Trade out, quality in as blue chips re-emerge

Original article by Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 24-Nov-16

Australian-listed small-capitalisation stocks have outperformed the broader sharemarket over the last 18 months or so. However, this outperformance has been reversed in the last month, and particularly in the wake of Donald Trump’s presidential election win. There has been renewed support for bank and resources stocks, due to factors such as a rise in government bond yields and commodity prices.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, PERPETUAL INVESTMENTS, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Recovery looks set to stay the course for year

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 31 : 24-Nov-16

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 has gained 8.6 per cent since Donald Trump won the US presidential election. The market has not staged a similar rally since December 2015, which followed a global equities sell-down prior to the rise in US interest rates. Financial markets have already priced in the next rise in US rates, so there would seem to be few factors that could potentially stall the domestic bourse’s recent rally.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, ORGANISATION OF PETROLEUM EXPORTING COUNTRIES, AMCOR LIMITED – ASX AMC, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED – ASX ALL, INCITEC PIVOT LIMITED – ASX IPL, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, SYDNEY AIRPORT – ASX SYD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Volatility hits fund earnings

Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 23 : 17-Nov-16

Data from Mercer shows that Australia’s median shares fund manager achieved a return of negative 3.1 per cent between August and October 2016. SuperRatings’ figures show that the median superannuation fund boasted a return of minus 0.7 per cent for the period, including a one per cent loss in October. Factors such as the outlook of inflation and uncertainty over the timing of a rate rise in the US weighed on financial markets in October.

CORPORATES
MERCER INVESTMENTS PTY LTD, SUPERRATINGS PTY LTD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Shares to feel the jolt as ‘bondcano’ fires up

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 31 : 17-Nov-16

The yield on 10-year Australian government bonds has retreated from a high of 2.74 per cent in the wake of Donald Trump’s presidential election win. The so-called "bondcano" has seen the yield on 10-year bonds rise by 51 per cent since August 2016, and Credit Suisse estimates that the recent sell-off is the 13th biggest since 1970. Hasan Tevfik of Credit Suisse expects bond yields to keep rising over the long-term, and identifies stocks such as Sydney Airport, APA Group and Healthscope as those most at risk from higher yields.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, SYDNEY AIRPORT – ASX SYD, APA GROUP – ASX APA, HEALTHSCOPE LIMITED – ASX HSO, ASX LIMITED – ASX ASX, BWP TRUST – ASX BWP, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, WESTFIELD CORPORATION – ASX WFD, SCENTRE GROUP – ASX SCG, TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED – ASX TCL, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, CROWN RESORTS LIMITED – ASX CWN, AUSNET SERVICES LIMITED – ASX AST, VICINITY CENTRES – ASX VCX, CHARTER HALL GROUP – ASX CHC, QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED – ASX QAN, NUFARM LIMITED – ASX NUF, MYER HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX MYR, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, LEND LEASE GROUP LIMITED – ASX LLC

Private equity buyers focused on health, leisure, tech assets

Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 16 : 14-Nov-16

A new report from law firm Minter Ellison notes that there has been an increase in deal-making activity by private equity firms. Sectors such as health, technology, leisure and child care are tipped to attract strong interest from buyout firms. However, Minter Ellison partner Glen Sauer says it is too soon to forecast the impact that Donald Trump’s presidency will have on the private equity sector’s investment in Australia.

CORPORATES
MINTER ELLISONJP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITEDSAI GLOBAL LIMITED – ASX SAIBARING ASIA PRIVATE EQUITYGENESIS CARE PTY LTDMACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQGCHINA RESOURCES (HOLDINGS) LIMITEDKKR AND COMPANY LPCITIGROUP PTY LTDDEALOGIC (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTDDICK SMITH HOLDINGS LIMITEDSPOTLESS GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX SPOESTIA HEALTH LIMITED – ASX EHEVITACO HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX VITPATTIES FOODS LIMITEDSHANGHAI PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDING COMPANY LIMITEDPRIMAVERA CAPITAL GROUPPACIFIC EQUITY PARTNERS PTY LTD

Stocks bounce back, buoyed by Trump’s fiscal optimism

Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 23 & 34 : 11-Nov-16

The Australian sharemarket posted its largest single-day gain in more than five years on 10 November 2016, while Wall Street defied expectations of a big fall after the election of Donald Trump, finishing in the black. The Australian dollar also rallied, while local and US 10-year bond yields rose. Financial markets have scaled back the odds of a reduction in Australia’s cash rate by mid-2017, while there has been a slight easing of expectations of a rate rise in the US in December 2016.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX ALL ORDINARIES INDEX, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, HANG SENG INDEX, DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, EURO STOXX 50 INDEX, PM CAPITAL LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, QIC LIMITED, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT

Buck doesn’t stop with top execs

Original article by Richard Gluyas
The Australian – Page: 25 : 11-Nov-16

When the CEOs of Australia’s four major banks appeared before an economics committee in October 2016 they revealed that no senior executives have been sacked over scandals that have plagued the sector. National Australia Bank has sacked 43 financial planners, while Westpac has sacked 139 of the 885 employees it has investigated for potential breaches of its code of conduct. Meanwhile, just 16 of the employees that have been dismissed by the Commonwealth Bank were executive managers.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMINSURE, AUSTRALIA. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES STANDING COMMITTEE ON ECONOMICS, FINANCE AND PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

You’re fired: result shows the limits of the forecasters

Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 33 : 11-Nov-16

Most public opinion polls had pointed to Hillary Clinton winning the US presidential election. Principal Global Investors’ Mark Farrington likens polling methods to the trading models used in financial market, noting that they both rely on historical predictions. In the case of Donald Trump’s election victory, and the Brexit vote earlier in 2016, traditional models did not reflect the forces that influenced voting trends. Meanwhile, Wall Street rallied and bond yields rose in response to Trump’s election victory.

CORPORATES
PRINCIPAL GLOBAL INVESTORS, UBS O’CONNOR LLC, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

CBA pay revolt triggers first strike at AGM

Original article by James Eyers, Julie-anne Sprague
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 2 : 10-Nov-16

At the Commonwealth Bank of Australia’s AGM in Perth on 9 November 2016, the bank received a "first strike" when 49 per cent of votes and proxies rejected the remuneration report. Shareholders objected to the introduction of performance measures that would be difficult to measure and quantify. The meeting was disrupted by environmentalists who chanted a slogan "Act on climate, CommBank can".

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, INSTITUTIONAL SHAREHOLDER SERVICES INCORPORATED, AUSTRALIAN SHAREHOLDERS’ ASSOCIATION, AUSTRALIAN YOUTH CLIMATE CHANGE COALITION LIMITED

Wave of uncertainty wipes $30bn

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 21 & 30 : 10-Nov-16

The Australian dollar and the domestic sharemarket fell sharply on 9 November 2016, in response to the election of US presidential candidate Donald Trump. The S&P/ASX 200 reached an intra-day low of 5,052.1 before closing down 1.9 per cent at 5156.6. In the US, S&P 500 futures initially fell by more than five per cent, which resulted in a temporary suspension of trading. Some analysts expect "risk-off" trading to be sustained for some time, while the prospect of an interest rate rise in the US in December appears to have diminished. The Australian dollar reached a low of $US0.758 in local trading, and Westpac’s Robert Rennie says it could fall below $US0.74 in the near-term.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, FTSE 100 INDEX, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED