K: Financial and Insurance Services

It’s Harry at No 1

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Original article by John Stensholt
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 2 : 27-May-16

Property developer Harry Triguboff has displaced Gina Rinehart as Australia’s wealthiest individual. Triguboff is ranked first on the 2016 "BRW" Rich 200 List, with estimated wealth of $A10.62bn. Anthony Pratt is the nation’s second-richest person, with a $A10.35bn fortune. Rinehart’s wealth has fallen from $A14.02bn in 2015 to just $A6.6bn, ranking her fourth. The combined wealth of the Rich 200 has risen by almost one per cent in 2016, to a record $A197.3bn. The list includes 53 billionaires, while 19 people appear on the exclusive list for the first time.

CORPORATES
MERITON APARTMENTS PTY LTD, WESTFIELD CORPORATION – ASX WFD, CHADSTONE SHOPPING CENTRE, BLACKMORES LIMITED – ASX BKL, WORLEYPARSONS LIMITED – ASX WOR

Capex collapse as mining investment boom unwinds

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Original article by Daniel Palmer
The Australian – Page: 31 : 27-May-16

The Australian Bureau of Statistics has reported that capital expenditure on buildings and equipment fell by 5.2 per cent in the March 2016 quarter, compared with expectations of a 3.5 per cent decline. Capex in the mining sector fell by 12 per cent and non-mining capex was down 0.4 per cent. Meanwhile, the latest figures show that capex is forecast to total $A89.2bn in 2016-17, compared with a previous forecast of $A82.6bn.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH SECURITIES LIMITED

Business Confidence plunges in May – down 9.1% to 111.9 following Federal Budget and Election uncertainty

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 26-May-16

A Roy Morgan Business Single Source survey has found that Australian business confidence fell by 9.1 per cent to 111.9 in May 2016. Business confidence is now at its lowest since a 2016 low of 110.6 in January. The fall in Business Confidence comes even after a slight improvement on the Australian sharemarket in May. However, the large drop in Business Confidence is likely more tied to a poorly received Federal Budget in early May and the uncertainty surrounding the upcoming Federal Election. The weakest indicators in May relate to the upcoming year, which suggests the impact of election uncertainty. Net expectations of business performance over the next 12 months have dropped to 20.6ppts (down 17.5ppts in May) and net views of whether the next 12 months will be a "good/bad time to invest" are now 12.1ppts (down 14.2ppts).

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX ALL ORDINARIES INDEX, DCNS SA

Trimmed down miners tipped as next hot sector

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 27-May-16

UBS Small Companies Fund portfolio managers Stephen Wood and David Haddad are upbeat about the outlook for smaller Australian-listed mining companies. They note that many small-capitalisation mining groups have significantly reduced their costs over the last five years, which has made them attractive to investors. UBS favours stocks such as Fortescue Metals Group, Sundance Resources, Whitehaven Coal, Galaxy Resources, Orocobre and Pilbara Minerals.

CORPORATES
UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, SUNDANCE RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX SDL, WHITEHAVEN COAL LIMITED – ASX WHC, GALAXY RESEARCH AND PLANNING PTY LTD, OROCOBRE LIMITED – ASX ORE, PILBARA MINERALS LIMITED – ASX PLS, CITIGROUP PTY LTD

ASX earnings likely to get better, say fund managers

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 & 22 : 27-May-16

Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index has gained almost 10 per cent in the last seven weeks, prompting speculation as to whether the rally can be sustained. The market is now trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of about 16 times earnings, compared with its long-run average of around 14 times. However, Nader Naeimi of AMP Capital is upbeat about the earnings outlook for listed companies, and notes that even a modest increase in earnings will be sufficient to bolster the market.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, BEL-RAY AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, FIDELITY INVESTMENTS AUSTRALIA LIMITED, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, EQUITY TRUSTEES LIMITED – ASX EQT

Morgan Stanley adds to gloom with 1pc rate tip

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 35 : 26-May-16

Investment bank Morgan Stanley has forecast that the Reserve Bank of Australia will reduce the cash rate from 1.75 per cent to just one per cent by mid-2017. Chris Nicol and Daniel Blake of Morgan Stanley expect more aggressive monetary policy easing due to factors such as the need to reduce the value of the Australian dollar. They note that banks in particular will be adversely affected by a much lower cash rate, although there is likely to be a minimal impact on consumer stocks.

CORPORATES
MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Negative yields could be on the way to Australia’s market

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Original article by Vesna Poljak, Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 21 & 26 : 26-May-16

The yield on Australian government bonds recently reached a record low of 2.2 per cent, and Arif Husain of T. Rowe Price has warned that yields may eventually fall into negative territory. The head of international fixed income says investors should consider whether bonds continue to provide the level of income and stability they require. He favour Serbian bonds for income and Swedish covered bonds for stability, with the latter hedged in Australian dollars.

CORPORATES
T ROWE PRICE GROUP INCORPORATED

Overvalued Aussie dollar could dive below US50c, warns ANZ

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Original article by Mark Mulligan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 34 : 26-May-16

The Australian dollar is currently trading above $US0.71, but Daniel Been of the ANZ Bank warns that it could potentially test the $US0.50 level. While the currency has shed 35 per cent against its US counterpart over the last five years, Been says its continued resilience can be partly attributed to Australia’s "AAA" credit rating, which has led to the dollar being regarded as a safe-haven currency. He notes that factors such as Australia’s current account deficit and high government debt would not usually result in such strong support for the currency.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, STRATTON STREET CAPITAL LLP, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Palmer and Packer up in top stocks

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Original article by John Stensholt
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 21 & 26 : 26-May-16

Reliance Worldwide Corporation chairman Jonathan Munz and WiseTech Global CEO Richard White will appear on the "BRW" Rich 200 List for the first time in 2016, with estimated wealth of $A1.07bn and $A657m respectively. Meanwhile, some members of the Rich List have increased their fortunes by investing in speculative resources stocks, including James Packer, Mark Creasy and Kerry Harmanis.

CORPORATES
RELIANCE WORLDWIDE CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX RWC, WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED – ASX WTC, MOD RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX MOD, GASCOYNE RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX GCY, ALICANTO MINERALS LIMITED – ASX AQI, DE GREY MINING LIMITED – ASX DEG, BEADELL RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX BDR, MINERALOGY PTY LTD, CROWN RESORTS LIMITED – ASX CWN, PARADICE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, JUBILEE MINES NL, XSTRATA AG, BLACKMORES LIMITED – ASX BKL, ACONEX LIMITED – ASX ACX, SMART PARKING LIMITED – ASX SPZ, BELLAMY’S AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX BAL, MILLENNIUM MINERALS LIMITED – ASX MOY

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence creeps higher – up 0.6pts to 115.7

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 24-May-16

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia rose 0.5 per cent to 115.7 in the week ended 22 May 2016. It has risen 3.6 per cent over the past four weeks. The latest increase likely reflects several factors, including last week’s jobs report (which confirmed healthy conditions in the labour market), strong auction clearance rates, the positive impact from the RBA rate cut three weeks ago and ongoing gains in equity markets since early April. Consumers’ views towards their finances in the next 12 months rose 3.4 per cent, but consumers’ views toward economic conditions in the next 12 months fell slightly.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA