BUSINESS FORECASTING – AUSTRALIA

End is nigh for big four: Carnegie

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Original article by Glenda Korporaal
The Australian – Page: 29 : 16-Mar-18

Maile Carnegie, the ANZ Bank’s group executive for digital banking, forecasts that the four major banks will no longer dominate the Australian market within 5-10 years, with banks opting to focus on certain segments of the market. She also forecasts a greater role for technology in delivering banking services, while banks that provide services that customers actually want will be the most successful in future.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, GOOGLE AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, ALIBABA.COM CORPORATION, UBER AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, APPLE INCORPORATED

No hurry to unwind BHP stock split: UBS

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Original article by Matt Chambers
The Australian – Page: 22 : 16-Mar-18

A report from UBS concludes that BHP Billiton would be better off retaining its dual-listed structure for now, noting that abolishing it would have implications in terms of taxes and franking credits. The firm concludes that there may be a case for scrapping the dual listing in three years’ time, when BHP has exhausted its tax credits. A recent analysis by FTI Consulting on behalf of activist hedge fund Elliott Management concluded that the financial benefits of shifting to a primary listing in Australia could be worth around $US22bn ($A28bn) for BHP.

CORPORATES
BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, ELLIOTT MANAGEMENT CORPORATION, FTI CONSULTING INCORPORATED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

Credit Suisse picks top takeover targets

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Original article by Simon Evans
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 18 : 14-Mar-18

Hasan Tevfik of Credit Suisse expects mergers and acquisitions activity in Australia to remain strong during 2018, citing factors such as healthy balance sheets and growing business confidence. Credit Suisse has identified 31 listed stocks that could potentially become takeover targets in 2018. They include Santos, Whitehaven Coal, Nine Entertainment Company, Fairfax Media, Ardent Leisure Group, DuluxGroup, Origin Energy and Caltex Australia.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, WHITEHAVEN COAL LIMITED – ASX WHC, NINE ENTERTAINMENT COMPANY HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX NEC, FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ, ARDENT LEISURE GROUP – ASX AAD, DULUXGROUP LIMITED – ASX DLX, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX CTX, SEVEN WEST MEDIA LIMITED – ASX SWM, SOUTHERN CROSS MEDIA GROUP LIMITED – ASX SXL, ADELAIDE BRIGHTON LIMITED – ASX ABC, NUFARM LIMITED – ASX NUF, PRIMARY HEALTH CARE LIMITED – ASX PRY, SYRAH RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX SYR, APA GROUP – ASX APA, BLACKMORES LIMITED – ASX BKL, CHALLENGER LIMITED – ASX CGF, TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED – ASX TWE, PENFOLDS WINES PTY LTD, CHINA NATIONAL CEREALS, OILS AND FOODSTUFFS IMPORT AND EXPORT CORPORATION, WESTFIELD CORPORATION – ASX WFD, UNIBAIL-RODAMCO

Private equity upbeat on deals, record capital

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 & 20 : 2-Mar-18

Bain & Company has released a report which notes that the global private equity industry had some $US633bn worth of funds to invest at the end of 2017. Meanwhile, private equity experts who attended the annual Asian Venture Capital Journal conference are positive about the outlook for deal-making in Australia during 2018. Data from Dealogic shows that $US1bn ($A1.3bn) worth of deals were made in the first two months of the year.

CORPORATES
BAIN AND COMPANY, PACIFIC EQUITY PARTNERS PTY LTD, KKR AND COMPANY LP, I-MED/MIA NETWORK LIMITED, LIFEHEALTHCARE GROUP LIMITED – ASX LHC, DEALOGIC (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. FUTURE FUND MANAGEMENT AGENCY, BGH CAPITAL PTY LTD

Growth in India to fuel coal demand

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Original article by Ben Packham
The Australian – Page: 4 : 1-Mar-18

World Coal ­Association CEO Benjamin Sporton says demand for Australian coal will remain strong for some time, due to rising electricity consumption in India. He notes that some 300 million people in India currently do not have access to electricity, while a similar number of people are expected to migrate to India’s cities over the next 15 years. Meanwhile, high-efficiency, low-emissions coal plants with a capacity of 48 gigawatts are under construction in India.

CORPORATES
WORLD COAL ASSOCIATION, ADANI MINING PTY LTD, INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY, MINERALS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF INDUSTRY, INNOVATION AND SCIENCE

BHP on brink of bigger shareholder returns

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Original article by Peter Ker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 25 : 22-Feb-18

Hayden Bairstow of Macquarie Group says there is potential for BHP Billiton to return an additional $US1.9bn to shareholders in the second half of 2017-18 and at least $US2.4bn in 2018-19. He adds that the latter figure could be higher if BHP sells its US shale assets and opts to distribute the proceeds to investors. However, BHP CEO Andrew Mackenzie has declined to comment on the group’s plans for the proceeds of the exit from shale. Meanwhile, BHP is expected to make a decision on its proposed South Flank iron ore mine within six months.

CORPORATES
BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, MORGANS FINANCIAL LIMITED, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC

SEEK’s reinvestment delivers record revenue

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Original article by Yolanda Redrup
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 : 20-Feb-18

Online job advertisements group SEEK has posted a 2017-18 interim underlying net profit of $A112.1m, which is 21 per cent higher than previously. It has advised that full-year profit is expected to be at the higher end of its previous forecast of $A225m to $A230m. Group revenue for the first half rose by 27 per cent to a record $A628m; its Australia and New Zealand division’s revenue rose 15 per cent and its international unit’s revenue was up 10 per cent. Shareholders will receive an interim dividend of $A0.24 per share.

CORPORATES
SEEK LIMITED – ASX SEK, BRASIL ONLINE HOLDINGS, ONLINE CAREER CENTER MEXICO SA DE CV

More gas needed to meet demand: Beach

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Original article by Matt Chambers
The Australian – Page: 28 : 20-Feb-18

Beach Energy has posted a 2017-18 interim net profit of $A95.7m, which is seven per cent lower than previously. Beach has advised that the expected annual cost savings from its acquisition of Lattice Energy will be around $A50m, compared with its previous guidance of $A20m. Meanwhile, Beach executive Lee Marshall has warned that the east coast will face a gas supply shortage by the mid-2020s unless new gas reserves are found and ones that are considered to be uncommercial at present are developed.

CORPORATES
BEACH ENERGY LIMITED – ASX BPT, LATTICE ENERGY LIMITED, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, SEVEN GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX SVW, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO

Private equity ready to splash $7.7bn cash

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Original article by Scott Murdoch
The Australian – Page: 17 & 18 : 19-Feb-18

The Australian Private Equity & Venture Capital Association has reported that the industry raised $A3.35 billion in 2017. Local private equity funds invested $A3.38 billion in deals in 2017, while private equity and venture capital funds are estimated to have a $A7.7 billion "war chest" at their disposal. Vic­toria Allen of Minter Ellison says sectors that can expect to attract private equity and venture capital investment include healthcare, technology and disability services.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN PRIVATE EQUITY AND VENTURE CAPITAL ASSOCIATION LIMITED, MINTER ELLISON, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, KKR AND COMPANY LP, KOHLBERG KRAVIS ROBERTS AND COMPANY, VARDE PARTNERS INCORPORATED, I-MED/MIA NETWORK LIMITED, EQUITY TRUSTEES LIMITED – ASX EQT, PERMIRA ADVISERS LIMITED, LASER CLINICS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. FOREIGN INVESTMENT REVIEW BOARD, CLAYTON UTZ, FORT STREET CAPITAL PTY LTD, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, REDCAPE PROPERTY GROUP, MOELIS AND COMPANY, DIXON GROUP, VENTIA, APOLLO GROUP INCORPORATED, FITNESS AUSTRALIA, QUADRANT CAPITAL PTY LTD

Telstra boss says 5G can kick-start telco sector earnings

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Original article by Max Mason
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 16-Feb-18

Telstra has advised that that its net profit for the first half of 2017-18 was down 4.9 per cent to $A1.7 billion, while total revenue increased by 5.9 per cent to $A14.51 billion. CEO Andy Penn says the global telecommunications sector is going through a period of cyclical change. Customers are seeking to extract more value and data from their plans, while telcos’ margins are under pressure. However, Penn is optimistic that the introduction of 5G services will help to revive growth in the sector.

CORPORATES
TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, NBN CO LIMITED, MOODY’S ANALYTICS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, SINGTEL OPTUS PTY LTD, CITIGROUP PTY LTD