ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence – Consumers cringe as confidence drops to 113.2

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 31-May-16

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia fell 2.2 per cent to 113.2 in the week ended 29 May 2016, partially reversing the 3.6 per cent increase over the previous four weeks. Confidence remains just above its long-run average (+0.4 per cent). The fall last week was largely driven by concerns about the economic outlook. Consumers’ views towards their current finances rose 0.7 per cent, but consumers’ views towards their future finances fell 4.7 per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

ASX posts best rise for May since 2005

Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 26 : 1-Jun-16

The Australian sharemarket lost ground on 31 May 2016, with the S&P/ASX 200 shedding 0.5 per cent to close at 5,378.6. The Commonwealth Bank was one per cent lower at $A77.43 and BHP Billiton was down 0.8 per cent at $A19.08. However, Select Harvests advanced 6.7 per cent to end the session at $A7.15 and Incitec Pivot was up 2.1 per cent at $A3.45. The market gained 2.4 per cent in May.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, SELECT HARVESTS LIMITED – ASX SHV, INCITEC PIVOT LIMITED – ASX IPL, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, NEWCREST MINING LIMITED – ASX NCM, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, FLEXIGROUP LIMITED – ASX FXL, ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED – ASX ALL, TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED – ASX TCL, MORGANS FINANCIAL LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BLOOMBERG LP, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX ALL ORDINARIES INDEX

Forget May, June’s the time to sell and go away

Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 26 : 1-Jun-16

The Australian sharemarket has gained nearly 10 per cent since 11 April 2016, which equates to more than 450 points. However, fund managers do not expect the recent rally to be sustained in June, citing factors such as the prospect of an interest rate rise in the US in coming months. Tax loss selling and portfolio rebalancing in the lead-up to the end of the financial year will also influence the near-term direction of the market.

CORPORATES
UBS GLOBAL ASSET MANAGEMENT (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, PEAK ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, OPHIR ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, NEWCREST MINING LIMITED – ASX NCM, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS LIMITED – ASX LNG, CAPITOL HEALTH LIMITED – ASX CAJ, 1-PAGE LIMITED – ASX 1PG, CARDNO LAWSON TRELOAR PTY LTD, CUDECO LIMITED – ASX CDU

Wilson tips difficult six months for stocks

Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 28 : 31-May-16

The WAM Leaders fund debuted on the Australian sharemarket on 30 May 2016, after raising $A394.3m via an IPO. The listed investment company will invest in S&P/ASX 200 stocks, with a focus on growth-oriented large-capitalisation stocks that are undervalued. Veteran fund manager Geoff Wilson says the fund will not invest in the top-20 stocks at present, as they have performed poorly for investors over the last 12 months. He expects market conditions to be challenging for the next six months.

CORPORATES
WAM LEADERS LIMITED – ASX WLE, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, WAM CAPITAL LIMITED – ASX WAM, ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED – ASX ALL, TPG TELECOM LIMITED – ASX TPM, VOCUS COMMUNICATIONS LIMITED – ASX VOC, MAGELLAN GLOBAL EQUITIES FUND (MANAGED FUND) – ASX MGE

Industrials good value, says UBS

Original article by Stephen Cauchi
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 22 : 30-May-16

UBS strategist David Cassidy notes that Australian industrial stocks are currently trading at more than 18 times forward earnings. In contrast, the long-term average is about 16 times. However, Cassidy has identified a number of industrial stocks that he says still represent value for investors. His top picks include Aristocrat Leisure, Orora, Resmed, Treasury Wine Estates, Crown Resorts and Vocus Communications.

CORPORATES
UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED – ASX ALL, ORORA LIMITED – ASX ORA, RESMED INCORPORATED – ASX RMD, TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED – ASX TWE, CROWN RESORTS LIMITED – ASX CWN, VOCUS COMMUNICATIONS LIMITED – ASX VOC, BRAMBLES LIMITED – ASX BXB, SIRTEX MEDICAL LIMITED – ASX SRX, ANSELL LIMITED – ASX ANN, COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED – ASX CPU, HARVEY NORMAN HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX HVN, INCITEC PIVOT LIMITED – ASX IPL, QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED – ASX QAN

National accounts, US data to steer market sentiment

Original article by Mark Mulligan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 22 : 30-May-16

Futures traders expect the Australian sharemarket to gain 23 points when trading resumes on 30 May 2016, after the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 closed above 5,400 in the previous trading session. Local economic figures to be released in the coming week includes current account and GDP data for the March quarter, while investors will also be awaiting the release of key US economic indicators, including the latest wages and consumer confidence data.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, BLOOMBERG LP, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE, SECURITIES INDUSTRY AND FINANCIAL MARKETS ASSOCIATION

Business Confidence plunges in May – down 9.1% to 111.9 following Federal Budget and Election uncertainty

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 26-May-16

A Roy Morgan Business Single Source survey has found that Australian business confidence fell by 9.1 per cent to 111.9 in May 2016. Business confidence is now at its lowest since a 2016 low of 110.6 in January. The fall in Business Confidence comes even after a slight improvement on the Australian sharemarket in May. However, the large drop in Business Confidence is likely more tied to a poorly received Federal Budget in early May and the uncertainty surrounding the upcoming Federal Election. The weakest indicators in May relate to the upcoming year, which suggests the impact of election uncertainty. Net expectations of business performance over the next 12 months have dropped to 20.6ppts (down 17.5ppts in May) and net views of whether the next 12 months will be a "good/bad time to invest" are now 12.1ppts (down 14.2ppts).

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX ALL ORDINARIES INDEX, DCNS SA

It’s Harry at No 1

Original article by John Stensholt
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 2 : 27-May-16

Property developer Harry Triguboff has displaced Gina Rinehart as Australia’s wealthiest individual. Triguboff is ranked first on the 2016 "BRW" Rich 200 List, with estimated wealth of $A10.62bn. Anthony Pratt is the nation’s second-richest person, with a $A10.35bn fortune. Rinehart’s wealth has fallen from $A14.02bn in 2015 to just $A6.6bn, ranking her fourth. The combined wealth of the Rich 200 has risen by almost one per cent in 2016, to a record $A197.3bn. The list includes 53 billionaires, while 19 people appear on the exclusive list for the first time.

CORPORATES
MERITON APARTMENTS PTY LTD, WESTFIELD CORPORATION – ASX WFD, CHADSTONE SHOPPING CENTRE, BLACKMORES LIMITED – ASX BKL, WORLEYPARSONS LIMITED – ASX WOR

Capex collapse as mining investment boom unwinds

Original article by Daniel Palmer
The Australian – Page: 31 : 27-May-16

The Australian Bureau of Statistics has reported that capital expenditure on buildings and equipment fell by 5.2 per cent in the March 2016 quarter, compared with expectations of a 3.5 per cent decline. Capex in the mining sector fell by 12 per cent and non-mining capex was down 0.4 per cent. Meanwhile, the latest figures show that capex is forecast to total $A89.2bn in 2016-17, compared with a previous forecast of $A82.6bn.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH SECURITIES LIMITED

Trimmed down miners tipped as next hot sector

Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 27-May-16

UBS Small Companies Fund portfolio managers Stephen Wood and David Haddad are upbeat about the outlook for smaller Australian-listed mining companies. They note that many small-capitalisation mining groups have significantly reduced their costs over the last five years, which has made them attractive to investors. UBS favours stocks such as Fortescue Metals Group, Sundance Resources, Whitehaven Coal, Galaxy Resources, Orocobre and Pilbara Minerals.

CORPORATES
UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, SUNDANCE RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX SDL, WHITEHAVEN COAL LIMITED – ASX WHC, GALAXY RESEARCH AND PLANNING PTY LTD, OROCOBRE LIMITED – ASX ORE, PILBARA MINERALS LIMITED – ASX PLS, CITIGROUP PTY LTD