Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 16-Mar-22

In February 2022, Australians expected inflation of 5.1% annually over the next two years, up 0.2% points from January. The level of Inflation Expectations in February is the highest since June 2014 (5.3%). Inflation Expectations are now 0.4% points above the long-term average of 4.7%, and 1.4% points higher than a year ago (3.7%). A look at Inflation Expectations by home ownership status in February 2022 shows that renters have clearly the highest Inflation Expectations at 5.9%, up 2.3% points since the low point of August 2020. People who are currently paying off their homes have the lowest Inflation Expectations at only 4.5% (up 1.5% points since August 2020), while those who own their home now have Inflation Expectations of 4.8% (up 1.7% points). During this same time period the Inflation Expectations of all Australians have increased by 1.9% points to 5.1%. On a State-based level Inflation Expectations were highest in Queensland at 5.5%; Inflation Expectations were also higher than the national average at 5.4% in both Western Australia and South Australia.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 2-Feb-22

In December 2021, Australians expected inflation of 4.8% annually over the next two years, down 0.1% points from the seven-year high reached in November. The small decline ended a record six straight months of increases from June to November. Inflation Expectations are now 0.1% points above the long-term average of 4.7% and 1.2% points higher than in December 2020 (3.6%). A look at Inflation Expectations by socio-economic quintile shows increases across the board since the measure reached a low in August 2020 during Victoria’s second wave of COVID-19. Australians in the highest ‘AB Quintile’ have experienced the largest increase since mid-2020, with their Inflation Expectations rising 1.8% points to 4.1% in December 2021. However, this is still significantly lower than all four other socio-economic quintiles. On a State-based level, Inflation Expectations were highest in two States, with large regional populations led by Tasmania at 5.5% and also well above the national average in Queensland at 5.2%. Queensland is unique as a State with more people living in regional areas than the capital city of Brisbane.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 24-Nov-21

In November 2021, Australians expected inflation of 4.9% annually over the next two years, up 0.1% points, and the highest Inflation Expectations since November 2014. Inflation Expectations are now 0.2% points above the long-term average of 4.7%, and 1.5% points higher than a year ago (3.4%) – the largest year-over-year increase in the index in the history of the series. A look at Inflation Expectations by Area shows a significant difference between how people in Capital Cities and Country Areas regard future price movements. Australians living in Capital Cities expect inflation of 4.7% annually over the next two years (up 1.6% points from the low of 3.1% in June 2020); those living in Country Areas expect far higher inflation, at 5.3% (up 2.1% points from June 2020). People in Country NSW expect inflation of 5.1% compared to 4.6% in Sydney, while in Country Victoria expected inflation is 5.5% compared to 4.9% in Melbourne. People in Country Queensland expect inflation of 5.8% (higher than any other Country Area or Capital City), compared to only 4.5% in Brisbane. The only exception to this trend is in South Australia; people in Adelaide expect inflation of 4.6%, compared to 4.2% in Country South Australia.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 2-Nov-21

In October 2021, Australians expected inflation of 4.8% annually over the next two years, up 0.3% points, and the highest Inflation Expectations since November 2014. Inflation Expectations are now 1.3% points higher than a year ago (3.5%). Inflation Expectations are also now 0.1% points above the long-term average of 4.7%, the first time the measure has been above the long-term average since June 2012. A look at Inflation Expectations by Gender and Age shows that the gap between women and men is persisting and has widened slightly in recent months. Women’s Inflation Expectations are at 5.3% in October 2021, compared to 4.2% for men. Inflation Expectations are highest for people aged 50-64 at 5.0%. Women in this age group have Inflation Expectations of 5.6% compared to only 4.4% for men. There is also a large ‘Gender Gap’ of 1.3% points for people at either end of the age spectrum. For people aged under 35 women have Inflation Expectations of 5.4% compared to 4.1% for men, and those aged 65+ women’s Inflation Expectations are 5.3% compared to 4.0% for men. The only exception to this trend is for people aged 35-49 who have Inflation Expectations of 4.6% – the lowest of any age group. In this group the ‘Gender Gap’ is only 0.4% with women’s Inflation Expectations of 4.8% slightly higher than that for men of 4.4%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 12-Oct-21

In September 2021, Australians expected inflation of 4.5% annually over the next two years, up 0.2% points and the highest Inflation Expectations since October 2018. Inflation Expectations are now 1.2% points higher than a year ago (3.3%). Inflation Expectations are still 0.2% points below their long-term average of 4.7%, but a full 1% point higher than the record low 2020 monthly average of 3.5%. A look at Inflation Expectations by Generations shows that there is now agreement between people of different ages about how much prices are set to rise. Inflation Expectations have increased across the board but have increased most rapidly for Australians aged under 60 – led by Millennials – up 1.6% points from a year ago to 4.5% in September. Generation X, now aged from 45-60, have the highest Inflation Expectations at 4.6% in September, an increase of 1.3% points from a year ago. The Inflation Expectations of Generation Z have also increased significantly, up 1.2% points to 4.5% – matching the increase of Australians overall. Although Inflation Expectations for Baby Boomers are in line with the national average at 4.5% this is an increase of only 0.7% points from a year ago while older Australians, aged 75+, the Pre-Boomers, now have the lowest Inflation Expectations at 4.2%, up only 0.6% points from a year ago. On a State-based level Inflation Expectations are highest and well above the national average in Tasmania at 5.1%. Inflation Expectations are above the national average in New South Wales at 4.7%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 22 September August 2021

In August 2021, Australians expected inflation of 4.3% annually over the next two years, up 0.2% points and the highest Inflation Expectations since November 2018. Inflation Expectations are now up 1.1% points since the pandemic low of 3.2% in August 2020. Inflation Expectations are still 0.4% points below their long-term average of 4.7% but are now 0.8% points higher than the 2020 monthly average of 3.5%. A look at Inflation Expectations by Federal Voting Intention shows big increases across the board from a year ago, and up significantly from two years. Inflation Expectations for L-NP supporters increased 1.1% points from a year ago to 4.2% in August and are now 0.7% points higher than two years ago in August 2019. In fact, the Inflation Expectations of L-NP supporters are now at their highest level since November 2014. The Inflation Expectations of Greens supporters have increased faster than any other over the last year and are up 1.5% points to 3.9% – but are still lower than supporters of all other parties. The Inflation Expectations for ALP supporters are at 4.2% in August, up 0.9% points from a year ago and now 0.5% points higher than two years ago in August 2019. On a State-based level Inflation Expectations are highest and well above the national average in both Tasmania at 4.7% and Queensland at 4.5%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 4-Aug-21

In July 2021, Australians expected inflation of 4.1% annually over the next two years, up 0.1% and the highest Inflation Expectations since October 2019. Inflation Expectations are now up 0.9% points since the pandemic low of 3.2% in August 2020. Inflation Expectations are still 0.6% points below their long-term average of 4.7%, but are now 0.6% points higher than the 2020 monthly average of 3.5% and 0.7% points higher than in July 2020 (3.4%). A look at Inflation Expectations by occupation and employment category compared to a year ago shows increases across the board. Inflation Expectations for employed Australians increased by 0.8% points to 4.0% but still trail those of Australians who are not employed at 4.3%, an increase of 0.6% points from July 2020. Self-employed Australians now have the highest Inflation Expectations of any employment category at 4.4% in July, up 0.9% points since July 202; there has been a similar increase for Australians employed in private industry, with Inflation Expectations of 4.1% (up 0.9% points). However, those in the public service have a different view and their Inflation Expectations have only increased 0.3% points to 3.5%. On a State-based level Inflation Expectations are slightly higher than the national average and are now highest in Queensland and Tasmania at 4.2%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 5-Mar-21

In February, Australians expected inflation of 3.7% annually over the next two years, up 0.1% points on January, and the highest since February and March 2020 (4.0% for both). Inflation Expectations are now 1% point below their long-term average of 4.7%. Inflation Expectations have now increased by 0.5% points in the last six months, the fastest increase for the index since late 2016/early 2017 when the index increased by 0.6% points in only two months. Inflation Expectations are higher in Country Regions of Australia (4%) than in the Capital Cities (3.5%) and this is borne out in each mainland State. The largest gap of 1% point is within South Australia with Inflation Expectations of 4.4% in Country SA (the highest figure for any area) compared to only 3.4% in Adelaide. The next largest gap of 0.8% points is within Western Australia, with Inflation Expectations of 4% in Country WA compared to only 3.2% in Perth – the lowest figure for any Capital City. In both Victoria and Queensland there is a gap of 0.6% points between Country Regions and the respective Capital Cities. Inflation Expectations are 4.2% in Country Victoria compared to 3.6% in Melbourne and 3.9% in Country Queensland compared to only 3.3% in Brisbane. The smallest gap of only 0.3% points between the two areas is in NSW. Country NSW has Inflation Expectations of 4% compared to 3.7% in Sydney and in-line with the national average.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED