PUBLIC OPINION POLLS – VICTORIA

Over three-quarters of Victorians (76%) agree that an employed worker in Victoria is not allowed to enter their employer’s workplace unless fully vaccinated

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 25-Nov-21

A large majority of 76% of Victorians agree that an employed worker in Victoria is not allowed to enter their employer’s workplace unless fully vaccinated compared to only 24% that disagree, according to a special Victorian Roy Morgan SMS Poll conducted yesterday (November 24, 2021). Agreement with this policy is consistently strong across Gender, Age and Location although there are significant political differences. An almost unanimous 96% of ALP supporters agree with the policy compared to 91.5% of Greens supporters but only 55% of L-NP supporters and just 4% of supporters of the United Australia Party (UAP). The ALP has increased its two-party preferred lead to almost 20% points with the ALP on 59.5% cf. L-NP on 40.5%. Support for the ALP is strongest amongst women: ALP 62.5% cf. L-NP 37.5% while there is a tighter result for men: ALP 55.5% cf. L-NP 44.5%. The survey found 63.5% of Victorian electors approve of the way Premier Daniel Andrews is handling his job while a minority of 36.5%, down 3% points disapprove of his handling of the job.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, UNITED AUSTRALIA PARTY, VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET

High (60.5%) approval of Premier Daniel Andrews rests on his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 17-Nov-21

A special Roy Morgan survey last week found that 60.5% of Victorian electors now approve of the way Premier Daniel Andrews is handling his job, although this is down 10.5% points from November 2020; some 39.5% (up 10.5% points) of Victorians disapprove of Andrews’ handling of the job. The approval of Andrews’ handling of his job is heavily correlated to age. A large majority of young Victorians aged under 35 (72%) approve of Andrews’ handling of the job, while only 28% disapprove. This strong approval declines progressively with age. Over two-fifths of those aged 35-49 (62.5%) and 50-64 (61%) approve of Andrews’ handling of the job, while this drops to only 55% of people aged 65+. The approval rating for Andrews amongst the genders match the figures for the two-party preferred voting support, with 65% of women approving of Andrews’ handling of his job compared to 55.5% of men. Analysing by voting intention shows just how widely divergent the views of supporters of the different parties are. A near unanimous 97% of ALP voters approve of Andrews’ handling of the job, and 84% of Greens supporters also approve. In contrast, only 16% of L-NP supporters approve of Andrews’ handling of the job; this drops to only 1.5% of supporters of Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED,VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET,AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY,LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA,NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA,UNITED AUSTRALIA PARTY

Victoria’s major parties both lose support to minor parties although ALP would still win easily; while Premier Daniel Andrews’ job approval is still high at 60.5% but over 10% points lower than a year ago

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 11-Nov-21

A Victorian Roy Morgan Poll on State voting intention shows primary support is down for both the ALP State Government on 43% (down 2% points from November 2020) and the Liberal-National Opposition on 31% (down 3.5% points); while support for the Greens is unchanged on 11%. The beneficiaries are the minor parties and independents – now attracting the support of 15% of electors – up 5.5% points. Minor party support is highest for Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party on 3%, Derryn Hinch’s Justice Party is on 2%, while 3.5% support other parties and 6.5% support Independents. Despite the drift in support to minor parties the ALP still holds a strong two-party preferred lead: ALP 58% cf. L-NP 42%. However, Premier Daniel Andrews’ job approval is now at 60.5%, down a large 10.5% points from November 2020 when approval for the Premier hit a record high after the end of Victoria’s long second lockdown, and disapproval is 39.5%. Detailed analysis of results shows significant gender and age differences on voting intentions and sentiment towards Premier Andrews. Full details and key demographic breakdowns will be released later today. This Roy Morgan Poll surveyed yesterday (Wednesday) a cross section of 1,357 Victorian electors.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, UNITED AUSTRALIA PARTY, JUSTICE PARTY, VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET

Victorian ALP (58.5%) streaks ahead of L-NP (41.5%). Premier Daniel Andrews approval jumps 12% to 71%

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 12-Nov-20

A Roy Morgan Snap SMS survey on Victorian voting intention shows that the ALP’s two-party support has jumped 7% to 58.5% following the end of the state’s coronavirus lockdown, with the L-NP on 41.5%. Primary support for the ALP is now at 45%, up 5% points from four weeks ago and well ahead of the L-NP on 34.5%, down 5.5% points. Support for the Greens is up slightly to 11% (up 2% points) while support for Other Parties is down 0.5% to 5.5%. The survey also found that 71% of Victorian electors approve of the way Premier Daniel Andrews is handling his job (up 12% since mid-October), while 29% disapprove (down 12%). This special Roy Morgan Snap SMS survey was conducted with a Victoria-wide cross-section of 818 electors aged 18+ on November 9 and 10.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS

Victorian ALP Government support now 51.5% would win a close election with L-NP on 48.5%

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 18-Sep-20

Since the 2018 Victorian State Election Two-party ALP support has dropped 5.8% while L-NP support is up 5.8% according to a special Roy Morgan SMS survey on Victorian voting intention with a cross-section of 1,147 Victorian electors aged 18+ over the last few days. Clear splits have emerged by gender and region in Victoria with women favouring the ALP (57%) cf. L-NP (43%) and Melburnians favouring the ALP (53.5%) cf. L-NP (46.5%) while men favour the L-NP (53.5%) cf. ALP (46.5%) and Country Victorians favour the L-NP (55%) cf. ALP (45%).

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS

Law and Order is major issue for tomorrow’s Victorian State Election

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Original article by Gary Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 23-Nov-18

Over the closing days of the Victorian State election both major parties have campaigned on Law and Order. However a major difference was highlighted in Wednesday night’s Frankston Leaders’ debate on how to treat those given bail who then break a bail condition. Liberal Leader Matthew Guy would immediately put them in jail whereas Premier Daniel Andrews would not, as doing so would mean Victoria would need to build so many more jails it would be at the expense of more schools and more hospitals. A large 82% of Victorian electors agree with Matthew Guy – break bail, go to jail – according to a special SMS Morgan Poll conducted yesterday (Thursday). The Morgan Poll showed the ALP and L-NP support improving over the last week to about 35% with the Greens, Other parties and Independents comprising the remaining 30%. The high vote for Greens, Other parties and Independents means the Victorian State election is set to be decided on their preferences.

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MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET

ALP favoured to win Victorian Election but late surge to Liberals continues. A close election will be decided on minor party preferences

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Morgan Poll Update – Page: Online : 28-Nov-14

An SMS Morgan Poll on state voting intention one day before the 2014 Victorian election has found that support for the Coalition and the Australian Labor Party on a two-party preferred basis is level at 50 per cent each. Support for the Coalition has fallen by 1.6 per cent since the 2010 election, while support for Labor has risen by the same margin. The poll, which was carried out on 26-27 November, also shows that 50.5 per cent of electors now believe that Denis Napthine would make the better Premier. Roy Morgan Research executive chairman Gary Morgan says the closeness of the Morgan Poll means that minor parties’ preferences will play a pivotal role in deciding the outcome of the election

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MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, AUSTRALIAN SEX PARTY, FAMILY FIRST PARTY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, COUNTRY ALLIANCE, VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET

Dan Andrews set to be new Victorian Premier in a week’s time

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Morgan Poll Update – Page: Online : 21-Nov-14

An SMS Morgan Poll on state voting intention ahead of the 2014 Victorian election has found that support for the Australian Labor Party on a two-party preferred basis has risen by 1.5 per cent to 55 per cent. The poll, which was carried out on 19-20 November, also shows that support for the Coalition has fallen by 1.5 per cent to 45 per cent. Meanwhile, 52.5 per cent of electors now believe that Opposition Leader Daniel Andrews would make the better Premier. Roy Morgan Research executive chairman Gary Morgan says the Coalition Government may be the state’s first one-term government since the 1950s

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MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, AUSTRALIAN SEX PARTY, FAMILY FIRST PARTY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET

Napthine loses ground in poll

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Original article by Lucille Keen
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 14-Nov-14

The latest Fairfax/Ipsos poll has found that support for the Victorian Opposition is steady at 56 per cent on a two-party preferred basis. The Australian Labor Party and the Coalition both have 39 per cent of the primary vote ahead of the state election. The poll, which was carried out from 5-9 November 2014, found that there is strong support for the East West Link project and the legalisation of euthanasia. Denis Napthine’s rating as preferred premier has fallen by three per cent to 42 per cent

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FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ, IPSOS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, VICTORIA. DEPT OF TRANSPORT, PLANNING AND LOCAL INFRASTRUCTURE

ALP increases lead and set to win Victorian Election with 3 weeks to go

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Morgan Poll Update – Page: Online : 10-Nov-14

An SMS Morgan Poll on state voting intention ahead of the 2014 Victorian election has found that support for the Australian Labor Party on a two-party preferred basis has risen by one per cent to 53.5 per cent. The poll, which was carried out from 7-10 November, also shows that support for the Coalition has fallen by one per cent to 46.5 per cent. However, Denis Napthine remains the preferred premier for 51.5 per cent of electors. Roy Morgan Research executive chairman Gary Morgan says the Victorian economy will be the key election issue

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ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET