Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 1-Jul-25

In the final week of June, and following immediately after US strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, the ALP 57.5% has maintained a large two-party preferred lead over the L-NP Coalition 42.5%, virtually unchanged on a week earlier, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. Interviewing for this survey began on Monday June 23 – the same day Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Foreign Minister Penny Wong expressed support for the decision by the United States to strike the Iranian nuclear facilities and reiterated Australia’s position that Iran not be able to develop nuclear weapons. In the final week of June primary support for the ALP was at 36.5% (down 1% since early June) and clearly ahead of the Liberal-National Coalition on 30.5% (down 0.5%). Support for the Greens was unchanged on 12% and support for One Nation increased 2.5% to 8.5%. In addition, support for Independents/Other Parties was at 12.5% (down 1%).

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 25-Jun-25

The latest Roy Morgan survey shows that the ALP on 58% maintained a large two-party preferred lead over the L-NP Coalition on 42% on a two-party preferred basis for the first three weeks of June. Primary support for the ALP was at 37.5% (up 0.5% since May) in the first three weeks of June, and is clearly ahead of the Liberal-National Coalition on 31% (unchanged). Support for the Greens increased 0.5% to 12% and support for One Nation was unchanged at 6%. In addition, support for Independents/Other Parties was at 13.5% (down 1%). Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating increased 4.5 points to 101.5 during the first three weeks of June. Government Confidence is now above the neutral level of 100 for the first time since February 2023. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 3,957 Australian electors from 2-22 June.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 4-Jun-25

The latest Roy Morgan survey shows that support for the ALP has risen to 58.5% on a two-party preferred basis (up 3.2% since winning the federal election), well ahead of the Liberal-National Party Coalition on 41.5% (down 3.2%). The Albanese Government’s second election victory netted the party 94 seats in the House of Representatives, equalling the all-time record of the Howard Government in 1996. In addition, the two-party preferred result – currently at 55.3% for the ALP according to the AEC – is the largest since Malcolm Fraser won the 1975 election for the Coalition with a two-party preferred result of 55.7%. In the month of May primary support for the ALP increased to 37% (up 2.4% since the election), and is clearly ahead of the Coalition on 31% (down 0.8%). Support for the Greens dropped 0.7% from the election to 11.5% and support for One Nation was down 0.4% to 6%. In addition, support for Independents/Other Parties was at 14.5% (down 0.5%). Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating increased 15.5 points to 97 during May. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 5,128 Australian electors from 5 May to 1 June.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 29-Apr-25

If a Federal Election were held last weekend the ALP would have been returned to Government with an increased majority with the ALP on 53% (up 0.9% from the 2022 Federal Election) ahead of the L-NP Coalition on 47% (down 0.9%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. This result represents a two-party preferred swing of 2.5% to the L-NP Coalition compared to a week ago. Despite the large two-party preferred swing, primary support for the major parties was little changed with the Coalition on 34.5% (up 0.5%) now just ahead of the ALP on 34% (down 0.5%). Support for the Greens dropped 1.5% to 13% and One Nation increased 1.5% to 7.5%. This is not a ‘direct transfer’ of voting intention but indicates movement between the two major parties and the two key minor parties of the ‘left’ (Greens) and the ‘right’ (One Nation). An unchanged 11% support other minor parties and independents. Within that bloc, the largest support is for so-called ‘Teal Independents’ (2%) and Clive Palmer’s ‘Trumpet of Patriots’ (1.5%). These results take into account that minor parties and independents are not running in every seat.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY, TRUMPET OF PATRIOTS

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 23-Apr-25

If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be returned to Government with an increased majority with the ALP on 55.5% (up 1%) ahead of the L-NP Coalition on 44.5% (down 1%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. Roy Morgan Government Confidence was unchanged at an 18-month high of 86 – although still below the neutral level of 100. Now 48% (down 0.5%) of Australians say the country is ‘going in the wrong direction’ compared to 34% (down 0.5%) that say the country is ‘going in the right direction’. This was the first week in which all candidates were known and support for both major parties increased at the expense of Independents and Other Parties. Primary support for the ALP increased 2.5% to 34.5% and is just ahead of the Coalition on 34%, up 0.5%, while the Greens were unchanged at a six-month high of 14.5% and One Nation was unchanged at 6%. The declaration of candidates meant a drop in support for Independents, down 2.5% to 7.5% with Independent candidates not running in all 150 seats. There was also a decline in support for Other Parties, down 0.5% to 3.5%, with many minor parties running in only a handful of seats.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 15-Apr-25

If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be returned to Government with an increased majority with the ALP on 54.5% (up 1% point from a week ago) ahead of the L-NP Coalition on 45.5% (down 1%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. In a good sign for the Albanese Government, Roy Morgan Government Confidence increased 5pts to 86 – its highest since September 2023. Primary support for the major parties was little changed with the Coalition up 0.5% to 33.5% and the ALP down 0.5% to 32%. Importantly for the Government, support for the Greens was up 1% to 14.5%, One Nation was at 6%, Other Parties down 2% to 4% and Independents up 1% to 10%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 8-Apr-25

If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be returned to Government with an increased majority with the ALP on 53.5% (up 0.5% points from a week ago) ahead of the L-NP Coalition on 46.5% (down 0.5%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. Roy Morgan Government Confidence was virtually unchanged at 81 with 33% (up 1%) of Australians saying the country is ‘going in the right direction’ compared to 52% (up 0.5%) that say the country is ‘going in the wrong direction’. Primary support for the ALP increased at the expense of the Coalition, with support for the ALP up 0.5% to 32.5% while Coalition support dropped 2% to 33% – this is the closest the two parties have been on primary vote support since mid-October 2023. Support for the Greens increased 0.5% to 13.5%, One Nation was up 0.5% to 6%, support for Other Parties increased 2% to 6% (Note: Clive Palmer’s new Trump of Patriots party received 1.5% support – its best result so far), while support for Independents dropped 1.5% to 9%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY, TRUMPET OF PATRIOTS

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 1-Apr-25

If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be returned to Government with an increased majority with the ALP on 53% (unchanged from a week ago) ahead of the L-NP Coalition on 47% (unchanged) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating was virtually unchanged at 80.5 with only 32% (down 0.5%) of Australians saying the country is ‘going in the right direction’, compared to 51.5% (down 1%) that say the country is ‘going in the wrong direction’. This week primary support for both major parties decreased with the Coalition down 0.5% to 35% and the ALP down 1.5% to 32% after the Albanese Government delivered its pre-election Federal Budget, Opposition Leader Peter Dutton delivered the Opposition’s response, and the Federal Election was called. Support for the Greens increased 0.5% to 13% and support for One Nation was up 1.5% to 5.5%. Support for Other Parties dropped 0.5% to 4% and support for Independents was up 0.5% to 10.5%

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 25-Mar-25

If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be returned to Government with an increased majority with the ALP on 53% (down 1.5% from a week ago) ahead of the L-NP Coalition on 47% (up 1.5%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. Roy Morgan Government Confidence dropped 4.5 points to 80 with only 32.5% (down 2.5%) of Australians saying the country is ‘going in the right direction’ compared to 52.5% (up 2%) that say the country is ‘going in the wrong direction’. Primary support for both major parties increased with the Coalition up 1.5% to 35.5% and the ALP up 1% to 33.5%. Support for the Greens dropped 1% to 12.5%, One Nation was down 1% to 4%, Other Parties were unchanged at 4.5% and Independents were down 0.5% to 10%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 4-Mar-25

If a Federal Election were held now the result would be a hung parliament, with the Coalition on 50.5% (up 1.5%) narrowly ahead of the ALP on 49.5% (down 1.5%) on a two-party preferred basis. The Coalition, or the ALP, would require the support of minor parties and independents to form government, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. This latest weekly poll has not completely reversed the ‘Reserve Bank boost’ but has definitely shown the ‘boost’ to Labor has been significantly softened. The Coalition stretched their primary vote lead, with L-NP support up 3.5% to 40% while ALP support dropped 3% to 28.5%; the Greens were unchanged at 13.5%, One Nation down 1% to 4%, Other Parties unchanged at 3.5% and Independents up 0.5% to 10.5%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA