ANZ cuts back Asian footprint

Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 21 & 24 : 1-Nov-16

CEO Shayne Elliot says the ANZ Bank will eventually offload more of its retail banking operations in Asia, after striking a deal to sell its retail and wealth assets in Hong Kong, Singapore, China, Taiwan and Indonesia. ANZ has not revealed the price of the transaction, although it says Singapore-based DBS Bank will pay $A110m more than the book value of the assets. ANZ will incur a $A265m net loss on the transaction, while it will also slightly affect its earnings per share and return on equity. ANZ expanded its presence in Asia under previous CEO Mike Smith.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, DBS BANK LIMITED, ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND GROUP PLC, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG

Commodities up but $A stuck at US77c

Original article by Jens Meyer
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 1-Nov-16

The rally in the price of coking and thermal coal since early August 2016 has bolstered Australia’s terms of trade. However, the Australian dollar has been largely range-bound over this period, and it has not been able to achieve a sustained rise above the $US0.77 level. The currency has not benefited from growing expectations that the Reserve Bank will leave official interest rates on hold in the near-term. Sean Callow of Westpac expects the currency to test the $US0.70 level by the December 2017 quarter.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND

Clinton victory and divided Congress ‘best for shares’

Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 11 & 16 : 1-Nov-16

UBS suggests that in terms the outlook for equities, the best outcome of the US election would be if Hillary Clinton becomes president but neither party has control of Congress. Wingate Asset Management’s Chad Padowitz notes that health stocks in particular could be sold down if the Democrats control both houses. Historical analysis by AMP Capital shows that since 1927, US equities have delivered better returns when a Democrat has been in the White House but one or both houses of Congress have been controlled by the Republican Party.

CORPORATES
UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, WINGATE ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, DEMOCRATIC PARTY (UNITED STATES), REPUBLICAN PARTY (UNITED STATES), STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, SANOFI PHARMACEUTICALS, DELTEC ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, CHICAGO BOARD OPTIONS EXCHANGE VOLATILITY INDEX, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL BUREAU OF INVESTIGATION

Banks charged customers $180m for no financial advice

Original article by Misa Han
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 6 : 28-Oct-16

The Australian Securities & Investments Commission has released a report on the dubious practices of financial advisers aligned with the "big four" banks and AMP. ASIC found that many customers had been charged for financial advice between August 2013 and December 2015, but they did not receive any such advice. ASIC noted that most of these cases occurred prior to the implementation of the Future of Financial Advice reforms. It is estimated that about 200,000 customers will be entitled to total compensation of some $A178m.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, AUSTRALIAN BANKERS’ ASSOCIATION

Dr Doom says ‘a serious recession desirable’ for the West

Original article by Patrick Commins
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 & 31 : 28-Oct-16

Investment expert Marc Faber notes that global economic power has shifted from the developed world to emerging economies in recent decades. He adds that trade between Asian countries has also become much bigger than the region’s exports to the US. Faber also suggests that the financial sector still accounts for too much of the economy in Western nations, and a major recession may be beneficial for developed countries. He says mining stocks and emerging market equities offer good value at present compared with their peers.

CORPORATES
BLOOMBERG LP

Trump might win, and beware the turmoil

Original article by Matthew Cranston
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 & 20 : 26-Oct-16

Hedge fund expert Jim Rogers says global financial market volatility is likely regardless of the outcome of the US presidential election. Rogers adds that a number of other factors will also contribute to looming financial market turbulence. He cautions against investing in bonds, and says investors should seek exposure to the agricultural sector, including farmland and agricultural futures. Rogers also says the Australian Government should take action to address the nation’s growing debt.

CORPORATES
QUANTUM FUND NV, APPLE INCORPORATED, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, GOOGLE INCORPORATED, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, PARAWAY PASTORAL COMPANY LIMITED

Perth fundies see more upside in resources

Original article by Tess Ingram
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 : 24-Oct-16

Australia’s S&P/ASX 300 Metals & Mining Index has gained 45.3 per cent so far in 2016, while the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 has risen by just 6.2 per cent. The rebound in the share prices of resources and energy stocks has rewarded investors who capitalised on a sell-off in the sector earlier in the year. WestOZ Funds Management has been progressively lifting its funds’ weightings toward the sector over recent months, while scaling back their exposure to cash.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 300 METALS AND MINING INDEX, WESTOZ FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, WESTOZ INVESTMENT COMPANY LIMITED – ASX WIC, PACKER AND COMPANY INVESTIGATOR TRUST, NORILSK NICKEL, CAMECO CORPORATION, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, INDEPENDENCE GROUP NL – ASX IGO, WESTERN AREAS LIMITED – ASX WSA, SANDFIRE RESOURCES NL – ASX SFR

Dividend cuts loom despite $23bn profits

Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 17 & 21 : 24-Oct-16

National Australia Bank is tipped to post a 2015-16 cash profit of $A6.55bn on 27 October 2016. The ANZ Bank and Westpac are expected to post full-year profits of $A6.18bn and $A7.8bn respectively in coming weeks, while the Commonwealth Bank has booked a cash profit of $A9.45bn for the year to 30 June. Bank dividends are likely to come under pressure, while Jonathan Mott of UBS expects the banks to post negative growth in earnings per share for the first time since the global financial crisis.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, CLSA AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CLYDESDALE BANK PLC, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 BANKS INDEX, DEUTSCHE BANK AG

Fewer home loans a good thing: APRA

Original article by Joanna Mather
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 23 : 21-Oct-16

Australian Prudential Regulation Authority chairman Wayne Byres has told a Senate estimates committee that lending standards in the housing finance sector have improved over the last year. He added that APRA’s move to impose stricter lending standards on the industry has also resulted in slower growth in lending to property investors and to marginal borrowers. Treasury secretary John Fraser previously expressed concern about the cost of housing in Australia when he fronted the committee.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

How banks and resources could move in sync

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 31 : 21-Oct-16

The S&P/ASX 200 Materials Index has significantly outperformed the S&P/ASX 200 Banks Index in 2016, with a gain of 29 per cent compared with the latter’s eight per cent fall. Deutsche Bank notes that with the exception of the last four years, the two sectors have both regularly outperformed the broader sharemarket over the last 25 years. In addition, they have often outperformed in tandem. Tim Baker of Deutsche argues that the divergence of the two indices over the last few years suggests that they could be set for a new period of joint outperformance.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 MATERIALS INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 BANKS INDEX, DEUTSCHE BANK AG