Support for the Andrews Government up since the Victorian Election; Pesutto’s handling of Moira Deeming had a negative impact on his job approval as leader

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 24-May-23

A Roy Morgan Snap SMS Poll shows that support for the ALP Government in Victoria has increased to 61.5% (up 6.5% points since the 2022 state election) on a two-party preferred basis; support for the Liberal-National Coalition is on 38.5% (down 6.5% points). Primary vote support for the ALP has increased by 5.3% points to 42% since the election, while support for the L-NP Coalition is down 6% points to 28.5%. Support for the Greens is up 1% point to 12.5%, while support for other minor parties and independents attracts 17% of the vote (down 0.3% points). Meanwhile, Premier Daniel Andrews has a large lead over Opposition leader John Pesutto as the preferred Premier in the first head-to-head poll Roy Morgan has conducted between the two leaders. Now 64% of electors say Andrews would make the ‘Better Premier’, compared to only 36% who say Pesutto. Now 52.5% (down 5% points since November) of Victorian electors approve of the way Andrews is handling his job, while 47.5% (up 5% points) disapprove. In contrast, a majority of 53.5% of Victorian electors disapprove of the job Pesutto is doing, and only 46.5% approve. This Roy Morgan Snap SMS Poll was conducted from May 17-22, 2023, with a Victoria-wide cross-section of 2,095 Victorian electors aged 18+.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET

Andrews’ secret Covid polling revealed

Original article by Damon Johnston
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 8-Mar-23

Victoria’s Department of Premier & Cabinet has belatedly released nearly 200 pages of documents and emails pertaining to research on the public’s attitude to COVID-19 lockdowns. The polling was undertaken by QDOS Research, which is owned by Labor strategist John Armitage. The government had frequently reiterated that its pandemic response was shaped by health advice, but the documents also show that it asked QDOS to undertake intensive online surveys and focus groups to gauge Victorians’ reactions to pandemic restrictions, as well as the performance of Premier Daniel Andrews during the state’s marathon 112-day lockdown. The government had sought for two years to block requests for access to the documents via freedom of information laws.

CORPORATES
VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET, QDOS RESEARCH

ALP Government of Daniel Andrews set to win with a reduced majority as support for L-NP grows – but will the trend continue?

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 24-Nov-22

A special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Poll shows that the Victorian ALP on 55% (down 2% points since early November) has an election-winning lead over the L-NP Coalition on 45% (up 2% points) on a two-party preferred basis. The Poll shows a swing of 2.3% points away from the ALP since the 2018 Victorian Election in which the ALP on 57.3% defeated the L-NP on 42.7% (a near record margin of 14.6% points). Primary vote support for the two major parties shows the ALP now at 38% (down 4.9% points from the 2018 Election) ahead of the L-NP on 32.5% (down 2.7% points). Support for the Greens is at 12.5% (up 1.8% points) while total support for ‘Other parties and independents’ is now at 17% (up 5.8% points). There are many seats on tight margins that will be closely contested at the election. If the Roy Morgan Poll result of a uniform swing of 2.3% points away from the ALP to the Liberal-National coalition is the outcome this would lead to five or six seats being lost to the Liberal Party. However, even if the Liberal Party does pick up five or six seats from the ALP Government they may lose three or four seats to a ‘Teal Independent’ candidate elsewhere. This special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Poll was conducted with a Victoria-wide cross-section of 1,195 Victorian electors aged 18+ conducted from Tuesday November 22 to Wednesday November 23.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS

ALP lead over Coalition in Victoria narrows since October and is back to 2018 Election result as minor parties surge: ALP 57% cf. L-NP 43%

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 14-Nov-22

A special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Poll shows that the ALP has retained a large election-winning lead over the Liberal-National Coalition in Victoria. The ALP is now on 57% (down 3.5% points since campaigning began) on a two-party preferred basis, well ahead of the L-NP on 43% (up 3.5% points). The two-party preferred results of this week’s Snap SMS Poll are almost identical to the results from the 2018 Victorian Election in which the ALP on 57.3% defeated the L-NP on 42.7% – a margin of 14.6% points. However, comparing the primary voting results from this Snap SMS Poll to the 2018 Victorian Election shows a large move to minor parties and independents – the same thing Roy Morgan saw at this year’s Federal Election. Primary vote support for the two major parties shows the ALP now at 40% (down 2.9% points from the 2018 Victorian Election) ahead of the L-NP on 29% (down 6.2% points). Support for the Greens is at 11.5% (up 0.8% points) while total support for ‘Other parties and independents’ is now at 19.5% (up 8.3% points). Among the minor parties support for so-called ‘Teal Independents’ is now at 4.5% while there is 1% support for Derryn Hinch’s Justice Party, 0.5% support for Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party and 13.5% support other minor parties and independents. This special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Poll was conducted with a Victoria-wide cross-section of 1,030 Victorian electors aged 18+ conducted from Wednesday November 9 to Thursday November 10.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, JUSTICE PARTY, UNITED AUSTRALIA PARTY

ALP increases its large election-winning lead over the Liberal-National Coalition in Victoria in September: ALP 60% cf. L-NP 40%

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 19-Oct-22

A multi-mode Roy Morgan Poll shows that the ALP has increased its election-winning lead over the Liberal-National Coalition in Victoria. The ALP is now on 60% (up 2% points since August) on a two-party preferred basis, well ahead of the L-NP on 40% (down 2% points) less than two months before the State Election. If a State Election were held today the ALP would win easily. The ALP’s primary vote is now 42% (up 5.5% points since August) and has now moved even further ahead of the L-NP on 28% (down 1% point). Despite the increase in support for the ALP, support for both major parties has dropped since the 2018 State Election. Meanwhile, support for the minor parties is up significantly since 2018, mirroring the trend seen at the recent Federal Election when 34.1% of Victorians voted for a minor party. Overall, nearly a third of Victorians (30%) say they will vote for a minor party or independent in the State Election in November. The Greens attract the most support from these voters at 14.5% (up 0.5% points since August 2022) and a further 15.5% is spread between an array of minor parties and independents. This Roy Morgan Poll on State voting intention was conducted with a representative cross-section of 1,379 Victorian electors aged 18+ during the month of September.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS

Over three-quarters of Victorians (76%) agree that an employed worker in Victoria is not allowed to enter their employer’s workplace unless fully vaccinated

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 25-Nov-21

A large majority of 76% of Victorians agree that an employed worker in Victoria is not allowed to enter their employer’s workplace unless fully vaccinated compared to only 24% that disagree, according to a special Victorian Roy Morgan SMS Poll conducted yesterday (November 24, 2021). Agreement with this policy is consistently strong across Gender, Age and Location although there are significant political differences. An almost unanimous 96% of ALP supporters agree with the policy compared to 91.5% of Greens supporters but only 55% of L-NP supporters and just 4% of supporters of the United Australia Party (UAP). The ALP has increased its two-party preferred lead to almost 20% points with the ALP on 59.5% cf. L-NP on 40.5%. Support for the ALP is strongest amongst women: ALP 62.5% cf. L-NP 37.5% while there is a tighter result for men: ALP 55.5% cf. L-NP 44.5%. The survey found 63.5% of Victorian electors approve of the way Premier Daniel Andrews is handling his job while a minority of 36.5%, down 3% points disapprove of his handling of the job.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, UNITED AUSTRALIA PARTY, VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET

High (60.5%) approval of Premier Daniel Andrews rests on his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 17-Nov-21

A special Roy Morgan survey last week found that 60.5% of Victorian electors now approve of the way Premier Daniel Andrews is handling his job, although this is down 10.5% points from November 2020; some 39.5% (up 10.5% points) of Victorians disapprove of Andrews’ handling of the job. The approval of Andrews’ handling of his job is heavily correlated to age. A large majority of young Victorians aged under 35 (72%) approve of Andrews’ handling of the job, while only 28% disapprove. This strong approval declines progressively with age. Over two-fifths of those aged 35-49 (62.5%) and 50-64 (61%) approve of Andrews’ handling of the job, while this drops to only 55% of people aged 65+. The approval rating for Andrews amongst the genders match the figures for the two-party preferred voting support, with 65% of women approving of Andrews’ handling of his job compared to 55.5% of men. Analysing by voting intention shows just how widely divergent the views of supporters of the different parties are. A near unanimous 97% of ALP voters approve of Andrews’ handling of the job, and 84% of Greens supporters also approve. In contrast, only 16% of L-NP supporters approve of Andrews’ handling of the job; this drops to only 1.5% of supporters of Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED,VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET,AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY,LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA,NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA,UNITED AUSTRALIA PARTY

Victoria’s major parties both lose support to minor parties although ALP would still win easily; while Premier Daniel Andrews’ job approval is still high at 60.5% but over 10% points lower than a year ago

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 11-Nov-21

A Victorian Roy Morgan Poll on State voting intention shows primary support is down for both the ALP State Government on 43% (down 2% points from November 2020) and the Liberal-National Opposition on 31% (down 3.5% points); while support for the Greens is unchanged on 11%. The beneficiaries are the minor parties and independents – now attracting the support of 15% of electors – up 5.5% points. Minor party support is highest for Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party on 3%, Derryn Hinch’s Justice Party is on 2%, while 3.5% support other parties and 6.5% support Independents. Despite the drift in support to minor parties the ALP still holds a strong two-party preferred lead: ALP 58% cf. L-NP 42%. However, Premier Daniel Andrews’ job approval is now at 60.5%, down a large 10.5% points from November 2020 when approval for the Premier hit a record high after the end of Victoria’s long second lockdown, and disapproval is 39.5%. Detailed analysis of results shows significant gender and age differences on voting intentions and sentiment towards Premier Andrews. Full details and key demographic breakdowns will be released later today. This Roy Morgan Poll surveyed yesterday (Wednesday) a cross section of 1,357 Victorian electors.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, UNITED AUSTRALIA PARTY, JUSTICE PARTY, VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET

Victorian ALP (58.5%) streaks ahead of L-NP (41.5%). Premier Daniel Andrews approval jumps 12% to 71%

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 12-Nov-20

A Roy Morgan Snap SMS survey on Victorian voting intention shows that the ALP’s two-party support has jumped 7% to 58.5% following the end of the state’s coronavirus lockdown, with the L-NP on 41.5%. Primary support for the ALP is now at 45%, up 5% points from four weeks ago and well ahead of the L-NP on 34.5%, down 5.5% points. Support for the Greens is up slightly to 11% (up 2% points) while support for Other Parties is down 0.5% to 5.5%. The survey also found that 71% of Victorian electors approve of the way Premier Daniel Andrews is handling his job (up 12% since mid-October), while 29% disapprove (down 12%). This special Roy Morgan Snap SMS survey was conducted with a Victoria-wide cross-section of 818 electors aged 18+ on November 9 and 10.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS

Victorian ALP Government support now 51.5% would win a close election with L-NP on 48.5%

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 18-Sep-20

Since the 2018 Victorian State Election Two-party ALP support has dropped 5.8% while L-NP support is up 5.8% according to a special Roy Morgan SMS survey on Victorian voting intention with a cross-section of 1,147 Victorian electors aged 18+ over the last few days. Clear splits have emerged by gender and region in Victoria with women favouring the ALP (57%) cf. L-NP (43%) and Melburnians favouring the ALP (53.5%) cf. L-NP (46.5%) while men favour the L-NP (53.5%) cf. ALP (46.5%) and Country Victorians favour the L-NP (55%) cf. ALP (45%).

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS