NZ: In May, for an eighth straight month, both National and Labour are supported by fewer than a third of the electorate

June 12, 2025roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 12-Jun-25

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for May 2025 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 50% (up 1% point) and the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 45% (down 2% points), with both failing to muster a majority of public support. This is the fifth straight month the two main blocks representing both sides of politics have fallen short of a majority of support. There were changes in the composition of support for the Government, with support for ACT up 3% points to 12% (the highest support for ACT so far this year) while support for NZ First dropped 2.5% points to 6.5%; support for National was little changed at 31.5%. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour was virtually unchanged at 29%, support for the Greens dropped 2.5% points to 11.5% and support for the Maori Party was unchanged at 4.5%. A further 5% (up 1%) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. This New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 799 electors from 28 April to 25 May. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating dropped 17pts to 80.5 in May.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

NZ: In April, for a third straight month, both the National-led Government and Parliamentary opposition were under 50% support

May 7, 2025roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 7-May-25

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for April 2025 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 49% (up 2% points) and the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 47% (down 0.5% points). This is the fourth straight month the two main blocks representing both sides of politics have fallen short of a majority of support; it is also the seventh straight month no single party has managed to garner a third of the electorate’s support. There were changes in the composition of support for the National-led Government, with National down 1.5% points to 31%; however, support for ACT increased 1.5% points to 9% and support for NZ First increased 2% points to 9%, now at their highest level of support since the Election in October 2023. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour increased 1% point to 28.5% while support for the Greens was virtually unchanged at 14%. Support for the Maori Party dropped 1% point to 4.5%. A further 4% (down 1.5%) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. This New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 829 electors from 24 March to 20 April.

NZ: In March both the National-led Government and Labour-led Parliamentary opposition were under 50% support

April 2, 2025roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 2-Apr-25

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for March 2025 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 47% (down 0.5% points), and the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 47.5% (unchanged) with both failing to muster a majority of support. This is the third straight month the two main blocks representing both sides of politics have fallen short of a majority of support. There were changes in the composition of support for the National-led Government, with National up 2% points to 32.5% and NZ First up 1% point to 7%. However, coalition partner ACT lost support, down 3.5% points to 7.5%, to its lowest level since January 2024. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour dropped 1.5% points to 27.5% and support for the Greens was down 1% point to 14.5%. In contrast, support for the Maori Party rebounded 2.5% points to 5.5%. A further 5.5% (up 0.5%) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. This New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 888 electors from 24 February to 23 March.

Support for NZ’s National-led Government down in January although support for National increases

February 5, 2025roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 22-Jan-25

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for January 2025 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 50% (down 1.5% points), still clearly ahead of the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 46.5% (up 1.5% points). There were changes in the composition of support for the National-led Government with National up 1.5% points to 32.5%; support for ACT dropped 4% points to 9% and support for NZ First increased 1% point to 8.5%, its highest level of support since the 2023 New Zealand Election. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour increased 2.5% points to 28.5% but support for the Greens dropped 2% points to 11.5%. This is the lowest level of support for the Greens since the 2023 Election. Support for the Maori Party increased 1% point to 6.5%. A further 3.5% (unchanged) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. The survey results for January would lead to 62 seats (down six seats from the election) being won by the National/ ACT/ NZ First governing coalition compared to 58 seats (up three seats) being won by the current Labour/ Greens/ Maori Party Opposition. This New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 885 electors from 2 to 26 January. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating increased by 6.5pts to 89 in January.

Support for National-led Government increases in December with National, ACT and NZ First all up

January 22, 2025roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 22-Jan-25

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for December 2024 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 51.5% (up 7.5% points), clearly ahead of the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 44% (down 6.5% points). For the National-led Government there were increases for all three coalition parties led by National, up 2.5% points to 31% and joined by ACT (up 4% points to 13%) and NZ First (up 1% point to 7.5%). This is the highest level of support for ACT since the 2023 New Zealand Election. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour was down 2% points to 26%, support for the Greens was unchanged at 13.5% and support for the Maori Party was down 3.5% points to 5.5%. A further 3.5% (down 2% points) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. The survey results for December would lead to 64 seats (down 4 seats from the election) being won by the National/ ACT/ NZ First governing coalition, compared to 56 seats (up 1 seat) being won by the current Labour/ Greens/ Maori Party Opposition. This New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 885 electors from 25 November to 15 December. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating dropped 21.5pts to 82.5 in December, the lowest rating for this indicator since March 2024.

National support up in September as National-led Government increases lead to 14% points after RBNZ cut interest rates

October 9, 2024roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 9-Oct-24

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for September 2024 shows that support for the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) has increased by 2% points to 55%, increasing its lead over the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 41% (down 2% points). Support for the National Party rose 1.5% points to 37.5% (the highest level of support since March), while support for ACT was up 0.5% points to 10% and support for NZ First was unchanged at 7.5%. Meanwhile, support for Labour fell by 3.5% points to 23%, but support for the Greens was up 1% point to 14% and support for the Maori Party rose 0.5% points to 4%. A further 4% (unchanged) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. The survey results for September would lead to 69 seats (up one seat from the election) being won by the current National/ ACT/ NZ First governing coalition compared to 51 seats (down four seats) for the Opposition. This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 902 electors from August 26 to September 22. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating fell 5pts to 92.5 in September.

National support up in August as National-led Government increases lead to 10% points and RBNZ cut interest rates

September 4, 2024roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 4-Sep-24

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for August 2024 shows that support for the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) has increased by 3% points to 53%, increasing its lead over the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 43% (down 1% points). Support for the National Party rose 3.5% points to 36% (the highest level of support since February), but support for ACT dropped 1.5% points to 9.5%; support for NZ First increased 1% point to 7.5%. Meanwhile, support for Labour increased by 2.5% points to 26.5%, support for the Greens was down 1% point to 13% and support for the Maori Party dropped 2.5% points to 3.5%. A further 4% (down 2% points) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. The survey results for August would lead to 66 seats (down two seats from the election) being won by the current National/ ACT/ NZ First governing coalition compared to 54 seats (down one seat) for the Opposition. This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 898 electors from July 29 to August 25. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating increased 7.5pts to 97.5 in August.

NZ Nationals’ support increases marginally in June as support for Labour slumps back below 30%

July 3, 2024roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 3-Jul-24

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for June 2024 shows that support for the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) has increased by 1% point to 49.5%; it retains a small lead over the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 45.5% (down 2.5% points). Support for National increased 1.5% points to 35%, support for ACT decreased 0.5% points to 9.5% while support for NZ First was again unchanged at 5.5%. Meanwhile, support for Labour was down 2.5% points to 27.5%, support for the Greens was up 0.5% points to 14.5% and support for the Maori Party was up 0.5% points to 3.5%. A further 5% (up 0.5% points) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. The survey results for June would lead to 62 seats (down six seats from the election) being won by the current governing coalition, compared to 58 seats (up three seats) for the Labour/ Greens/ Maori Party Opposition. The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 930 electors from May 27 to June 23. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating fell by 13pts to 83 in June.

Prime Minister Luxon’s honeymoon is over as National support crashes to lowest since the NZ Election after sacking two ministers in late April

May 29, 2024roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 29-May-24

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for May 2024 shows that support for the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) has fallen by 4.5% points to 48.5%; it now has a narrow lead over the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition (up 4% points to 47%. support for National was down 3% points to 33.5% – the lowest support for National since last year’s election; support for ACT decreased 1.5% points to 9.5% while support for NZ First was unchanged at 5.5%. Support for Labour jumped 5.5% points to 30%, to its highest level since June 2023; support for the Greens was up 1% point to 14% and support for the Maori Party was down 2.5% points to 3%. A further 4.5% (up 0.5% points) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. The survey results for May would lead to 61 seats (down seven seats from the election) being won by the current National/ ACT/ NZ First governing coalition compared to 59 seats (up four seats) for the Labour/ Greens/ Maori Party Opposition. This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 925 electors from April 22 to May 19. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating increased by 10.5pts to 96 in May.

National/ ACT/ NZ First (53%) lead over Labour/ Greens/ Maori (43%) – cut to 10% points in April

May 1, 2024roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 1-May-24

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for April 2024 shows the new National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) with a majority of 53% (down 3% points from March) , with a large lead over the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 43% (up 2.5% points). Support for National was down 1.5% to 36.5%, support for ACT decreased 0.5% points to 11% and support for NZ First was down 1% to 5.5%. Support for Labour was up 1.5% to 24.5% while support for the Greens was down 0.5% to 13% and support for the Maori Party was up 1.5% points to 5.5%. A further 4% (up 0.5% points) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. The survey results for April would lead to 66 seats (down two seats from the election) being won by the National/ ACT/ NZ First governing coalition, compared to only 54 seats (down one seat) for the Opposition. This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 934 electors from March 25 to April 21. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating increased by 4.5pts to 85.5 in April.

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