Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll: In July National-led Government leads Labour-led Parliamentary Opposition (49% vs. 41%)

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 5-Aug-26

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for July 2026 shows that support for the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) is down 2% to 49%, but still with a clear lead over the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition (down 1% to 41%). Amongst the Government support for National increased 1% to 32%, although support for New Zealand First was down 2% to 8.5% (the lowest level of support for New Zealand First so far this year), and support for ACT was down 1% to 8.5%. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour was unchanged at 25.5%, support for the Greens was unchanged at 13.5%, and support for the Maori Party fell by 1% to 2%. A further 10% (up 3%) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament (the highest level of support for parties not represented in Parliament since the last election). The survey results for July would lead to the National-led Government winning 59 seats (down nine seats from the election), while the Labour-led Parliamentary Opposition would win 51 seats (down four seats). This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 881 electors from 29 June to 26 July. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating fell 3 points to 85 in July.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll: National-led Government holds narrow majority (51%) of support in June

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 1-Jul-26

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for June 2026 shows that support for the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) is virtually unchanged at 51%, a clear lead over the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition (little changed on 42%). Amongst the Government support for National increased by 0.5% to 31%, although support for NZ First was down 0.5% to 10.5% and support for ACT was down 0.5% to 9.5%. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour was down 1% to 25.5%, support for the Greens increased 1% to 13.5% and support for the Maori Party rose 0.5% to 3%. A further 7% (unchanged) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. The survey results for June would lead to the National-led Government winning 61 seats (down seven seats from the last election) and the Labour-led Parliamentary Opposition would win 51 seats (down four seats). This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 891 electors from 25 May to 21 June. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating rose 3.5 points to 88 in June.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll: Support for National-led Government surges in May as Labour support falls

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 3-Jun-26

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for May 2026 shows that support for the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) is up 4% to 51.5%, opening a large lead over the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition (down 6.5% to 41.5%). Amongst the Government support for National increased 5% to 30.5%, although support for NZ First was down 0.5% to 11% and support for ACT was down 0.5% to 10%. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour fell 7.5% to 26.5%, support for the Greens increased 1.5% to 12.5% and support for the Maori Party was down 0.5% to 2.5%. A further 7% (up 2.5%) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. The survey results for May would lead to the National-led Government winning 63 seats (down five seats from the last election) and the Labour-led Parliamentary Opposition would win 50 seats (down five seats). This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 870 electors from 27 April to 24 May. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating rose 9 points to 84.5 in May.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll: Support for National-led Government and Labour-led Opposition remains tied in April

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 13-May-26

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for April 2026 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) unchanged on 47.5%, and effectively tied with the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 48% (also unchanged). Amongst the Government support for National fell 1% to 25.5% (its lowest level of support since National was elected to Government in late 2023), support for NZ First was up 0.5% to 11.5% (its highest level of support since being elected to Government), and support for ACT increased by 0.5% to 10.5%. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour was unchanged on 34%, support for the Greens was unchanged on 11%, and support for the Maori Party was unchanged on 3%. A further 4.5% (unchanged) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. The survey results for April would lead to the National-led Government winning 60 seats (down eight seats from the election) and the Labour-led Parliamentary Opposition would win 60 seats (up five seats). This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 887 electors from 30 March to 26 April. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating dropped 2.5 points to 75.5 in April.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll: Support for National-led Government and Labour-led Opposition now tied

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 1-Apr-26

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for March 2026 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 47.5%, up 1% point and effectively tied with the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 48% (up 1% point). Amongst the Government support for National fell 4.5% to 26.5% (its lowest level of support since National was elected to Government in late 2023), support for NZ First was up 1.5% to 11% (its highest level of support since being elected to Government), and support for ACT increased by 2% to 10%. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour increased 4% points to 34%, support for the Greens dropped 3.5% points to 11%, and support for the Maori Party was up 0.5% to 3%. A further 4.5% (unchanged) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. The survey results for March would lead to the National-led Government winning 60 seats (down eight seats from the election) and the Labour-led Parliamentary Opposition would win 60 seats (up five seats). This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 872 electors from 23 February 23 to 22 March. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating dropped 6.5 points to 78 in March

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

In first NZ Roy Morgan Poll of 2026 National opens largest lead on Labour for over a year – since September 2024

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 4-Feb-26

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for January 2026 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 52%, up 1.5% points from a month earlier, and now 8% points in front of the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 44% (down 3% points). This is the largest lead the National-led Government has had since September 2024. Amongst the Government support for National increased 1.5% to 34.5%, support for NZ First was down 1% to 9%, while support for ACT increased by 1% to 8.5%. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour dropped 2% points to 30.5%, support for the Greens dropped 1.5% points to 10.5%, and support for the Maori Party was up 0.5% to 3%. The survey results for January would lead to the National-led Government winning 65 seats (down three seats from the last election) and the Labour-led Parliamentary Opposition would win 55 seats (unchanged). This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 881 electors from 6-26 January. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating was unchanged for a third straight month at 85 in January.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

New Zealand: In November, National-led Government extends lead to largest since June 2025

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 3-Dec-25

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for November 2025 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 50%, up 0.5% points from a month earlier, extending its lead over the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 44.5%, down 0.5% points. Within the National-led Government support for National was up 1% point to 33% (its highest level of support since September 2024), while support for NZ First was virtually unchanged at 9% and support for ACT was unchanged at 8%. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour fell 2.5% points to 28% (its lowest level of support since March 2025), support for the Greens increased 2.5% points to 14.5% (its highest level of support since March 2025) and support for the Maori Party was virtually unchanged at 2%. A further 5.5% (unchanged) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 829 electors from 27 October 27 to 23 November. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating was up 3pts to 85 in November.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

New Zealand: In October, National-led Government edges ahead of Labour-led Parliamentary Opposition

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 6-Nov-25

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for October 2025 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 49.5%, up 1% point from a month earlier, marginally in front of the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 45%, down 2.5% points. Within the National-led Government support for National was virtually unchanged at 32%, support for ACT dropped 1% point to 8% and support for NZ First increased 1.5% points to 9.5%. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour increased 2% points to 30.5%, support for the Greens was down 1.5% points to 12%, and support for the Maori Party dropped 3% points to 2.5%. A further 5.5% (up 1.5% points) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 857 electors from 29 September to 26 October. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating was down 7.5pts to 82 in October.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

New Zealand: In August, support for Labour surges to highest since the 2023 New Zealand Election

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 3-Sep-25

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for August 2025 shows that support for the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) has fallen by 4.5% points to only 46.5%, its lowest level of support this year. In contrast, support for the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition has risen to 50% (up 4% points from a month ago). Within the National-led Government support for National was down 2% points to 29%, support for ACT was unchanged at 10.5% and support for NZ First dropped 2.5% points to 7%. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour increased by 3% points to 34% (the highest level of support for any party since September 2024); support for the Greens was up 2% points to 13.5%, but support for the Maori Party dropped 1% point to 2.5%. A further 3.5% (up 0.5% points) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. This New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 873 electors from 28 July to August 24. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating was unchanged at 83.5 in August.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

New Zealand: In July, National and Labour tied at 31%; National-led Government retains clear lead

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 6-Aug-25

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for July 2025 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) virtually unchanged on 51% (down 0.5% points) and the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 46% (up 1.5% points). For the tenth straight month neither major party has managed to secure a third of the vote. Within the National-led Government support for National was down 1% point to 31%, support for ACT was down 1% point to 10.5% and support for NZ First increased 1.5% points to 9.5% (the highest support for NZ First since the last New Zealand Election). For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour was up 2.5% points to 31%, support for the Greens increased 0.5% points to 11.5%, and support for the Maori Party dropped 1.5% to 3.5%. A further 3% (down 1% point) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 832 electors from 30 June to 27 July. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating fell 11.5pts to 83.5 in July.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY