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Fund managers count the cost of Red October meltdown

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Original article by Melissa Yeo
The Australian – Page: 28 : 14-Nov-18

Platinum Investment Management CEO Andrew Clifford notes that October 2018 was the most challenging month for global markets since February 2009. The Australian sharemarket lost 5.4 per cent during October, extending its losses since an August peak to more than 10 per cent. The Platinum Global Fund and Monash Capital’s Absolute Investment Fund posted losses of 5.9 per cent and 5.69 per cent respectively, although hedge fund VGI Partners posted a modest gain of 0.8 per cent.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, PLATINUM INVESTMENT HOLDING PTE LTD, PLATINUM GLOBAL FUND, MONASH CAPITAL PTY LTD, MONASH ABSOLUTE INVESTMENT FUND, VGI PARTNERS PTY LTD, GRYPHON CAPITAL INCOME TRUST – ASX GCI, L1 LONG SHORT FUND LIMITED – ASX LSF, OPHIR ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, CONTANGO INCOME GENERATOR LIMITED – ASX CIE, K2 GLOBAL EQUITIES FUND, WCM GLOBAL GROWTH LIMITED – ASX WQG, CARSALES.COM LIMITED – ASX CAR, VIVA ENERGY GROUP LIMITED – ASX VEA, THE STAR ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED – ASX SGR, GWA GROUP LIMITED – ASX GWA, PERPETUAL LIMITED – ASX PPT, VIRTUS HEALTH LIMITED – ASX VRT, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, CORPORATE TRAVEL MANAGEMENT LIMITED – ASX CTD, BLOOMBERG LP, MSCI WORLD INDEX

Local rally defies Wall Street blues to signal correction may be over

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 28 : 31-Oct-18

The Australian sharemarket has posted strong gains in the last two trading sessions, reducing its loss for the month to 6.5 per cent. The local bourse has recovered from its recent 18-month low of 5,624 points, having peaked at 6,373 points in late August. Meanwhile, Tony Brennan of Citigroup notes that growth stocks were the biggest underperformers in the Australian market’s recent sell-off, although he adds that these stocks’ price-earnings multiples remain high.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE INDEX, MSCI WORLD INDEX, MSCI EMERGING MARKETS INDEX

Why there is a silver lining in bear markets

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 26 : 24-Oct-18

Global sharemarkets fell on 23 October, and Wall Street is one of the few markets that are still in positive territory for the year. Tobias Levkovich, the chief US equity strategist at Citigroup, notes that investors have become more focused on risk following the recent sell-off on Wall Street. He says the outlook for the US market remains encouraging until at least the middle of 2019, arguing that a major fall on Wall Street would require US corporate profits to fall sharply. He adds that US companies’ profit margins remain lower than in 2009.

CORPORATES
CITIGROUP INCORPORATED, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, JP MORGAN AND COMPANY INCORPORATED

Macquarie scraps stockbroker commissions to tackle conflicts

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis, Samantha Bailey
The Australian – Page: 17 & 28 : 23-Oct-18

Macquarie Group has advised that it will abolish commission payments for its stockbroking advisers and move to a salary and profit share remuneration system from April 2019. Commissions were criticised by former Commonwealth Bank CEO and current AMP chairman David Murray in his Financial System Inquiry as causing the potential for conflicts of interest. However, Macquarie’s decision may not please all brokers and could lead to the departure of some staff.

CORPORATES
MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, JBWERE LIMITED, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, CRESTONE WEALTH MANAGEMENT LIMITED

‘We’re in the eighth inning’: Oaktree chief wary of bull run

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 17 & 28 : 23-Oct-18

Oaktree Capital Management’s co-founder Howard Marks says current financial market conditions favour a defensive investment style. Marks warns that although the bull market may continue for some time yet, the chances of a bear market are increasing. He describes quantitative easing in the wake of the global financial crisis as a "massive experiment" that succeeded, but he says the impact of quantitative tightening is uncertain.

CORPORATES
OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC, CITICORP, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX, MSCI EMERGING MARKETS INDEX

US fundamentals strong despite correction

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 18 : 22-Oct-18

The S&P 500 recently shed nearly eight per cent, although it has recovered much of the lost ground and remains five per cent higher than at the start of 2018. Kevin Anderson of State Street has downplayed concerns about the recent pullback by US equities, arguing that Wall Street was largely catching up with the bond market and overseas markets. Anderson expects the US sharemarket to rise in 2019 and he is upbeat about the outlook for the US economy, while he forecasts that the Federal Reserve will lift interest rates to about three per cent in 2019.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Wipe-out on way as Telstra, big banks tank

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Original article by James Kirby
The Australian – Page: 24 : 17-Oct-18

The dividend yields of Australian stocks that were once regarded as bond proxies is testing seven per cent, while the dividend yield across the broader sharemarket has risen to 4.45 per cent. However, the share prices of former bond proxies such as Telstra and the major banks have fallen sharply, and the loss of sharemarket value may offset any dividend gains. An increasingly competitive telco market is weighing on Telstra, while the banks face a number of headwinds, including the prospect of increased regulation and the impact of the financial services royal commission.

CORPORATES
TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED – ASX BOQ, TPG TELECOM LIMITED – ASX TPM, VODAFONE AUSTRALIA LIMITED, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, JB HI-FI LIMITED – ASX JBH, FINANCIAL OMBUDSMAN SERVICE LIMITED, RAMS HOME LOANS PTY LTD, SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED – ASX SUN, BANKWEST, BANK OF MELBOURNE LIMITED, HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, LATITUDE FINANCIAL PARTNERS

Tech, financials in sea of red as world awaits US earnings

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 17 & 28 : 16-Oct-18

Bearish investor sentiment again weighed on Asian sharemarkets on 15 October, which followed the Australian bourse further into negative territory. Richard Coppleson of Bell Potter expects global markets to follow the historical trend for October, whereby sharp sell-offs are usually followed by a strong recovery in the final months of the year. However, he adds that the Australian sharemarket is unlikely to rebound strongly until there is evidence that Wall Street’s latest sell-off was merely a correction.

CORPORATES
BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, HANG SENG INDEX, SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, JANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLC – ASX JHG, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, JP MORGAN AND COMPANY INCORPORATED

Investors brace for another volatile week

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Original article by Perry Williams
The Australian – Page: 19 : 15-Oct-18

Futures pricing suggests that Australian equities will fall when the local sharemarket opens on 15 October. The S&P/ASX 200 shed 4.7 per cent in the previous week, despite a modest gain on 12 October, and Shane Oliver of AMP Capital says there is a high risk of a further correction in the short-term. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also clawed back some of its losses on 12 October, after shedding 1,300 points in the previous two trading sessions.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE INDEX, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, TD SECURITIES, FARR, MILLER AND WASHINGTON LLC

Trump blames crazy Fed for rout

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Original article by Vesna Poljak, Sarah Turner, Michael Smith, Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 29 : 12-Oct-18

The Nasdaq shed more than four per cent on 11 October, as global sentiment toward equities turned bearish. President Donald Trump has linked the global sell-off to the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to increase official interest rates, telling reporters that the central bank is "making a mistake" and it has "gone crazy". Simon Doyle of Schroders says US markets are likely to experience a further big fall, citing factor such as high valuations, rising interest rates and the US-China trade war.

CORPORATES
NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, SCHRODER INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT AUSTRALIA LIMITED, NETFLIX INCORPORATED, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, ADOBE CORPORATION, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, HANG SENG INDEX, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED – ASX WTC, APPEN LIMITED – ASX APX, FEDERATION ASSET MANAGEMENT, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG