Gary Morgan on Consumer Confidence and the RBA’s decision to drop Australian interest rates to 1.5%

Original article by Gary Morgan, Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 3-Aug-16

The August interest rate cut by the RBA shows that finally the RBA has acknowledged Australia’s massive under-employment problem that has been persistently ignored (8.3% – 1.079 million, in June, according to the latest Roy Morgan employment estimates). In addition, it’s time policymakers recognised the true extent of unemployment in Australia (9.6% in June – 1.247 million – according to the latest Roy Morgan real unemployment estimate). To provide an effective stimulus to the economy the RBA should immediately cut Australian interest rates to 0.5% – the same as in the comparable economies of the US & UK and as we have been calling for the RBA to do for more than two years. Reducing interest rates will have the most positive impact on the Australian economy when the banks start lending to more businesses rather than just households – particularly as this week’s ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence shows Australians are growing increasingly confident – now at 118.0 (up 2.5pts this week). By providing increased finance and credit to businesses the Australian economy will grow strongly and more jobs will be created for the over 2 million Australians either unemployed or under-employed

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence ticks up to 115.5 (up 0.6pts)

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 27-Jul-16

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence has risen by 0.5 per cent to 115.5 in the week ending 24 July 2016. Lower financial market volatility and buoyant equity markets are likely the main factors behind the improvement. Consumers’ views of their current finances fell two per cent, but households’ views of the economic outlook in the next 12 months rose by 1.5 per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence edges lower to 114.9 (down 0.3pts)

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 20-Jul-16

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence has fallen for the fourth week in a row, down 0.3 per cent to 114.9 in the week ending 17 July 2016. The headline index is now 3.3 per cent lower than four weeks ago. Consumers’ views of their current finances edged 0.2 per cent higher last week, while consumers’ views of the economic outlook in the next 12 months rose by 3.1 per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence falls further – down 0.6pts to 115.2

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 13-Jul-16

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence has fallen for the third week in a row, down 0.5 per cent to 115.2 in the week ending 10 July 2016. Uncertainty related to the election result and lingering concerns over the global outlook likely remain key factors behind the recent decline. Last week’s downgrade from Standard & Poor’s to the outlook for Australia’s credit rating – from stable to negative – could also have weighed on sentiment. Consumers’ views of their current finances edged 0.3 per cent higher, but households’ views of the economic outlook in the next 12 months fell by 4.1 per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence remains upbeat despite ‘Brexit’ jitters – now at 116.8

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 28-Jun-16

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence fell 1.9 per cent to 116.8 in the week ending 26 June 2016, only partially offsetting the rise the previous week. Despite the turmoil in global financial markets – driven by the surprise result in the UK referendum – households remain optimistic about their finances and the economic outlook. Last week’s easing in confidence was largely driven by a deterioration in consumers’ views towards the economic outlook. The indicator on "finances compared to a year ago" fell 2.3 per cent, and views towards "economic conditions in the next 12 months" fell nine per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence spikes to 118.8 – highest in 2 1/2 years

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 21-Jun-16

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence rose 2.1 per cent to 118.8 in the week ending 19 June 2016, and it now stands at the highest level since November 2013. Good news released last week about the Australian labour market and the business sector is likely to have lifted sentiment. The increase in confidence was broad-based, with consumers’ views about their finances leading the gains. The indicator on "finances compared to a year ago" rose 3.1 per cent, and views towards "economic conditions in the next 12 months" increased by two per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence rebounds

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 7-Jun-16

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence rose 3.2 per cent in the week ending 5 June, more than offsetting the 2.2 per cent decline of the previous week. Consumer confidence now stands at 116.8, the highest level since January 2014. The improvement in consumer confidence was likely driven by the solid GDP report released last week. The increase in confidence was broad-based, with consumers’ views of the economic outlook leading the gains. Views towards "economic conditions in the next 12 months" bounced a sharp seven per cent, and views towards "the economy in the next five years" rose 3.5 per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence – Consumers cringe as confidence drops to 113.2

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 31-May-16

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia fell 2.2 per cent to 113.2 in the week ended 29 May 2016, partially reversing the 3.6 per cent increase over the previous four weeks. Confidence remains just above its long-run average (+0.4 per cent). The fall last week was largely driven by concerns about the economic outlook. Consumers’ views towards their current finances rose 0.7 per cent, but consumers’ views towards their future finances fell 4.7 per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence creeps higher – up 0.6pts to 115.7

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 24-May-16

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia rose 0.5 per cent to 115.7 in the week ended 22 May 2016. It has risen 3.6 per cent over the past four weeks. The latest increase likely reflects several factors, including last week’s jobs report (which confirmed healthy conditions in the labour market), strong auction clearance rates, the positive impact from the RBA rate cut three weeks ago and ongoing gains in equity markets since early April. Consumers’ views towards their finances in the next 12 months rose 3.4 per cent, but consumers’ views toward economic conditions in the next 12 months fell slightly.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence ticks up to 115.1 after Federal Election called for July 2

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 17-May-16

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia rose 1.1 per cent to 115.1 in the week ended 15 May 2016, remaining above its long run average for the third consecutive week. The RBA’s cut to the official cash rate two weeks ago likely had a (delayed) positive impact on consumer confidence. Consumers’ views towards their current finances fell 1.8 per cent, but consumers’ views toward economic conditions in the next 12 months rose by 6.1 per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA