REAL ESTATE – PRICES – AUSTRALIA

‘Bad enough now’: Property investor tax breaks soaring to $22 billion a year by 2035

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Original article by Matthew Elmas
The New Daily – Page: Online : 2-Jul-24

Parliamentary Budget Office data has revealed that property investors received $85 billion in tax breaks over the decade between 2014-15 and 2023-24. The PBO also found that the cost of negative gearing and capital gains discounts will jump to $165 billion over the next decade, with tax breaks to property investors to be worth $22 billion a year by 20235. Australia Institute senior research fellow David Richardson claims that property tax breaks will continue to push up property prices, with Richardson noting things are "bad enough now; he notes the cost of a median house in Sydney is around 13.5 times annual average weekly earnings.

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AUSTRALIA. PARLIAMENTARY BUDGET OFFICE, THE AUSTRALIA INSTITUTE LIMITED

Australian capital cities rank among world’s least affordable markets to buy a home

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Original article by Clint Jasper
abc.net.au – Page: Online : 14-Jun-24

The Chapman University Frontier Centre for Public Policy examined housing markets in 94 cities in eight countries in terms of their affordability for middle-income buyers. Hong Kong, Sydney and Vancouver were rated as the most unaffordable markets for those buyers, while Sydney, Melbourne, Adelaide, Brisbane and Perth all sit in the least affordable 25 per cent of cities The study concluded that the leading cause of unaffordable housing in the cities it studied were land use policies that artificially restrict housing supply, pushing up land prices, while it pointed to Singapore’s success in transforming a "desperate housing situation" in the 1960s to one of the most affordable markets in the report.

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CHAPMAN UNIVERSITY

House prices bounce in prestige suburbs

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Original article by Nila Sweeney
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 22-May-24

Data from CoreLogic shows that house prices in some of the more expensive suburbs in Sydney and Melbourne rose by up to seven per cent in the three months to April. The median house price in Sydney’s upper north shore suburb of Gordon increased by 7.1 per cent, after falling by 1.4 per cent in the previous three months. Melbourne suburbs that recorded strong price growth include Kew East, Brighton and Camberwell. Tim Lawless from CoreLogic says it is not surprising that house prices in premium suburbs have risen, given that they have fallen in recent months.

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CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

Unit values outpace houses in half of suburbs

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Original article by Nila Sweeney
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 32 : 3-Apr-24

Data from CoreLogic shows that growth in apartment prices outpaced detached homes in 633 out of 1,168 suburbs across Australia in the March quarter. This includes 77 per cent of Brisbane suburbs, 54 per cent of suburbs in Sydney and 50 per cent of Melbourne suburbs. Tim Lawless of CoreLogic says the outperformance of apartments could be sustained in the near- to medium-term, due to factors such as housing affordability and supply constraints. Buyer’s agent Amanda Gould says high interest rates are prompting some clients to opt for an apartment rather than a detached dwelling.

CORPORATES
CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

House prices could jump 5pc: McGrath

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Original article by Campbell Kwan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 & 34 : 20-Feb-24

Real estate group McGrath Limited has posted a 2023-24 interim statutory profit of $7.5m and underlying EBITDA of $4.8m. Meanwhile, CEO John McGrath says the prospect of interest rate cuts later in 2024 may boost prices at the lower end of Australia’s housing market by up to five per cent. He adds that interest rate rises have seen house prices in this segment of the market fall by around five per cent over the last 12 months. However, McGrath says prospective buyers of homes priced below $1m are likely to remain cautious about returning to the property market until interest rate cuts actually occur.

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McGRATH LIMITED – ASX MEA

Cooling inflation, stable rates may encourage buyers

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Original article by Nila Sweeney
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 & 30 : 7-Feb-24

Tim Lawless of CoreLogic says the Reserve Bank’s decision to leave the cash rate unchanged on Tuesday could prompt an upturn in house buying activity. He notes that house prices remain below their peaks in Sydney, Melbourne, Hobart, Darwin and the ACT; Lawless says that some buyers may capitalise on this to buy into the market before interest rates fall. Judo Bank’s chief economic adviser Warren Hogan says the rental housing market is still a major concern, while SQM Research MD Louis Christopher warns that rising rents could put upward pressure on inflation.

CORPORATES
CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, JUDO BANK PTY LTD, SQM RESEARCH PTY LTD

House prices could dip before next rate cut

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Original article by Nila Sweeney
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 32 : 30-Nov-23

Domain Holdings is upbeat about Australia’s residential market, forecasting that house prices will rise by seven per cent nationally in 2024. Dwelling prices in Sydney are tipped to rise by up to nine per cent, while prices in Melbourne are expected to gain four per cent. Nicola Powell from Domain says house prices could fall in early 2024, particularly if there is another interest rate rise and inflation remains high. Powell adds that dwelling prices could rebound if there is an interest rate cut later in the year.

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DOMAIN HOLDINGS AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX DHA

No housing crash, just a slowdown say economists

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Original article by Michael Bleby
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 28 : 8-Nov-23

PEXA’s chief economist Julie Toth says the latest increase in the cash rate is likely to result in a pause in house price growth, as was the case at the start of the current monetary policy tightening cycle. However, Toth does not expect house prices to fall, adding that the rate rise is likely to trigger a new wave of mortgage refinancing. Tim Lawless of CoreLogic says the 13th interest rate rise since May 2022 is likely to further dampen consumer sentiment; he notes that consumer confidence has been at "very pessimistic" levels for nearly 18 months and has a close correlation with housing activity.

CORPORATES
PEXA GROUP LIMITED – ASX PXA, CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

Homes in 33pc of Sydney now twice the price

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Original article by Nila Sweeney
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 32 : 23-Aug-23

Data from CoreLogic shows that the prices of homes in 12.1 per cent of suburbs across Australia have doubled over the last decade. However, the value of units has increased by a similar amount in just two per cent of suburbs nationwide. CoreLogic’s figures also show that house prices in 163 suburbs in Sydney have more than doubled in the last decade, led by South Turramurra with a gain of 151 per cent in the last 10 years. Meanwhile, Melbourne house prices have doubled in the Mornington Peninsula suburbs of Dromana, Frankston North and Sorrento.

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CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

Housing market on knife edge despite rate pause

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Original article by Nila Sweeney
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 & 32 : 5-Jul-23

SQM Research MD Louis Christopher expects sentiment in the housing market to remain cautious in the near-term, despite the Reserve Bank’s latest interest rate pause. He is of the view that sentiment will not improve until there is a longer pause. Shane Oliver from AMP Capital anticipates that any upturn in housing market activity arising from the second interest rate pause since April is likely to be temporary. He adds that further interest rate increases could put renewed downward pressure on house prices.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, SQM RESEARCH PTY LTD, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED