Retailers bask in a little ray of sunshine

Original article by Tim Boyd, Patrick Durkin
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 7 : 5-Jul-19

Carpet Court CEO James Hayward predicts that the $1,080 tax rebate that most low and middle income earners will receive in the next few months will provide a similar boost to the economy as Kevin Rudd’s 2009 stimulus package. That package saw around 10 million Australians receive $900. His comments are echoed by MYOB CEO Tim Reed, who notes that low and middle income earners have a "high propensity to spend".

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CARPET COURT AUSTRALIA LIMITED, MYOB GROUP LIMITED, KOGAN.COM LIMITED – ASX KGN, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA

$15bn kickstart for economy

Original article by Geoff Chambers, Adam Creighton, Greg Brown, Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 1 & 4 : 5-Jul-19

Harvey Norman executive chairman Gerry Harvey says the federal government’s income tax cuts will boost the retail sector and consumer spending. The tax cuts have also been welcomed by Business Council of Australia CEO Jennifer Westacott, who says further action is needed to ensure long-term economic growth. Meanwhile, Chris Richardson of Deloitte Access Economics expects the tax cuts to have a bigger impact in the near-term than the recent interest rate cuts. Labor agreed to back the full tax package in the Senate after its proposal to bring forward the stage-two cuts and legislate stage three separately was rejected.

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HARVEY NORMAN HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX HVN, BUSINESS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA, DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, CENTRE ALLIANCE, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN TAXATION OFFICE, ONE NATION PARTY, AUSTRALIAN PETROLEUM PRODUCTION AND EXPLORATION ASSOCIATION LIMITED

Real unemployment at 9.2% in June as tax cuts set to boost economy

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 5-Jul-19

The latest data for the Roy Morgan employment series shows that 12,363,000 Australians were employed in June 2019, up 118,000 over the past year. The rise in employment was driven by a significant increase in full-time employment of 479,000 over the last year (to 8,279,000); however, part-time employment has declined by 361,000 (to 4,084,000). The figures also show that 1,254,000 Australians (9.2% of the workforce) were unemployed in June, up 83,000 on a year ago, and the unemployment rate was up by 0.5%. An additional 1,275,000 Australians (9.4% of the workforce) were under-employed, working part-time and looking for more work, a decrease of 27,000 in a year (down 0.3%). In total, 2,529,000 Australians (18.6% of the workforce) were either unemployed or under-employed in June, an increase of 56,000 in a year (up 0.2%). Roy Morgan’s real unemployment figure of 9.2% for June is significantly higher than the current ABS estimate for May 2019 of 5.2%. Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine says many commentators are expressing concern about the state of the Australian economy; however, with significant income tax cuts being legislated by the new Government and back-to-back interest rate cuts by the RBA in June and July, there is an increasing amount of stimulus in the Australian economy to support businesses and therefore increase employment opportunities.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Trade surplus hasn’t hushed rate cut talk

Original article by Matthew Cranston
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 7 : 4-Jul-19

Australia’s trade surplus rose to a record $5.7bn in May, eclipsing the previous high of $4.8bn in April. The big trade surplus was driven by strong growth in iron ore export volumes and the price of the steel input. Kaixin Owyong of National Australia Bank says the record trade surplus could put the nation on track to achieve a current account surplus for the first time in decades. Meanwhile, some economists have flagged the potential for another official interest rate cut in August.

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NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD

Open banking delayed due to data concerns

Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 7 : 4-Jul-19

The federal government’s open banking regime is slated to begin on 1 February 2020, although this will require the Consumer Data Right bill to be passed by the end of July. Shadow financial services minister Stephen Jones says Labor has some concerns about how customers’ data is used and retained under the new regime, which will need to be addressed if Labor is to support the legislation. Jones has questioned whether there will be sufficient time to pass the bill before parliament rises for the winter break.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FINANCE, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG

Supermarkets, Pubs and Pokies – poles apart in Trust and Distrust

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 4-Jul-19

The latest research from the Roy Morgan Trust and Distrust Monitor shows that Retail and Supermarkets have the highest Net Trust Score (NTS). Gambling is at the other extreme, with a negative NTS – more Australians distrust gambling companies than trust them, while and Food and Beverage companies are in the middle. Banks remain in negative territory, on an annual basis, but the last quarter has shown signs of improvement.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED

PM wins battle over tax cuts

Original article by Simon Benson, Rosie Lewis
The Australian – Page: 1 & 4 : 4-Jul-19

Senior federal government sources have indicated that independent senator Jacqui Lambie has agreed to support the Coalition’s full income tax cuts package. Lambie had pushed for the government to waive the $157m public housing debt of her home state of Tasmania in return for backing the tax bill. Fellow independent Cory Bernardi and Centre Alliance’s Rex Patrick and Stirling Griff will also support the full tax package, giving the Coalition sufficient numbers in the Senate to pass it. Labor will decide its stance on the tax package before it is put before the Senate on 4 July.

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CENTRE ALLIANCE, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FINANCE, ONE NATION PARTY

Labor fails to change tax cuts timetable

Original article by Geoff Chambers
The Australian – Page: 5 : 3-Jul-19

The federal government has rejected Labor’s proposed amendments to its income tax package that would have brought forward the second stage of the tax cuts. Labor’s push to exclude the third-stage tax cuts from the package and to accelerate investment in infrastructure was also defeated in the lower house. Shadow treasurer Jim Chalmers says the Reserve Bank’s latest interest rate cut demonstrates the need for more economic stimulus. The Coalition requires the support of four crossbenchers to pass the full tax package in the Senate, and it is confident of doing so.

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AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, CENTRE ALLIANCE

MUA’s challenge to enterprise agreement with VICT thrown out

Original article by David Marin-Guzman
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 10 : 3-Jul-19

A spokesman for Victorian International Container Terminal says the company is likely to seek costs against the Maritime Union of Australia after a court dismissed a challenge to its enterprise agreement. The legal challenge was mounted by dock worker Richard Lunt, but the Federal Court’s Justice Darryl Rangiah ruled that he was a ‘front man’ for the MUA, and that the case was an abuse of process. VICT’s Webb Dock terminal in Melbourne was unlawfully picketed by the MUA in late 2017.

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VICTORIAN INTERNATIONAL CONTAINER TERMINAL PTY LTD, MARITIME UNION OF AUSTRALIA, FEDERAL COURT OF AUSTRALIA, CONSTRUCTION, FORESTRY, MARITIME, MINING AND ENERGY UNION OF AUSTRALIA

Lowe leaves door open for more

Original article by Andrew White
The Australian – Page: 17 & 25 : 3-Jul-19

Reserve Bank of Australia governor Philip Lowe has signalled the potential for further easing of monetary policy after the cash rate was reduced to a record low of one per cent on 2 July. Lowe says there is still a lot of spare capacity in the economy, and it should be possible to reduce both the unemployment and underemployment rate. It was the first time the RBA had cut official interest rates in two consecutive months since 2012, and Paul Bloxham of HSBC says this suggests that the central bank is worried about economic growth.

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RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, BUSINESS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA