K: Financial and Insurance Services

Citi slaps 6500 target on ASX 200 by year’s end

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 27 : 29-Mar-19

Citigroup is bullish about the outlook for the S&P/ASX 200, forecasting that it will end 2019 at 6,500 points and reach 6,650 points by mid-2020. The benchmark index has gained 9.4 per cent so far in the first quarter of 2019, following a nine per cent decline in the December 2018 quarter. Citigroup is particularly upbeat about the resources sector. Meanwhile, Andrew Garthwaite of Credit Suisse has upgraded his recommendation on resources stocks from ‘neutral’ to ‘overweight’.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB

‘Obey the law’: banks rebuked

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Original article by James Frost, John Kehoe, Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 2 : 28-Mar-19

ANZ Bank CEO Shayne Elliott and National Australia Bank chairman Phil Chronican fronted the House of Representative economics committee on 27 March. They argued that greater enforcement of responsible lending laws has contributed to a credit squeeze for home buyers and small businesses. However, Australian Securities & Investments Commission chairman James Shipton rejects such claims, noting that banks have been subject to the responsible lending laws since 2009. ASIC’s deputy chairman Daniel Crennan in turn says banks face an increase in civil and criminal breaches of the law, and he has urged them to co-operate with the corporate regulator.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, AUSTRALIA. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES STANDING COMMITTEE ON ECONOMICS, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, JUDO CAPITAL PTY LTD, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, MLC LIMITED, NULIS NOMINEES (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

NAB kills off scandal-plagued mortgage referral program

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Original article by James Frost
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 16 : 26-Mar-19

National Australia Bank has advised that it will end its controversial ‘loan introducer’ program from 1 October. The program sees non-bank employees receive a fee for referring home loan clients, with NAB stating in 2018 that it generates one out of every 20 mortgages written by the bank. NAB also says the program has generated around $2.4 billion worth of home loans, and that around $100 million in referral fees have been paid. Interim CEO and chairman-elect Philip Chronican says he wants customers to come to NAB because of its products and services, not because a third party receives a fee for endorsing it.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, KPMG AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, AUSTRALIA. ATTORNEY-GENERAL’S DEPT. AUSTRALIAN TRANSACTION REPORTS AND ANALYSIS CENTRE

US economy facing headwinds: Fed

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Original article by Eric Johnston
The Australian – Page: 17 & 28 : 26-Mar-19

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago president Charles Evans forecasts that US economic growth in 2019 will be within the range of 1.75 per cent to two per cent. Meanwhile, financial markets have priced in a 60 per cent chance that the US Federal Reserve will reduce official interest rates, but Evans expects rates to rise, although not until the second half of 2020. Evans has also downplayed the risk to the US economy and financial markets if Britain’s exit from the European Union is "disorderly".

CORPORATES
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF CHICAGO, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, CREDIT SUISSE AG

Shares hit by fresh global growth fears

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 17 & 28 : 26-Mar-19

The bearish sentiment that saw the S&P/ASX 200 fall to a three-month low on 25 March also weighed on the local bond market, with the yield on Australian 10-year bonds reaching a record low of 1.756 per cent. Growing concern about the outlook for the global economy also prompted a decline in the yield on US government bonds, with the yield curve inverting for the first time since 2007. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar reached an low of $US0.7066 in local trading, and Steven Miller Grant Samuel Funds Management expects it to fall further.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, GRANT SAMUEL FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF CHICAGO

NAB, ANZ most at risk as Millennials switch

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Original article by Patrick Durkin
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 18 : 25-Mar-19

Millennial Future has found that National Australia Bank and ANZ customers are most likely to change banks in the wake of the banking royal commission. NAB came in for a lot of criticism during the royal commission, while a February survey by Roy Morgan found that NAB was the least trusted bank brand in Australia. Millennial Future’s findings were based on a survey of over 1,200 bank customers between the ages of 19 and 36, although it found that bank and finance brands were still considered more trustworthy than media and insurance brands.

CORPORATES
MILLENNIAL FUTURE, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, ROY MORGAN LIMITED, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA

Chronican plans to put NAB back in business

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Original article by James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 18 : 25-Mar-19

Business banking will be a key focus of National Australia Bank’s growth strategy, says incoming chairman Philip Chronican. He notes that NAB has the biggest presence in Australia’s business banking market, particularly in the small business sector. Chronican has also identified automation as an area in which NAB is lagging behind its rivals, and stresses the need to reduce costs. Other priorities for NAB include appointing a successor to former CEO Andrew Thorburn and restoring its reputation in the wake of the Hayne royal commission.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, FINANCE SECTOR UNION

Patient Fed backs off rate hikes

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Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 12 : 22-Mar-19

The Federal Reserve is now widely tipped to leave the cash rate unchanged until 2020, after it adopted a more dovish stance at its latest monetary policy meeting. The central bank has dampened expectations of two interest rate increases in 2019, with chairman Jerome Powell indicating that the cash rate may be left on hold for some time. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s stance has heightened speculation regarding the timing of any rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATION, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX

Tax big banks for implied guarantee

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Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 25 : 22-Mar-19

Australia’s four major banks are able to access wholesale funding at cheaper rates because of an implied guarantee that the federal government will not let them fail because of their size. ME Bank CEO Jamie McPhee says governments should tax the bigger banks because they get cheaper funding as a result of the "too big to fail" guarantee, and that this would make it easier for smaller banks to compete. ME Bank has advised that its net profit for the second half of 2018 fell 11 per cent to $41 million.

CORPORATES
ME BANK, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIA. PRODUCTIVITY COMMISSION

Shares on track for bumper quarter

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 21 & 30 : 22-Mar-19

The S&P/ASX 200 has gained 9.2 per cent so far in 2019, putting it on track for the best quarterly return since 2009. The rebound follows a loss of 6.9 per cent for the benchmark index in calendar 2018, including a nine per cent loss in the fourth quarter. However, Chris Nicol of Morgan Stanley is bearish about the outlook for the local bourse, forecasting that the S&P/ASX 200 will end the year at 5,800 points. He also forecasts economic growth of just two per cent in 2019.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, MSCI ALL COUNTRY WORLD INDEX, SUPERRATINGS PTY LTD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA