K62 Finance

RBA flags risk of record household debt

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Original article by David Uren
The Australian – Page: 2 : 18-Jul-18

The minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s board meeting for July indicate that although the central bank expects to begin tightening monetary policy, it is in no hurry to do so. The minutes also show that high levels of household debt continues to be a concern for the central bank. It noted that while an increase in the cash rate could be expected to reduce consumer spending, the high level of debt means a rate cut may not necessarily result in increased spending.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Westpac to quit SMSF lending

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Original article by Duncan Hughes, Joanna Mather
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 6 : 17-Jul-18

Westpac will cease offering new loans to self-managed superannuation funds that wish to invest in property at the end of July. Chris Balalovski of BDO notes that there does not seem to be any problems with losses in the SMSF sector as regards property, and that Westpac’s decision could be more to do with negative regulatory or consumer sentiment towards loans to SMSFs. Jordan George from the SMSF Association says it is his understanding that the Commonwealth Bank and Macquarie still provide loans to SMSFs, but that the National Australia Bank and the ANZ Bank do not lend to the sector.

CORPORATES
WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, BDO AUSTRALIA LIMITED, SMSF ASSOCIATION, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, BANK OF MELBOURNE LIMITED, ST GEORGE BANK LIMITED, BANK OF SOUTH AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Tension may turn RBA dovish

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Original article by William McInnes
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 21 : 16-Jul-18

JP Morgan expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to leave official interest rates on hold at 1.5 per cent until at least June 2019. However, JPMorgan analysts have indicated that the US-China trade war could adversely affect global economic growth. A slowdown in global growth could in turn prompt a fall in the global manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index, which has traditionally influenced the Reserve Bank’s monetary policy decisions.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, JP MORGAN ASSET MANAGEMENT INCORPORATED

Banks face $70b gap in funding

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Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 16-Jul-18

Australia’s banks have experienced an increase in the gap between bank loans and deposits, according to National Australia Bank analysis. The funding gap rose from $A390 billion in the June 2017 quarter to $A457 million in the March 2018 quarter. The increase was attributed to households needing to access more of their savings and superannuation funds shifting their cash into other asset classes. Banks increased lending by 4.8 per cent in the 12 months to May, but deposits rose by just over two per cent.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, TD SECURITIES, THE ASSOCIATION OF SUPERANNUATION FUNDS OF AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG

APRA’s stress test draws fire on detail

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Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 20 : 13-Jul-18

The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority has released the results of its latest stress test of the banking sector. Commenting on the results, APRA chairman Wayne Byres said banks need to get improved data on customers’ overall debt position, as well as coming up with better crisis plans. Digital Finance Analytics’ Martin North is critical of the lack of public detail in the stress test, while APRA has also been criticised by some economists for its very optimistic view of the state of Australia’s $1.7 trillion mortgage sector.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, DIGITAL FINANCE ANALYTICS, CLSA AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, LF ECONOMICS

Treasury boss warns against RBA rises

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 13-Jul-18

Economists have been urging the Reserve Bank of Australia to use the opportunity afforded to it by the nation’s strong economy to lift interest rates. They are concerned that failure to do so will leave it struggling to respond to any future financial crisis. RBA governor Philip Lowe has made it clear that rates will not go up until inflation rises, while outgoing Treasury secretary John Fraser has also warned against calls for rate increases.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY

CBA accepts undertaking over BBSW

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Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 : 12-Jul-18

The Australian Securities & Investment Commission has advised that the Commonwealth Bank of Australia has agreed to an enforceable undertaking with regard to the bank bill swap rate. CBA will pay $25m in fines and costs to settle ASIC’s case over allegations that the bank manipulated the BBSW. National Australia Bank and the ANZ Bank both agreed to pay $50m in total to settle their BBSW cases.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, FEDERAL COURT OF AUSTRALIA

Rates must rise, APRA veteran says

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 11-Jul-18

Jeffrey Carmichael is the latest monetary policy expert to have urged the Reserve Bank of Australia to begin increasing official interest rates. The inaugural chairman of the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority has warned of the economic risks of failing to begin raising the cash rate when other central banks are doing so. He has suggested that there may be a need for up to eight rate rises, but stresses the need to do so gradually. He adds that the domestic economy is strong enough to absorb rate rises without any significant risk. Carmichael worked at the RBA for two decades.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL UNIVERSITY, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK, PROMONTORY AUSTRALASIA PTY LTD

All eyes on big four as Macquarie lifts rates

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 11 & 16 : 10-Jul-18

There is growing speculation that Australia’s four major banks will increase their mortgage interest rates independently of the Reserve Bank. Macquarie is the latest bank to have advised of a rise in its variable rates for new and existing customers. Jonathan Mott of UBS says the large banks may opt to lift their rates in coming months to reflect the increase in their wholesale funding costs, although Sean Fenton of Tribeca Investment Partners notes that the major banks may be wary of attracting further political scrutiny at present. Some smaller lenders recently increased their mortgage rates.

CORPORATES
MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, TRIBECA INVESTMENT PARTNERS PTY LTD, PEPPER GROUP LIMITED, AMP BANK LIMITED, SUNCORP BANK, AUSWIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX ABA, IMB LIMITED, ME BANK, BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED – ASX BOQ, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY

Susceptible $A tipped to fall to US70c

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Original article by Sarah Turner
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 10-Jul-18

Some economists are bearish about the outlook for the Australian dollar, which has traded at close to a 12-month low since mid-June. Stephen Roberts of Laminar Capital expects the currency to be trading at $US0.70 at the end of 2018, citing the prospect of a growing gap between official interest rates in Australia and the US. Elliot Clarke of Westpac in turn expects the Australian dollar to test the $US0.70 level in the second half of 2019.

CORPORATES
LAMINAR CAPITAL, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, BANK OF AMERICA AUSTRALIA LIMITED, MERRILL LYNCH (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA