BUSINESS FORECASTING – AUSTRALIA

Spotify adding 60,000 Australians per week

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Original article by Max Mason
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 37 : 1-Jun-15

Spotify estimates that about 25 per cent of Australians have used its music streaming service at some point. Spotify says it is gaining about 60,000 additional users in Australia each week, and the rate of conversion to its paid service is estimated to top 30 per cent. Spotify’s MD in Australia, Kate Vale, forecasts that some rivals will either merge or quit Australia in coming years, and she believes that the local market can sustain 3-4 players in the long-term.

CORPORATES
SPOTIFY LIMITED, VODAFONE AUSTRALIA LIMITED, UBER TECHNOLOGIES INCORPORATED, SONY CORPORATION, NOVA ENTERTAINMENT PTY LTD, RDIO INCORPORATED, PANDORA MEDIA INCORPORATED, COMEDY CENTRAL, AUSTRALIAN BROADCASTING CORPORATION

It’s ‘inevitable’ Fortescue will need a Chinese equity partner

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Original article by Perry Williams
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 & 22 : 28-May-15

The China Iron & Steel Association’s deputy secretary Li Xinchuang believes that Fortescue Metals Group will eventually need an equity partner in order to be globally competitive. He argues that a Chinese partner would make sense for Fortescue, and notes that the iron ore producer’s high level of debt could become a problem unless it takes on an equity partner. Fortescue CEO Nev Power has stressed several times that an equity partner is not on the group’s agenda.

CORPORATES
FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, CHINA IRON AND STEEL INDUSTRY ASSOCIATION, CHINA METALLURGICAL INDUSTRY PLANNING ASSOCIATION, SHANGHAI BAOSTEEL GROUP CORPORATION, CITIC LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. FOREIGN INVESTMENT REVIEW BOARD, VALE SA, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO

Low rates, yields to hit Suncorp, IAG

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Original article by Ruth Liew
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 18 : 26-May-15

The earnings of Australian-listed insurance companies are likely to be affected by low interest rates and bond yields. Investment income accounts for around 40 per cent of QBE Insurance Group’s profits, compared with 25 per cent in the case of Insurance Australia Group (IAG) and Suncorp. IAG CEO Mike Wilkins says most of the company’s insurance book comprises "short tail risk".

CORPORATES
QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX QBE, INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED – ASX IAG, SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED – ASX SUN, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA

Banks, miners tipped for drop

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Original article by Tim Binsted
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 : 26-May-15

Credit Suisse notes that Australian-listed companies’ dividend payout ratios are at their highest levels in more than two decades. Richard Hitchens of Credit Suisse notes that investors recently sold down bank stocks after their interim dividends were lower than expected. He adds that groups such as Aurizon, GPT Group and Santos may also find it hard to increase their dividends.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, AURIZON HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX AZJ, GPT GROUP – ASX GPT, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK

LNG projects risk start delays

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Original article by Angela Macdonald-Smith
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 18 : 25-May-15

Wood Mackenzie has forecast that several major LNG projects in Australia will not commence production on schedule. The consulting firm expects Inpex’s Ichthys project to begin production in 2017 rather than late 2016, although Inpex executives have recently indicated that the original timeframe will be met. Wood Mackenzie also anticipates that the Wheatstone and Gorgon projects will face delays in commencing production.

CORPORATES
WOOD MACKENZIE, INPEX CORPORATION, CHEVRON CORPORATION, SAMSUNG HEAVY INDUSTRIES COMPANY LIMITED, ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC, DAEWOO CORPORATION, ICHTHYS LNG PTY LTD, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, CHEVRON AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, MACQUARIE PRIVATE WEALTH MANAGEMENT PTY LTD

Services sector ‘well placed’ for LNG boom

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Original article by Angela Macdonald-Smith
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 & 23 : 21-May-15

WorleyParsons CEO Andrew Wood rejects suggestions that mining services groups lack the capacity to handle huge growth in Australia’s LNG industry in coming years. Chevron Australia MD Roy Krzywosinski recently expressed concern about the ability of mining services providers to cope with the increase in LNG production. Wood argues that once projects commence production their maintenance requirements are much lower than in the construction stage.

CORPORATES
WORLEYPARSONS LIMITED – ASX WOR, CHEVRON AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, ACCENTURE AUSTRALIA LIMITED, BG GROUP PLC, CHEVRON CORPORATION, AUSTRALIAN PETROLEUM PRODUCTION AND EXPLORATION ASSOCIATION LIMITED, INPEX CORPORATION, SEVEN GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX SVW, AUSTRALIAN MINES AND METALS ASSOCIATION (INCORPORATED), KPMG AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

Tax breaks to lift borrowing

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Original article by Clancy Yeates
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 18 : 18-May-15

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) expects more small businesses to take out loans as a result of the Australian Government’s May 2015 Budget. CBA’s Clive van Horen says the $A5.5bn small business package should boost the confidence of small businesses and provide them with the incentive to invest in new equipment. However, TS Lim of Bell Potter says that even with the tax breaks, many small businesses will be reluctant to increase their debt.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Sydney Airport pins hopes on Chinese

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Original article by Matt O’Sullivan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 15-May-15

Trevor Gerber succeeded Max Moore-Wilton as chairman of Sydney Airport on 14 May 2015. Meanwhile, CEO Kerrie Mather has forecast a big rise in Chinese visitors in coming years, citing factors such as increased flights between Australia and China, the free-trade deal between the two nations and the relaxation of visa requirements for Chinese travellers. Sydney Airport also plans to revamp its international terminal’s duty-free facilities.

CORPORATES
SYDNEY AIRPORT – ASX SYD, GEBR HEINEMANN SE & CO KG, THE NUANCE GROUP (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF INFRASTRUCTURE AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT, QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED – ASX QAN, VIRGIN AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX VAH

AusNet full-year profit dives 87pc on hefty tax charges

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Original article by Angela Macdonald-Smith
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 21 : 15-May-15

Australian-listed AusNet Services has posted a 2014-15 after-tax net profit of $A22.6m, which is 87 per cent lower than previously. The result was marred by a payment to the Australian Taxation Office to resolve a tax dispute. Revenue of $A1.83bn rose by 1.9 per cent and EBITDA was 2.9 per cent higher at $A1.05bn. Investors will receive a final distribution of $A0.418 per security.

CORPORATES
AUSNET SERVICES HOLDINGS PTY LTD – ASX ANV, AUSTRALIAN TAXATION OFFICE, CHINA STATE GRID, SINGAPORE POWER LIMITED, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED

Deposits levy to hurt big credit unions’ profit

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Original article by Shaun Drummond
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 : 15-May-15

The Customer Owned Banking Association believes that the proposed deposits levy will reduce the annual profits of many small credit unions by around seven per cent. CUA estimates that its earnings will be cut by about six per cent, while People’s Choice Credit Union anticipates that its profit will be reduced by 5-7 per cent. The Australian Government will issue its response to the financial system inquiry before deciding whether to proceed with the levy.

CORPORATES
CUSTOMER OWNED BANKING ASSOCIATION, CREDIT UNION AUSTRALIA LIMITED, PEOPLE’S CHOICE CREDIT UNION, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY