K62 Finance

Cut taxes, not rates, says Comyn

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian – Page: 20 : 29-May-19

The Commonwealth Bank plans to invest some $5bn in it technology platforms over five years, to make them more secure and to improve their functionality. It is part of the bank’s strategy to regain customers’ trust in the wake of the Hayne royal commission. CEO Matt Comyn has also told a business lunch that the bank will close more branches over coming years but it is committed to retaining Australia’s largest branch network. He added that government policies such as tax cuts do more to stimulate the economy than official interest rate cuts.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, HERBERT SMITH FREEHILLS PTY LTD

Satisfaction and NPS of big four banks improving after Finance Royal Commission

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 28-May-19

New results from Roy Morgan shows that customer satisfaction with Australia’s big four banks reached 75.9% in April 2019, up by 0.6% points since February, and their Net Promoter Score was 0.4, up from minus 1.6. Meanwhile, banks outside of the big four currently have a satisfaction rating of 83.8%. It appears that the focus of the Finance Royal Commission on the big four may have had a bigger impact on their rating, which is now down by 3.3% points from prior to the commission, compared to a decline of only 1.1% points for the banks outside of the big four. The CBA has the highest satisfaction among the big four with 78.1%, followed by Westpac (74.7%), ANZ (74.4%) and NAB (72.7%). Among the major smaller banks, Bendigo Bank has the highest rating with 90.1%, followed by ING (89.9%). The banks outside of the big four also continue to have higher NPS scores, with the latest figure for April 2019 being 24.0 compared to the big four on 0.4. The smaller banks now have higher NPS than prior to the Royal Commission, when it was 23.4. These are some of the latest findings from Roy Morgan’s ‘Customer Satisfaction report on Consumer Banking in Australia’ and the ‘Financial Institutions Advocacy Report’. These reports are based on in-depth interviews conducted face-to-face with over 50,000 consumers per annum in their homes.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, BENDIGO BANK, ING BANK (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY

Banks bluffing on NZ lending threats: former PM

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Original article by James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 & 20 : 24-May-19

Former New Zealand prime minister Bill English has concerns about the Reserve Bank of NZ’s plans to require the local subsidiaries of Australia’s big four banks to increase their capital levels. S&P Global Ratings has estimated that the banks would need to raise an additional $8.1 billion, given that Australia’s four major banks have an 86 per cent share of the NZ lending market. English is worried that the move will make the banks more complacent about risk management, although he doubts that they will go ahead with threats to reduce lending in New Zealand.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND, S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, STOCKBROKERS AND FINANCIAL ADVISERS ASSOCIATION LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Economy needs rate cuts: Lowe

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 17 & 24 : 22-May-19

Financial markets have priced in a 92 per cent chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia will reduce the cash rate in June, in response to comments made by governor Philip Lowe. He used an Economics Society speech on 21 May to argue that two interest rate cuts are needed to prevent an increase in unemployment and to lift inflation to the central bank’s target range. Financial markets also expect a second interest rate cut by November, and Westpac economist Bill Evans forecasts that the RBA will do so in August.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, ECONOMICS SOCIETY OF AUSTRALIA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, apra use AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, NOMURA AUSTRALIA LIMITED, BARCLAYS BANK PLC, RBC CAPITAL MARKETS

Rise in jobless lifts chance of rate cut

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 32 : 17-May-19

Financial markets have priced in a 64 per cent chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia will reduce the cash rate in June, after official data showed that the unemployment rate rose from five per cent to 5.2 per cent in April. However, George Tharenou of UBS still expects the central bank to leave interest rates on hold until July, preferring to wait for the next set of labour market data before taking action. Ben Jarman of JP Morgan forecasts a rate cut in August.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX

ASIC to rank companies by complaints

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Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 20 : 16-May-19

The Australian Securities & Investments Commission aims to increase the financial services industry’s accountability with regard to the handling of customers’ complaint. It will rank banks, insurers and superannuation funds on their performance on this issue, with the first data expected to be released by mid-2021. The move to increase the sector’s transparency has been welcomed by David Locke, the CEO of the Australia Financial Complaints Authority; it has received around 6,000 complaints per month since it was established in late 2018.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, AUSTRALIAN FINANCIAL COMPLAINTS AUTHORITY, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN CONSUMERS’ ASSOCIATION

Banks’ total Hayne bill may top $10b

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Original article by James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 & 18 : 14-May-19

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia has reported cash earnings of $1.7bn for the March quarter, which is 28 per cent lower than previously. CBA’s trading update shows that it made additional pre-tax provisions of $714m for customer remediation during the quarter. The bank’s remediation costs have now topped $2.17bn in total, and it has allocated 400 employees to compensation programs. Meanwhile, Brett Le Mesurier of Shaw & Partners says the major banks and AMP have now incurred combined remediation costs of about $9bn. He adds that this could ultimately rise to around $10bn.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, SHAW AND PARTNERS LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, KPMG AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, CITIGROUP PTY LTD

Weak housing data boosts odds of rate cut

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Original article by Sarah Turner
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 33 : 14-May-19

Financial markets have priced in a 30 per cent chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia will reduce the cash rate in June, following the release of the latest housing finance data. The figures show that lending fell by 3.2 per cent in March, and by 18.4 per cent year-on-year. Financial markets have now priced in a 98 per cent chance of a rate cut in August. Meanwhile, UBS expects interest rate cuts in July and August,

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT

Digitised lending ‘in a decade’: NAB

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Original article by Richard Gluyas
The Australian – Page: 19 : 13-May-19

Business banking contributes almost 50 per cent of National Australia Bank’s cash earnings. Anthony Healy, the head of NAB’s business banking division, forecasts that approvals for loans to small and medium enterprises will have been fully digitised within 10 years. He notes that platforms such as Quickbiz already allows NAB to do this. Healy has downplayed speculation that he is among the leading internal candidates to permanently replace Andrew Thorburn as CEO.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, JUDO BANK PTY LTD

Odds of post-election rate cut mispriced, says Ellerston

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Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 & 31 : 10-May-19

Financial market traders have priced in a 20 per cent chance of an official interest rate cut in June, after the Reserve Bank of Australia left the cash rate on hold in May. Brett Gillespie of Ellerston Capital argues that the central bank would have wanted to avoid adjusting monetary policy during an election campaign, as it could potentially have been accused of influencing the outcome of the election. He expects a rate cut in June, stating that the RBA’s mandate requires it to do so as soon as possible.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, ELLERSTON CAPITAL PTY LTD, TUDOR INVESTMENT CORPORATION, GOLDMAN SACHS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD