenbecker of Canstar attributes this to factors such as growing competition from non-bank mortgage lenders. However, he does not expect rates to fall much further.

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CANSTAR PTY LTD

ANZ urges stricken firms: wind up now

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Original article by James Frost
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 17 : 1-Jun-20

The ANZ’s head of retail and business banking, Mark Hand, suggests that 2021 will be a very difficult year for small businesses. He suggests that many small and medium enterprises will not recover from the COVID-19 crisis, even with loan deferrals from banks and wage subsidies from the federal government. He says the best move for some SME owners would be to wind up their business and walk away with some equity. The ANZ is worried that the recent spark of optimism resulting from a fall in new COVID-19 cases and the easing of some restrictions will result in some of its business borrowers becoming complacent.

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AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Watchdog backs delay of Hayne banking reforms

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Original article by Eli Greenblat
The Australian – Page: 16 : 29-May-20

Some of the recommendations arising from the Hayne royal commission were slated to be implemented in July. Australian Securities & Investments Commission chairman James Shipton has expressed support for the federal government’s decision to delay these reforms until the end of 2020, given the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on banks and the domestic economy. Shipton has also told a Senate committee that ASIC is watching out for fraudulent activity such as phoenix companies and attempts to scam people out of their superannuation savings via the early access scheme.

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AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY

Lowe urges banks to lend again

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 13 & 17 : 22-May-20

Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe has praised the resilience of Australia’s financial system and said that it is well-placed to ride out the coronavirus pandemic. Lowe has also told a Financial Services Institute webcast that banks should utilise the capital and liquidity buffers that they have built up over the last decade and continue to lend during the pandemic. Lowe also repeated his view that the prospect of negative interest rates in Australia is unlikely.

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RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, FINANCIAL SERVICES INSTITUTE OF AUSTRALASIA

Powell’s equities lift: we’re not out of ammo

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 20 : 19-May-20

The Australian sharemarket has been bolstered by encouraging comments from US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell. He indicated that there is "almost no limit" to the central bank’s monetary stimulus in response to the coronavirus pandemic; Powell has also forecast that the US economy will steadily recover during the second half of 2020, in the absence of a second wave of virus infections. The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet has increased by 67 per cent to $US6.93trn since February, although the central bank has been winding back its quantitative easing program since mid-March.

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UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX

NAB’s check on mortgage deferrals

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Original article by Cliona O’Dowd
The Australian – Page: 13 & 15 : 18-May-20

The National Australia Bank announced in March that it would offer a six-month repayment reprieve to mortgage loan customers impacted by COVID-19, with 80,000 borrowers taking up its offer. It stated then it would wait for three months before contacting borrowers to see if they are able to start making payments again, but it has begun the process after just two months. All the other major banks have confirmed they will wait the three months before getting in touch with borrowers. A NAB spokesperson says it has commenced the process ahead of time to ensure it has got in contact with all relevant borrowers before the "three-month checkpoint". Recent figures from the Australian Banking Association reveal that 429,000 borrowers have sought a pause on their repayments since late March.

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NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIAN BANKING ASSOCIATION

Westpac dividend chance good as zero

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Original article by James Frost
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 : 6-May-20

Victor German of Macquarie and Matthew Wilson from Evans & Partners are among the analysts who do not expect Westpac to pay an interim dividend for 2019-20. However, German believes that Westpac could pay a final dividend of $0.40 per share, and Wilson forecasts a payout of $0.35. Brendan Sproules of Citigroup is more bullish, forecasting a final dividend of $0.65. Citi has a share price target of $26 for Westpac.

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WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, EVANS AND PARTNERS ASIA FUND – ASX EAF, CITIGROUP PTY LTD

Put reform on fast track: Westpac

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian – Page: 13 & 17 : 5-May-20

Westpac has reported cash earnings of $993m for the first half of 2019-20, which is 70 per cent lower than previously. As previously flagged, the half-year result was marred by impairment charges totalling $2.23bn, including some $1.6bn for coronavirus-related loan losses. Westpac has deferred a decision on the payment of an interim dividend, while CEO Peter King has urged the national cabinet to move quickly to restart the economy when the pandemic abates. He has forecast a V-shaped economic recovery in 2021.

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WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC

Bad debts hang over Westpac dividend plans

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Original article by James Frost, Aleks Vickovich, James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 & 19 : 4-May-20

Westpac’s dividend payout is likely to be a key focus for investors when its half-year financial results are released on 4 May. Westpac has already advised of $1.6bn in impairment charges for coronavirus-related loan losses. Matt Williams of Airlie Funds Management says Westpac should not pay an interim dividend, arguing that investors expect companies to preserve capital in the current environment. David Walker of Clime Asset Management in turn expects Westpac to pay a much lower half-year dividend and opt for a dividend reinvestment plan.

CORPORATES
WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AIRLIE FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, CLIME ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD