INTEREST RATES – AUSTRALIA

Aussie dives as third-quarter inflation figure surprises

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Original article by Mark Mulligan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 34 : 29-Oct-15

The Australian dollar was buying $US0.7119 late in trading on 28 October 2015, after starting the session above $US0.72. The currency fell sharply in response to official data showing that the headline and core inflation rates were lower than forecast in the September quarter, which may strengthen the case for further monetary policy easing. Paul Dales of Capital Economics says an interest rate cut is possible in November.

CORPORATES
CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT

Bank ‘power’ to protect $30b profits

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Original article by Shaun Drummond, Patrick Commins, Clancy Yeates, Joyce Moullakis
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 8 : 26-Oct-15

Some fund managers believe that Australian bank customers rather than shareholders are likely to bear the brunt of complying with new capital requirements. Australian Prudential Regulation Authority chairman Wayne Byres recently suggested that shareholders should expect a slightly lower return as a result of the new requirements. However, all four major banks have now lifted their variable mortgage loan interest rates. Meanwhile, the major banks are poised to post a combined profit in excess of $A30bn for 2014-15.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, AURORA FUNDS MANAGEMENT LIMITED, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, WATERMARK FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, CONTANGO ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, ARGO INVESTMENTS LIMITED – ASX ARG, CLYDESDALE BANK PLC, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, MARTIN CURRIE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LIMITED

CBA hike undercuts Westpac

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Original article by Jonathan Shapiro, Phillip Coorey, Clancy Yeates
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 9 : 23-Oct-15

The Commonwealth Bank will increase its standard variable mortgage interest rates for owner-occupiers and property investors by 15 basis points, to 5.60 per cent and 5.87 per cent respectively. The move has been criticised by federal Treasurer Scott Morrison and Opposition Leader Bill Shorten, and follows Westpac’s recent decision to lift its home loan rates by 20 basis points. The interest rate rises are in response to new capital requirements for the banking sector.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSSIE HOME LOANS LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Bank customers tipped to fix their mortgages

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Original article by Clancy Yeates
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 21-Oct-15

The fall in the two-year swap rate to just 1.9 per cent has prompted some smaller financial institutions to reduce their fixed mortgage interest rates in recent weeks. ME Bank’s John Caelli says the downturn in the swap rate may be due to renewed speculation about the timing of monetary policy changes in Australia and the US. Jessica Darnbrough of Mortgage Choice says more home loan borrowers may opt for a fixed interest rate in the wake of Westpac’s move to lift its variable rates.

CORPORATES
ME BANK, MORTGAGE CHOICE LIMITED – ASX MOC, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, BANK OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, NEWCASTLE PERMANENT BUILDING SOCIETY LIMITED, HERITAGE BANK LIMITED – ASX HBS, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Westpac shares climb after capital raising, rate increase

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Original article by Clancy Yeates
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 10 : 20-Oct-15

Shares in Westpac closed three per cent higher at $A31.34 on 19 October 2015, after being in a trading halt for almost a week. Clime Investment Management’s John Abernethy suggests that short selling in the wake of a $A3.5bn capital raising may have been the main driver of Westpac’s share price rise, rather than its move to lift mortgage interest rates by 0.2 per cent. Morningstar’s David Ellis says rival banks are likely to increase their own home loan rates.

CORPORATES
WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, CLIME INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LIMITED – ASX CIW, MORNINGSTAR PTY LTD, WATERMARK FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, ALPHINITY INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT PTY LTD

Diversify call to super funds

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 19-Oct-15

Australian superannuation funds are forecast to have some $US2.5trn ($A3.4trn) worth of assets under management by 2020, compared with $A2bn at the end of March 2015. Itay Tuchman of Citigroup says the strong growth in assets under management in coming years will require super funds to further expand the range of international asset classes in which they invest. Meanwhile, Tuchman says Westpac’s move to increase its mortgage interest rates will strengthen the case for a further reduction in the cash rate.

CORPORATES
CITIGROUP PTY LTD, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIANSUPER PTY LTD, IFM INVESTORS PTY LTD, INDIANA TOLL ROAD CONCESSION COMPANY, CANADA PENSION PLAN INVESTMENT BOARD

Small lenders likely to follow majors up

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Original article by Shaun Drummond
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 16-Oct-15

Australia’s other three major banks have not yet increased their home loan interest rates in response to Westpac’s move. Bendigo & Adelaide Bank CEO Mike Hirst has indicated that the regional bank may increase its mortgage rates if the other "big three" do so, while Suncorp Bank, CUA and Firstmac may do so as well. Suncorp reduced its interest rates on some home loans on the same day that Westpac announced its rate increase.

CORPORATES
WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, SUNCORP BANK, SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED – ASX SUN, CREDIT UNION AUSTRALIA LIMITED, FIRSTMAC LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA

RBA urged not to cut interest rate

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 6-Oct-15

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s "shadow board" believes that the cash rate should either be left at two per cent for the next six months or increased. Shadow board member Mark Crosby says economic reforms such as tax cuts would do more to stimulate the economy than further rate cuts. He adds that more rate cuts may increase the debt problem in Australia. Crosby also says the growing expectation that rates will soon rise in the US should prompt the Reserve Bank to leave rates on hold.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNIVERSITY OF MELBOURNE, UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES, MACQUARIE UNIVERSITY, UNIVERSITY OF SYDNEY, UNIVERSITY OF TASMANIA, HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, COMMONWEALTH SECURITIES LIMITED, THE AUSTRALIAN INDUSTRY GROUP, AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL UNIVERSITY, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

November RBA rate cut gains traction

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Original article by Rose Powell
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 5 : 5-Oct-15

Data from Bloomberg shows that financial markets believe there is a 27 per cent chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia will reduce the cash rate by 25 basis points on 6 October 2015. Economists have cited factors such as the recent fall in the value of the Australian dollar and an improvement in business confidence as some of the factors that will influence the central bank’s decision. Citigroup anticipates a rate cut in November.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, BLOOMBERG LP, HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

RBA needs to cut official interest rate to 1.5pc: ANZ

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 25-Sep-15

The ANZ Bank says Australia’s unemployment rate of 6.2 per cent is unlikely to fall significantly in the near-term due to factors such as slowing global economic growth and the uncertain outlook for the Chinese economy. Chief economist Warren Hogan warns that the unemployment rate could potentially rise over the next year or so. ANZ believes that a combination of factors means the Reserve Bank will have to reduce the cash rate in both February and May 2016.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY