ECONOMIC INDICATORS – AUSTRALIA

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence: Turnbull turnaround boosts confidence to 114.5

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 22-Sep-15

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia rose by 8.7 per cent to 114.5 in the week ended 20 September 2015. This more than retraces the 7.1 per cent decline over the previous two weeks and leaves confidence above long-run average levels. With no other substantive economic news or market movements to explain the outcome, the driver of the bounce was most likely optimism around the elevation of Communications Minister Malcolm Turnbull to the Prime Ministership. The bounce in confidence was broad-based across the subindices. In particular, views on economic conditions over the next year jumped 25.8 per cent. Confidence in the economy over the next five years also gained a robust 13.4 per cent, but remains well below its long-run average.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence on the Slide to 105.3 before Turnbull deposes Abbott as Prime Minister

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 15-Sep-15

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia fell by 1.3 per cent to 105.3 in the week ended 13 September 2015. This follows a decline of 5.8 per cent in the previous week, and leaves confidence at its weakest level since July 2014. Confidence in the economic outlook continues to be much weaker than views on household finances. The subindex on "economic conditions in the next five years" fell by six per cent, following a 5.2 per cent fall in the previous week. This is the lowest level since the weekly survey began in October 2008. However, the subindex "finances compared to a year ago" rose by 1.6 per cent, and it is the only subindex to remain above its long-run average.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Coalition relief as jobless rate reduces

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 7 : 11-Sep-15

Australia’s unemployment rate fell to 6.2 per cent in August 2015, from 6.3 per cent in July. Figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics show that employment rose by 17,400 jobs. Justin Fabo, a labour market expert at ANZ Bank, says the employment-to-population ratio rose in August, which suggests that the employment market is improving.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Rental growth slows to 20-year low

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Original article by Michael Bleby
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 11-Sep-15

CoreLogic RP Data has reported that growth in asking rents for residential properties across Australia fell by 0.4 per cent overall in August 2014, compared with a 0.3 per cent fall in July. Growth in asking rents eased to 0.7 per cent year-on-year. Sydney was the only capital city to record a rise in asking rents during August. Cameron Kusher of CoreLogic RP Data cites factors such as slowing population growth and continued strong construction activity.

CORPORATES
CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, RP DATA LIMITED

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence down 6.6pts to 106.7

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 8-Sep-15

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia fell by 6.6 points to 106.7 in the week ended 6 September 2015, reaching its lowest level since July 2014. This follows three weeks where confidence remained surprisingly resilient in the face of financial market volatility, holding up above its long-run average. However, consumers clearly remain sensitive towards bad news in Australia, notably last week’s newsflow around Australia’s weak economic growth. The subindexes on economic conditions fell by 5.7 per cent and household finances fell by 4.5 per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence Consolidates

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 2-Sep-15

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia rose by 0.3 per cent to 113.3 in the week ended 30 August 2015. This is the third consecutive week where confidence has remained above its long term average. Views on "economic conditions in the next five years" were up 1.8 per cent when compared with the previous week. The outlook for "economic conditions in the next year" fell 4.9 per cent, declining to the lowest level in eight weeks. Consumers’ views of their "financial situation in the next year" rose 3.9 per cent when compared with the previous week.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Falling profits hit economy

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Original article by Jacob Greber, Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 : 1-Sep-15

Company profits fell 1.9 per cent in the three months to June 2015, the fifth straight quarter of profit declines, prompting analysts to conclude the Australian economy is shrinking for the first time since the election of the Abbott Government. Despite fears new concerns about the economy could weigh heavily on investor sentiment, Treasurer Joe Hockey insisted there were positive signs and that the prospect of tax reform and the China free-trade agreement would lift spirits.

CORPORATES
DEUTSCHE BANK AG, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, BLOOMBERG FINANCIAL SERVICES, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX

Down one day … up the next but it’s not a crisis, say CEOs

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Original article by Vesna Poljak, Clancy Yeates, Jonathan Shapiro, Misa Han
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 : 26-Aug-15

The Australian economy is in a much better shape than the sharemarket would suggest. Investors seem to have overreacted to a slowdown in the Chinese economy. ANZ Banking Group CEO Mike Smith said on 25 August 2015 that China still has huge "potential". Paul Griffiths, chief investment officer for fixed income at Colonial First State, notes that panic among investors is limited to equities, with bonds remaining unaffected.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COLONIAL FIRST STATE GROUP LIMITED, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, ASX LIMITED – ASX ASX, DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, AUSCAP ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, SHENZHEN COMPOSITE INDEX, SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX, CITIGROUP PTY LTD

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence – Virtually Unchanged at 113.0

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 26-Aug-15

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia fell by 0.2 per cent to 113.0 in the week ended 23 August 2015. This leaves confidence around its long run average and similar to levels seen a year ago (-0.4 per cent). The fall in confidence was driven by views on ”economic conditions in the next five years” (down 1.2 per cent), ”finances in the next year” (down one per cent), and ”finances compared to a year ago” (down 0.5 per cent). Increases were recorded in ”economic conditions in the next year” and ”time to purchase a household item”. In comparison to a year ago, consumers’ confidence about economic conditions looks bleak. Views on ”economic outlook for the next year” are down 5.4 per cent and views on ”economic conditions in the next five years” are down 2.6 per cent. This is consistent with the equity market, which is down over seven per cent from a year ago.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence stutters

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 12-Aug-15

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia fell 0.4 per cent to 112.5 in the week ended 9 August 2015, after rising 5.5 per cent over the previous three weeks. Households’ views of their current finances declined 2.7 per cent while expectations of the economic outlook declined over both the next year and next five years, by 1.5 per cent and 5.3 per cent respectively. ANZ Bank chief economist Warren Hogan says that the Australian consumer confidence "remains highly vulnerable to a negative economic or financial shock".

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ