K: Financial and Insurance Services

CBA to hand down bumper $9.5bn profit

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Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 21 & 24 : 8-Aug-16

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank is tipped to post a 2015-16 cash profit of $A434m on 8 August 2016, while the Commonwealth Bank of Australia is expected to report a full-year profit of $A9.5bn on 10 August. Scott Manning of JP Morgan says margins are likely to remain a significant focus for the banking major. However, the Reserve Bank does not expect banks’ margins to be adversely affected by recent moves to lift some term deposit interest rates while failing to pass on the full reduction in the cash rate to home loan and business customers.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, MERLON CAPITAL PARTNERS PTY LTD, MORGANS FINANCIAL LIMITED, PEABODY ENERGY CORPORATION, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, FIRST OIL PLC

Reporting season may test resilience of ASX

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 20 : 8-Aug-16

Futures traders expect the Australian sharemarket to gain 31 points when trading resumes on 8 August 2016, following a positive lead from Wall Street. The reporting season will continue to be a focus for investors in the coming week, with the Commonwealth Bank, REA Group, Telstra and Cochlear among the companies that are slated to release their latest financial result. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s monthly board meeting and Chinese economic data will also attract investors’ attention.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, REA GROUP LIMITED – ASX REA, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, COCHLEAR LIMITED – ASX COH, RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND, AGL PETROLEUM, TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED – ASX TCL, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, UNIVERSITY OF MELBOURNE. INSTITUTE OF APPLIED ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, PERPETUAL INVESTMENTS, TD SECURITIES

Cash still good option for savers, say advisers

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Original article by Sally Patten
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 6 : 5-Aug-16

Australian savers who may need to access their money at short notice are advised to opt for cash deposits. According to comparison website Canstar, the average interest rate on the major banks’ six-month deposits has declined to 2.11 per cent, from 5.44 per cent in 2010. Those seeking higher returns should consider investing in corporate bonds and hybrid securities. Scott Farmer, of Bravium Financial Planning, says the rates of return in these two asset classes range from four per cent to 6.5 per cent.

CORPORATES
CANSTAR PTY LTD, AFFINITY PRIVATE PTY LTD, BRAVIUM FINANCIALPLANNING, HEWISON PRIVATE WEALTH

Suncorp insures itself against more storms

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Original article by Sally Rose
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 & 20 : 5-Aug-16

Suncorp Group has reported an 8.3 per cent decline in net profit for 2015-16, to $A1.04 billion. Michael Cameron, the CEO of the Australian-listed insurance group, stated on 4 August 2016 that Suncorp has increased its reinsurance protection by $A300 million because of the higher frequency of weather-related events. Shares in Suncorp rose 0.7 per cent to $A13.30.

CORPORATES
SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED – ASX SUN, MAPLE-BROWN ABBOTT LIMITED, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, SUNCORP LIFE AND SUPERANNUATION LIMITED, ASTERON LIFE LIMITED, CONTANGO ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX ALL ORDINARIES INDEX

CEOs warn: bashing banks a growth risk

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Original article by Phillip Coorey, James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 5-Aug-16

Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull and Treasurer Scott Morrison have been asked to refrain from criticising the banks. Westpac CEO Brian Hartzer said on 4 August 2016 that their criticism is unwarranted. He stated that the banks could not pass on the recent official interest rate cut in full because of the necessity to balance the interests of borrowers with the need for prudent management of their funding needs. Turnbull reminded the banks that they have an obligation to act in socially responsible ways.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN BANKERS’ ASSOCIATION, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY

Banks reject Turnbull demand

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Original article by Phillip Coorey, Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 4-Aug-16

Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has criticised the major banks for failing to reduce their interest rates by the full 25 basis point reduction in the cash rate on 2 August 2016. Turnbull says the banks have a "social licence" and their CEOs should explain why the rate cut was not passed on to their customers in full. ANZ Bank CEO Shayne Elliott has conceded that banks should do more to explain their decisions on interest rates, but notes that wholesale funding costs are rising and the banks will be subject to new capital requirements.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN BANKERS’ ASSOCIATION

Lower rates help stocks but won’t spur growth

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 31 : 4-Aug-16

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 gained 6.3 per cent in July 2016, but it has shed 2.2 per cent since the Reserve Bank reduced the cash rate to a record low on 2 August. However, equities are likely to benefit from a likely trend for self-managed superannuation funds to reduce their exposure to cash as returns from such investments fall. The outlook for interest rates in Australia and abroad is also likely to ensure that price-earnings ratios remain elevated for some time.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence picks up steam ahead of the RBA meeting – up 2.5pts to 118.0

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 3-Aug-16

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence has risen by 2.2 per cent to 118.0 in the week ending 31 July 2016, with the improvement in confidence being broadly based. Increasing speculation of a rate cut at this week’s RBA meeting was likely a key driver of confidence. In addition, the buoyancy of the equity market – with the Australian share market recording its best July in six years – was also key in supporting household sentiment. Consumers’ views of their current finances rose by 6.8 per cent, and households’ views of the economic outlook in the next 12 months rose by 3.7 per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Gary Morgan on Consumer Confidence and the RBA’s decision to drop Australian interest rates to 1.5%

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Original article by Gary Morgan, Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 3-Aug-16

The August interest rate cut by the RBA shows that finally the RBA has acknowledged Australia’s massive under-employment problem that has been persistently ignored (8.3% – 1.079 million, in June, according to the latest Roy Morgan employment estimates). In addition, it’s time policymakers recognised the true extent of unemployment in Australia (9.6% in June – 1.247 million – according to the latest Roy Morgan real unemployment estimate). To provide an effective stimulus to the economy the RBA should immediately cut Australian interest rates to 0.5% – the same as in the comparable economies of the US & UK and as we have been calling for the RBA to do for more than two years. Reducing interest rates will have the most positive impact on the Australian economy when the banks start lending to more businesses rather than just households – particularly as this week’s ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence shows Australians are growing increasingly confident – now at 118.0 (up 2.5pts this week). By providing increased finance and credit to businesses the Australian economy will grow strongly and more jobs will be created for the over 2 million Australians either unemployed or under-employed

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Post-Brexit rally tipped to continue

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 32 : 2-Aug-16

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 gained 6.3 per cent in July 2016, and it has risen by 11 per cent since falling sharply after the UK voted to leave the European Union. The benchmark index is likely to continue to perform well in August, regardless of whether the Reserve Bank decides to reduce the cash rate. The bourse is benefiting from expectations that interest rates in Australia and overseas will remain low for some time. The latest GDP data in the US has dampened expectations that the Federal Reserve will ease monetary policy in 2016.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, BANK OF JAPAN