Roy Morgan Poll: Coalition retains a narrow lead over Labor as Donald Trump wins US Presidential Election

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 12-Nov-24

If a Federal Election were held now the result would be ‘too close to call’ with the Coalition 50.5% (down 0.5%) narrowly ahead of the ALP 49.5% (up 0.5%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. The close result and the large size of the crossbench (currently 16 seats) means either the ALP or Coalition would require the support of minor parties and independents to form government. Primary vote support was little changed for the major parties, with the Coalition down 0.5% to 37.5% and the ALP unchanged at 30.5%; however, the Greens dipped 1.5% to 12.5%. One Nation increased 0.5% to 6.5%, Other Parties were up 0.5% to 4.5% and Independents increased 1% to 8.5%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITEDMORGAN POLLAUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTYLIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIANATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIAAUSTRALIAN GREENSONE NATION PARTY

L-NP (47.5%) gains ground on the ALP (52.5%) after PM Morrison calls on States to stick to re-opening plans

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 15-Sep-21

The latest Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows that ALP support has dropped to 52.5% (down 2% points since late August) cf. L-NP on 47.5% (up 2% points) on a two-party preferred basis. This was the first increase in support for the L-NP since mid-June, before the current Sydney lockdown began. The 2% points swing to the L-NP over the first two weeks of September is the largest this year and comes after Prime Minister Scott Morrison and other members of the Federal Government called on the States to stick to the re-opening plan agreed in National Cabinet. If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be elected with a similar margin to that won by Kevin Rudd at the 2007 Federal Election (ALP 52.7% cf. L-NP 47.3%). Primary support for the L-NP was up 1% point to 39.5% in mid-September and is now ahead of the ALP on 35%, down 3.5% points. However, there was an increase in support for the Greens, up 1.5% points to 13%. Support for One Nation was unchanged at 3% while support for Independents/Others was up by 1% point to 10.5%. Interviewing for the latest Roy Morgan Poll was conducted over the weekends of September 4/5 and 11/12, 2021 with a nationally representative cross-section of 2,753 Australian electors using a combination of telephone and online interviews (multi-mode).

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITEDMORGAN POLLAUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTYLIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIANATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIAAUSTRALIAN GREENSONE NATION PARTY