MORTGAGE LOANS – AUSTRALIA

Over 1.57 million Australians are now At Risk of ‘mortgage stress’, representing 30.3% of mortgage holders

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 1-Nov-23

New research from Roy Morgan shows that a record high 1,573,000 mortgage holders (30.3%) were ‘At Risk’ of ‘mortgage stress’ in the three months to September 2023; this is 7,000 higher than in August. The period encompassed three RBA meetings at which interest rates were left unchanged. The number of Australians ‘At Risk’ of mortgage stress has increased by 766,000 since May 2022, when the RBA began a cycle of interest rate increases. The number of mortgage holders considered ‘Extremely At Risk’ is now numbered at 1,043,000 (20.5%) which is significantly above the long-term average over the last 15 years of 15.3%. These are the latest findings from Roy Morgan’s Single Source Survey, based on in-depth interviews conducted with over 60,000 Australians each year, including over 10,000 owner-occupied mortgage-holders.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

1.43 million Australians At Risk of mortgage stress in June 2023, representing 28.7% of mortgage holders

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 26-Jul-23

New research from Roy Morgan shows that an estimated 1.43 million mortgage holders (28.7%) were ‘At Risk’ of ‘mortgage stress’ in the three months to June 2023. This period encompassed two interest rate increases of 0.25%, taking official interest rates to 4.1% in June. This is the equal highest number of mortgage holders considered ‘At Risk’ of mortgage stress for more than 15 years, since there were 1.46 million ‘At Risk’ in May 2008. The number of Australians who are ‘At Risk’ of mortgage stress has increased by 539,000 over the last year. However, the overall number of Australians in mortgage stress remains below the high reached during the Global Financial Crisis in early 2008 of 35.6% (1,455,000 mortgage holders). Meanwhile, the number of mortgage holders considered to be ‘Extremely At Risk’ has increased to 943,000 (19.6%) in the three months to June, which is significantly above the long-term average over the last 15 years of 15.4%. These are the latest findings from Roy Morgan’s Single Source Survey, based on in-depth interviews conducted with over 60,000 Australians each year including over 10,000 owner-occupied mortgage-holders.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

1.4m borrowers at risk of repayment stress

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Original article by James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 16 : 5-Jul-23

The Reserve Bank of Australia has signalled that further interest rate rises may be necessary in order to return inflation to its target range, after leaving the cash rate unchanged at 4.1 per cent on Tuesday. Households will face further financial pressure if there are more rate rises. Home loan borrowers will be particularly vulnerable, with research from Roy Morgan showing that 1.43 million mortgage borrowers are now at risk of mortgage stress; this is an increase of 627,000 in the last year. Roy Morgan estimates that an additional 51,000 borrowers would be at risk of mortgage stress if the cash rate is increased by another 25 basis points. A second rate rise of this size would put another 94,000 borrowers at risk of mortgage stress.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Bendigo Bank home loan customers are the most satisfied with their bank after a year of interest rate rises

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 21-Jun-23

New financial data from Roy Morgan’s Single Source shows that Bendigo Bank has topped the latest banking customer satisfaction ratings among home loan customers. Bendigo Bank’s customer satisfaction rating has increased from 86.2% in May 2022 to 91.0% in May 2023. Close behind in second place is ING with customer satisfaction among home loan customers at 88.3%, up 0.2% points from a year ago. The latest data covers the six months to May 2023, and overall home loan customer satisfaction amongst Australia’s top 12 banks collectively was at 75.5% during this period. This represents a decrease of 1.6% points from the six months to May 2022, just as the current record-setting interest rate increasing cycle got under way. Meanwhile, NAB now has the highest home loan customer satisfaction among the big four banks, with a rating of 75.6%. Average home loan customer satisfaction with the big four banks as a group was 73.7%. These latest banking satisfaction ratings come from the Roy Morgan Single Source survey, derived from in-depth interviews with over 60,000 Australians each year.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, BENDIGO BANK, ING BANK (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB

‘Scary’: Mortgage costs reach critical threshold

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Original article by Nila Sweeney
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 9 : 7-Jun-23

SQM Research’s MD Louis Christopher says the probability of a ‘double dip’ downturn in Australia’s housing market has increased to more than 60 per cent following the Reserve Bank’s decision to increase the cash rate to 4.1 per cent. He notes that SQM’s research in late 2022 found that loan book managers identified a cash rate of about four per cent as the ‘line in the sand’ where many homeowners may be forced to sell. Christopher notes that the number of distressed listings is still quite low, but cautions that this may change as the full impact of the recent rate rises flows through to mortgage holders.

CORPORATES
SQM RESEARCH PTY LTD

Mortgage stress increases to its highest since August 2008 with 27.8% of mortgage holders now At Risk

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 6-Jun-23

New research from Roy Morgan shows that an estimated 1.38 million mortgage holders (27.8%) were ‘At Risk’ of ‘mortgage stress’ in the three months to April 2023. This period encompassed two interest rate increases of 0.25%, taking official interest rates to 3.6% in April. This is the highest number of mortgage holders considered ‘At Risk’ since August 2008, when more than 1.4 million were ‘At Risk’. The proportion of mortgage holders considered ‘At Risk’ of mortgage stress is now the highest since October 2011 (28.3%). The number of Australians who are ‘At Risk’ of mortgage stress has increased by 529,000 over the last year. However, despite the sharp increase in the level of mortgage stress during the last year the overall number remains below the high reached during the Global Financial Crisis in early 2009 of 35.6% (1,455,000 mortgage holders). Meanwhile, the number of mortgage holders considered to be ‘Extremely At Risk’ has increased to 881,000 (18.5%), which is significantly above the long-term average over the last 15 years of 661,000 (15.9%). These are the latest findings from Roy Morgan’s Single Source Survey, based on in-depth interviews conducted with over 60,000 Australians each year including over 10,000 owner-occupied mortgage-holders.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Mortgage stress increases to its highest since April 2012 with 24.9% of mortgage holders now At Risk

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 1-Mar-23

New research from Roy Morgan shows that an estimated 1.19 million mortgage holders (24.9%) were ‘At Risk’ of ‘mortgage stress’ in the three months to January 2023. This period encompassed two interest rate increases of 0.25%. The proportion of mortgage holders now considered ‘At Risk’ of mortgage stress is the highest since June 2012 and is now significantly above the long-term average of 22.8% stretching back to early 2007. The number of Australians ‘At Risk’ of mortgage stress has increased by 486,000 over the last year. However, despite the sharp increase in the level of mortgage stress the overall number remains well below the high reached during the Global Financial Crisis in early 2009 of 35.6% (1,455,000 mortgage holders). Meanwhile, the number of mortgage holders considered ‘Extremely At Risk’, has increased to 710,000 (15.4%), which is slightly above the long-term average over the last 15 years of 659,000 (15.9%). These are the latest findings from Roy Morgan’s Single Source Survey, based on in-depth interviews conducted with over 60,000 Australians each year, including over 10,000 owner-occupied mortgage-holders.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Banks demand buy now, pay later details for home loans

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian – Page: 13 & 17 : 23-Dec-22

ING and Macquarie Bank have told mortgage brokers that they are now including buy now, pay later debts when assessing a person’s ability to repay a mortgage or other type of loan. ING has also advised brokers that outstanding Higher Education Contribution Scheme (HECS) or Higher Education Loan Program (HELP) debt amounts need to be included in the loan serviceability assessment, while it is to increase the minimum required deposit from five per cent to 10 per cent to line up with its align with its lenders’ mortgage insurer’s policy on "high-risk postcodes".

CORPORATES
ING AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS LIMITED, MACQUARIE BANK LIMITED – ASX MBL

Housing affordability set to worsen despite falling house prices

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Original article by Nila Sweeney
The Australian Financial Review – Page: Online : 24-Nov-22

The latest ANZ/CoreLogic Housing Affordability report shows that rising interest rates saw the cost of servicing a mortgage surge in the September quarter. The proportion of income needed to repay a new mortgage rose by 4.4 percentage points nationwide, to 43.3 per cent. This metric rose to a record high of 51.1 per cent in Sydney, while it increased by 4.3 per cent to 42.4 per cent in Melbourne. Eliza Owen of CoreLogic says mortgage serviceability is likely to worsen given that further increases in the cash rate are expected.

CORPORATES
CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Mortgage stress increases to its highest since April 2018 with 22.6% of mortgage holders now At Risk

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 23-Nov-22

New research from Roy Morgan shows that an estimated 1,013,000 mortgage holders (22.6%) were ‘At Risk’ of ‘mortgage stress’ in the three months to October 2022. This period encompassed two interest rate increases of 0.5% and an increase of 0.25% in early October, taking official interest rates to 2.6% – the level since August 2013. Since then, there has been another interest rate increase of 0.25% in November. Despite these interest rate increases the proportion of mortgage holders considered ‘At Risk’ of mortgage stress is well below the high reached during the Global Financial Crisis in early 2009 of 35.6% (1,455,000 mortgage holders). The number of mortgage holders now considered ‘At Risk’ is now just below the long-term average over the last 15 years of 22.8%. Meanwhile, the number of mortgage holders considered ‘Extremely At Risk’ increased to 619,000 (14.4%) in the three months to October, which remains clearly below the long-term average over the last 15 years of 659,000 (15.9%). These are the latest findings from Roy Morgan’s Single Source Survey, based on in-depth interviews conducted with over 60,000 Australians each year including over 10,000 owner-occupied mortgage-holders.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED