K: Financial and Insurance Services

Challenge emerges to inflation target regime

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Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 22-Nov-18

The Bank of Canada has signalled that it will undertake a review of alternatives to its inflation target of two per cent. Options that the central bank will consider include increasing the inflation target, targeting aggregate prices or nominal income, and adding a full employment objective. The move may increase pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia to reappraise its own inflation target of 2-3 per cent. Some economists have argued that the RBA’s inflation target is too high, although many advocate the status quo.

CORPORATES
BANK OF CANADA, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BETASHARES CAPITAL LIMITED, UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY, SYDNEY

Reasons to be grateful amid rout: Citi strategist

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 27 : 22-Nov-18

The Australian sharemarket shed 6.1 per cent in October, while bearish sentiment in the US saw the S&P 500 fall seven per cent. However, Tobias Levkovich of Citigroup is upbeat about the outlook for US equities in the year ahead, noting that the "sentiment metric" indicates a high probability that the S&P 500 will be higher in 12 months’ time. David Kostin of Goldman Sachs also expects the S&P 500 to rise over the next year.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, CITIGROUP INCORPORATED, THE GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INCORPORATED, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, GROUP OF TWENTY (G-20)

CBA bosses share shame blame

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian – Page: 19 & 23 : 21-Nov-18

Commonwealth Bank of Australia CEO Matt Comyn and chair Catherine Livingstone appeared before the financial services royal commission on 20 November. Comyn conceded that the bank should have been aware of its legal obligations regarding antimoney-laundering laws, while Livingstone said the CBA board had failed to act on audit reports which had raised concerns well below Austrac took legal action. Comyn also told the inquiry that predecessor Ian Narev had dismissed his concerns about the sale of so-called "junk" consumer insurance products.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIA. ATTORNEY-GENERAL’S DEPT. AUSTRALIAN TRANSACTION REPORTS AND ANALYSIS CENTRE, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED

AUD surges to near 3-month high on trade war optimism – November 19, 2018

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The Australian dollar has reversed early session weakness to leap through technical resistance and trade above 0.7300 to the highest level since late-August.  The moves came after US President Donald Trump said he is optimistic about resolving the trade war with China ahead of his meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping at the G20 meeting this month.  Whilst Trump was positive with his remarks, he also was quoted as saying “hopefully, we will make a deal, and if we don’t, we are doing very well just the way it is right now,” which suggests the onus is on China to meet Trump’s demands, or else the current tariffs will remain in place.

For now though the comments were enough to send the AUD surging higher, where it leapt from a session low of 0.7250 to touch 0.7337, before closing the week at 0.7330.  It was a good week for the Aussie, building off momentum generated from the US mid-terms and local employment data released by the ABS which showed continued growth in jobs added and the unemployment rate held steady at 5.00%.

This week the economic calendar is quite thin, with the RBA monetary policy meeting minutes and US core durable goods orders the highlights.  This could be the catalyst for a week of consolidation for the Aussie dollar in the absence of any major announcements.  Looking at the charts, there appears to be resistance at 0.7360 and 0.7380, representing trading highs in August.  If there is a break back below 0.7300, 0.7250 is the next key level of support.

The Australian dollar has also garnered support against the British pound, where on Friday it reached a 3-month high.  Political woes surrounding the UK’s exit from the European Union are weighing heavily on the pound, with PM Teresa May under extreme pressure from within her own party, with many of her colleagues criticising the handling of the divorce negotiations and there are rumours that a leadership challenge could be launched at any moment.

Economically speaking the sterling probably should be trading higher than it currently is, however all of this political uncertainty is preventing any sustained move higher.  Expect Brexit to dominate the headlines this week too whilst Teresa May tries to keep her party aligned and progress Brexit proceedings.

AUD/GBP closed the week at 0.5708, now up 6.5% from the October 11 low.  There appears to be resistance at 0.5750 followed by 0.5775, representing trading highs in June and August respectively.  Support starts at 0.5650 but given the wide trading range seen in recent time, it wouldn’t surprise if we see further moves beyond 0.5650 if the UK parliament can approve the Brexit divorce bill.

James King
Head of FX Dealing, AFEX
www.afex.com

Battered bourse ready for a recovery

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 29 : 16-Nov-18

The S&P/ASX 200 reached an intra-day low of 5,686.8 points on 15 November, before recovering to post a modest gain for the session. The recent sell-off means that with some exceptions, the Australian sharemarket now offers quite good value. The market’s forward price-earnings ratio is now slightly above its long-term average, while the dividend yield of five per cent is at its highest level in almost three years. Meanwhile, the benchmark index has recorded an average gain of 2.1 per cent in December over the last five years.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED

Blue-chip beating adds to rout

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 17 & 27 : 15-Nov-18

The Australian sharemarket has now shed more than 10 per cent since it peaked at a 10-year high in August. The 3.5 per cent decline in the last two trading sessions followed a rebound in recent weeks, after the local market fell 6.1 per cent in October. Blue-chip stocks in particular have been heavily sold down, and traders suggest that offshore selling has been a major driver of the pullback. Richard Coppleson of Bell Potter says this could potentially result in a rebound in the next week or so.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, SOUTH32 LIMITED – ASX S32, CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, COCHLEAR LIMITED – ASX COH, SEVEN WEST MEDIA LIMITED – ASX SWM, NINE ENTERTAINMENT COMPANY HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX NEC, PACT GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX PGH, RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED – ASX RHC, BINGO INDUSTRIES LIMITED – ASX BIN, AUSNET SERVICES LIMITED – ASX AST, COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED – ASX CPU, MEDIBANK PRIVATE LIMITED – ASX MPL, SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX, HANG SENG INDEX, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, KOSPI INDEX, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, ORGANISATION OF PETROLEUM EXPORTING COUNTRIES, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED

Fund managers count the cost of Red October meltdown

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Original article by Melissa Yeo
The Australian – Page: 28 : 14-Nov-18

Platinum Investment Management CEO Andrew Clifford notes that October 2018 was the most challenging month for global markets since February 2009. The Australian sharemarket lost 5.4 per cent during October, extending its losses since an August peak to more than 10 per cent. The Platinum Global Fund and Monash Capital’s Absolute Investment Fund posted losses of 5.9 per cent and 5.69 per cent respectively, although hedge fund VGI Partners posted a modest gain of 0.8 per cent.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, PLATINUM INVESTMENT HOLDING PTE LTD, PLATINUM GLOBAL FUND, MONASH CAPITAL PTY LTD, MONASH ABSOLUTE INVESTMENT FUND, VGI PARTNERS PTY LTD, GRYPHON CAPITAL INCOME TRUST – ASX GCI, L1 LONG SHORT FUND LIMITED – ASX LSF, OPHIR ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, CONTANGO INCOME GENERATOR LIMITED – ASX CIE, K2 GLOBAL EQUITIES FUND, WCM GLOBAL GROWTH LIMITED – ASX WQG, CARSALES.COM LIMITED – ASX CAR, VIVA ENERGY GROUP LIMITED – ASX VEA, THE STAR ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED – ASX SGR, GWA GROUP LIMITED – ASX GWA, PERPETUAL LIMITED – ASX PPT, VIRTUS HEALTH LIMITED – ASX VRT, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, CORPORATE TRAVEL MANAGEMENT LIMITED – ASX CTD, BLOOMBERG LP, MSCI WORLD INDEX

CBA, NAB chairmen to face Hayne heat

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Original article by Richard Gluyas
The Australian – Page: 23 : 14-Nov-18

Commonwealth Bank of Australia chair Catherine Livingstone will appear before the financial services royal commission on 19 November. National Australia Bank chairman Ken Henry is expected to front the inquiry in the following week. The CEOs of the four major banks will also give evidence during the final round of public hearings, along with Macquarie Group’s Nicholas Moore, AMP’s Mike Wilkins and the heads of ASIC and APRA. CBA and NAB attracted criticism in the royal commission’s interim report.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY

CBA to turn fully green by 2030

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Original article by Mark Ludlow
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 10 : 14-Nov-18

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia aims to source 65 per cent of its electricity requirements from renewable sources by 2019, with a target date of 2030 for becoming solely reliant on renewables. As part of this strategy, CBA has secured a 12-year deal to source 96,000 megawatts annually from the Sapphire wind farm. CBA estimates that its direct emissions have been cut by 54 per cent since 2009. The bank will also become the first Australian company to join the global RE100 initiative, whose members have agreed to fully transition to renewables by 2050.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, RE100, CWP RENEWABLES, PARTNERS GROUP AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, THE CLIMATE GROUP, CDP, SONY CORPORATION, PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS, LYFT INCORPORATED, INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

Treasury’s housing pitch: don’t loosen lending rules

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Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 2 : 13-Nov-18

The Treasury has urged against any relaxation of housing lending laws in its submission to the banking royal commission’s interim report, stating that any such action would be detrimental to the long-term health of the financial system. Treasury said no benefit is to be gained by offering borrowers loans that they could not afford to repay. Treasurer Josh Frydenberg has indicated that he endorses Treasury’s submission.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA