Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 7-Mar-23

Albanese Government support is down 2% points to 54.5% compared to the L-NP on 45.5% (up 2% points) on a two-party preferred basis, according to the latest Roy Morgan Poll – the closest result so far this year. The second consecutive weekly drop in support for the Albanese Government came after Treasurer Jim Chalmers announced changes to the taxation rules for superannuation. Australians with over $3 million in superannuation will now face an increased level of taxation and importantly the limit has not been indexed to inflation – which is currently at a 32-year high with an annual rate of 7.8%. Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating was virtually unchanged this week at 96 with 40% of Australians saying the country is ‘going in the right direction’ while 44% say the country is ‘going in the wrong direction’. This Roy Morgan Poll was conducted over the last week with an Australia-wide cross-section of 1,216 electors. Watch out for more details on the latest Roy Morgan Poll in today’s Market Research Update video.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 28-Feb-23

Today’s Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows the ALP support down 2% points to 56.5% compared to the L-NP on 43.5% (up 2% points) on a two-party preferred basis. The drop in support for the Albanese Government came after Treasurer Jim Chalmers raised the prospect of changing taxation rules for those with large superannuation account balances of over $3 million. The issue of changes to superannuation was easily the largest media story last week with almost 800 media mentions during the week – about twice as many as the second-placed Mardi Gras in Sydney. In addition, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has plunged 6.5pts to 95.5 – the lowest rating since last year’s Federal Election. Now 39% of Australians (down 3.5% points) say the country is ‘going in the right direction’ compared to 43.5% (up 3% points) who say the country is ‘going in the wrong direction’. Although support for the Albanese Government took a hit the ALP is still well ahead on a two-party preferred basis and leads on primary vote: ALP 37% cf. L-NP 34.5%. Over a quarter of Australians, 28.5%, say they will vote for a minor party or independent including 13.5% for the Greens, 4% for One Nation, 8.5% for independents and 2.5% for other parties. Watch out for more details on the latest Roy Morgan Poll in today’s Market Research Update video.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 22-Jun-22

The latest Roy Morgan Poll shows that the ALP’s lead over the L-NP is now 6% points on a two-party preferred basis, a month after the Federal Election: ALP 53% (down 1% point in a week) ahead of the L-NP 47% (up 1% point). This is still an increase for the ALP on the Federal Election result: ALP 52% cf. L-NP 48%. If a Federal Election had been held last weekend the ALP would have won easily. Primary support for the ALP is up 2% points to 36% but it still trails the L-NP, unchanged on 37%. Support for the Greens was down 1.5% points to 11%. Support for One Nation was up 0.5% points to 4% and support for Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party was down 0.5% points to 0.5%. Support for Other Parties was up 2.5% points to 7% while support for Independents was down 3% points to 4.5%. Analysis by State shows that the ALP leads in four States (Victoria, Western Australia, South Australia and Tasmania), while the L-NP leads in NSW and the two parties are even in Queensland. Meanwhile, the weekly Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is down 2pts to 105, the third consecutive week of declines after reaching a high of 111.5 immediately after the Federal Election. Some 42% (down 2% points) of Australians now say the country is ‘heading in the right direction’, while 37% (unchanged) say the country is ‘heading in the wrong direction’. This Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention and Government Confidence was conducted via telephone and online interviewing of 1,401 Australian electors aged 18+ from Monday June 13 to Sunday June 19.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY, UNITED AUSTRALIA PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 27-Apr-22

A Roy Morgan Poll conducted during the second week of the federal election campaign shows the L-NP gaining 0.5% points on a two-party preferred basis, but still well behind the ALP (54.5% cf. L-NP 45.5%). This is the closest since early November 2021, when the two-party preferred lead was 7% points: ALP 53.5% cf. L-NP 46.5%. If a Federal Election had been held last weekend the ALP would have won a clear majority. Primary support for the L-NP was unchanged at 35.5% and remains just ahead of the ALP on 35%, also unchanged from a week ago. Analysis by State shows that the ALP now leads in four States on a two-party preferred basis, but the L-NP has regained the lead in Queensland and has increased its lead in Western Australia. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating increased 6pts to 92 in the second week of the election campaign; now 38.5% (up 3.5% points) of Australians say the country is ‘heading in the right direction’, while 46.5% (down 2.5% points) say the country is ‘heading in the wrong direction’. This Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention and Government Confidence was conducted via telephone and online interviewing of 1,393 Australian electors aged 18+ from Monday April 18-24.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 23-Feb-22

ALP support is now at 57% (up 0.5% points since late January) cf. L-NP on 43% (down 0.5% points) on a two-party preferred basis, according to the latest Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention conducted during February. The swing to the ALP came as Parliament resumed sitting in early February but there was no let-up for the Government with tough questions for Prime Minister Scott Morrison during an appearance at the National Press Club. A week later sexual abuse survivor, and former Australian of the Year, Grace Tame and former Parliamentary staffer, and alleged rape victim, Brittany Higgins also spoke and had little positive to say about Prime Minister Morrison or the L-NP Government. If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be elected with a similar margin to that won by Harold Holt at the 1966 Federal Election (L-CP 56.9% cf. ALP 43.1%). This Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention and Government Confidence was conducted via telephone and online interviewing of 2,796 Australian electors aged 18+ from January 31 – February 13, 2022.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 3-Feb-22

ALP support is now at 56.5% (up 0.5% points since mid-January) cf. L-NP on 43.5% (down 0.5% points) on a two-party preferred basis, according to the latest Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention conducted via telephone and online interviewing with 2,783 Australian electors aged 18+ over the two weeks from January 17-30, 2022. There were 7.5% of electors (up 0.5% points from mid-January) who can’t say who they support. The ALP holds two-party preferred leads in all six States including NSW (ALP 54% cf. L-NP 46%), Victoria (ALP 59% cf. L-NP 41%), Queensland (ALP 51.5% cf. L-NP 48.5%), Western Australia (ALP 55.5% cf. L-NP 44.5%), South Australia (ALP 64% cf. L-NP 36%) and Tasmania (ALP 61.5% cf. L-NP 38.5%). There is also a huge gender gap with the ALP enjoying a huge two-party preferred lead amongst women: ALP 60.5% cf. L-NP 39.5% while men are more evenly split between the two parties: ALP 52% cf. L-NP 48%. Roy Morgan Government Confidence is well into negative territory, below the neutral level of 100, at a rating of only 84.5 with a majority of 50.5% of electors saying Australia is ‘heading in the wrong direction’ compared to only 34.5% that say the country is ‘heading in the right direction’. Full results of this week’s Roy Morgan Poll on Federal Voting Intention will be released later today.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 11-Nov-21

The latest Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows that support for the ALP is now 53.5% (down 0.5% points since late October), cf. the L-NP on 46.5% (up 0.5% points) on a two-party preferred basis. The small swing to the L-NP came while Prime Minister Scott Morrison attended the Group of 20 summit in Rome and the COP26 climate summit in Glasgow. If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be elected with a similar margin to that won by John Howard at the 1996 Federal Election (ALP 53.6% cf. L-NP 46.4%). Primary support for the L-NP was unchanged at 36.5% in early November and is still ahead of the ALP, which was also unchanged at 35%. Support for the Greens dropped by 2% points to 11.5 and support for One Nation was down 0.5% points to 3%, but support for Independents/Others rose 2.5% points to 14%. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has dropped by 2.5ps to 95.5 in early November. Now 40% (down 1% point) of Australians say the country is ‘heading in the right direction’, while 44.5% (up 1.5% points) say the country is ‘heading in the wrong direction’. This Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention and Government Confidence was conducted via telephone and online interviewing over the last two weekends. Roy Morgan interviewed 2,723 Australian electors aged 18+ on the weekends of October 30/31 and November 6/7.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 28-Oct-21

The latest Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows that support for the ALP has increased to 54% (up 1% point since mid-October), cf. the L-NP on 46% (down 1% point) on a two-party preferred basis. The 1% point swing to the ALP came after the governing Liberal and National parties have spent the last few weeks ‘haggling’ about a change in policy for the Government to support a target of "Net Zero" carbon dioxide emissions for Australia by 2050. If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be elected with a similar margin to that won by John Howard at the 1996 Federal Election (ALP 53.6% cf. L-NP 46.4%). Primary support for the L-NP was down 1% point to 36.5% in October and is still ahead of the ALP which was also down 1% point to 35%. In contrast to the two major parties, Greens support increased by 2% points to 13.5% as media attention in October turned to Australia’s response to global warming and climate change. Support for One Nation was up 0.5% points to 3.5% while support for Independents/Others was down 0.5% points to 11.5%. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has increased by 3ps to 98 in late October. Now 41% (up 1% point) of Australians say the country is ‘heading in the right direction’, while 43% (down 2% points) say the country is ‘heading in the wrong direction’. This Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention and Roy Morgan Government Confidence was conducted via telephone and online interviewing. Roy Morgan interviewed 2,778 Australian electors aged 18+ on the weekends of October 16/17 & 23/24.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 13-Oct-21

The latest Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows that support for the ALP has fallen to 53% (down 1% point since late September), cf. the L-NP on 47% (up 1% point) on a two-party preferred basis. The 1% points swing to the L-NP came after Prime Minister Scott Morrison met foreign leaders in Washington in late September as part of a series of security meetings. However, the swing to the L-NP in recent weeks has merely acted to reverse the similarly sized swing away from the L-NP in September. If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be elected with a similar margin to that won by Bob Hawke at the 1983 Federal Election (ALP 53.2% cf. L-NP 46.8%). Primary support for the L-NP increased by 1.5% points to 37.5% in mid-October and is now just ahead of the ALP, which is unchanged on 36%. Greens support has dropped 1% point to 11.5%. Support for One Nation was down 0.5% points to 3%, while support for Independents/Others was unchanged at 12%. Interviewing for the latest Roy Morgan Poll was conducted over the weekends of October 2/3 and 9/10, with a nationally representative cross-section of 2,794 Australian electors using a combination of telephone and online interviews (multi-mode).

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY