VICTORIA – POLITICS AND GOVERNMENT

Support for the Andrews Government up since the Victorian Election; Pesutto’s handling of Moira Deeming had a negative impact on his job approval as leader

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 24-May-23

A Roy Morgan Snap SMS Poll shows that support for the ALP Government in Victoria has increased to 61.5% (up 6.5% points since the 2022 state election) on a two-party preferred basis; support for the Liberal-National Coalition is on 38.5% (down 6.5% points). Primary vote support for the ALP has increased by 5.3% points to 42% since the election, while support for the L-NP Coalition is down 6% points to 28.5%. Support for the Greens is up 1% point to 12.5%, while support for other minor parties and independents attracts 17% of the vote (down 0.3% points). Meanwhile, Premier Daniel Andrews has a large lead over Opposition leader John Pesutto as the preferred Premier in the first head-to-head poll Roy Morgan has conducted between the two leaders. Now 64% of electors say Andrews would make the ‘Better Premier’, compared to only 36% who say Pesutto. Now 52.5% (down 5% points since November) of Victorian electors approve of the way Andrews is handling his job, while 47.5% (up 5% points) disapprove. In contrast, a majority of 53.5% of Victorian electors disapprove of the job Pesutto is doing, and only 46.5% approve. This Roy Morgan Snap SMS Poll was conducted from May 17-22, 2023, with a Victoria-wide cross-section of 2,095 Victorian electors aged 18+.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET

Heavy price as cash crisis crushes Victoria

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Original article by Shannon Deery
Herald Sun – Page: 7 : 24-May-23

Victoria’s Treasurer Tim Pallas says the Covid debt levies announced in the state’s 2023 budget are temporary, targeted and responsible. Victorians who own holiday homes and investment properties will pay a new land tax which is expected to raise around $4.7bn over the forward estimates period and will remain in place for a decade. There are fears that the levy will worsen the housing crisis by pushing up rents and deterring investment in the rental market. The government also expects to raise $3.9bn via a new payroll tax levy on businesses with a wages bills of more than $10m. The state’s own wages bill is forecast to rise by $5bn over the next four years, despite plans to shed up to 4,000 public sector jobs. Opposition leader John Pesutto says the budget is mean and nasty, adding that it shows that Victoria is broke.

CORPORATES
VICTORIA. DEPT OF TREASURY AND FINANCE, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA

Andrews’ secret Covid polling revealed

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Original article by Damon Johnston
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 8-Mar-23

Victoria’s Department of Premier & Cabinet has belatedly released nearly 200 pages of documents and emails pertaining to research on the public’s attitude to COVID-19 lockdowns. The polling was undertaken by QDOS Research, which is owned by Labor strategist John Armitage. The government had frequently reiterated that its pandemic response was shaped by health advice, but the documents also show that it asked QDOS to undertake intensive online surveys and focus groups to gauge Victorians’ reactions to pandemic restrictions, as well as the performance of Premier Daniel Andrews during the state’s marathon 112-day lockdown. The government had sought for two years to block requests for access to the documents via freedom of information laws.

CORPORATES
VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET, QDOS RESEARCH

Andrews denies sneaky document dump

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Original article by Rachel Baxendale
The Australian – Page: 6 : 21-Dec-22

The Victorian government has been criticised for tabling 265 reports during the first sitting of state parliament since the election on 26 November. Premier Daniel Andrews has defended the decision to release tens of thousands of pages of government documents just days before Christmas; he stresses that the reports are being tabled in accordance with the law, and notes that many reports had been tabled before his government went into caretaker mode. Opposition Leader John Pesutto has stressed the need for accountability, scrutiny and integrity in government.

CORPORATES
VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET

Andrews slugged by voters

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Original article by Michael Warner
Herald Sun – Page: 7 : 24-Nov-22

Ian Cook is among a large field of Victorian election candidates who are contesting the seat of Mulgrave, which has been held by Premier Daniel Andrews since 2002. Independent exit polling at Mulgrave’s only early voting booth suggests that there could be a shock swing against Andrews. Cook’s campaign manager Emily Coltraine says with that preferences factored in, the exit polls show that Cook has 57.2 per cent of the vote compared with 42.8 per cent for Andrews; however, the exit polls comprise a sample of just 159 voters. Coltraine says many electors are telling Cook that they support Labor but will not vote for Andrews. Cook’s catering business was forced to shut down after a local council health inspector allegedly found a slug on the premises.

CORPORATES
VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET

ALP fears for 10 seats amid late challenges as Victorian polling day nears

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Original article by John Ferguson, Angelica Snowden
The Australian – Page: 6 : 24-Nov-22

Labor strategists believe that the party could potentially lose 8-10 seats at the Victorian election on Saturday, and these seats are likely to be targeted by both major political parties in the final days of the election campaign. The loss of so many seats could reduce Labor to a minority government, as some of these seats are likely to fall to Greens and independent candidates rather than the Coalition. Meanwhile, the state government’s Suburban Rail Loop dominated the election on Wednesday, with the Opposition pushing Premier Daniel Andrews to release costings for the project.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA

ALP Government of Daniel Andrews set to win with a reduced majority as support for L-NP grows – but will the trend continue?

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 24-Nov-22

A special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Poll shows that the Victorian ALP on 55% (down 2% points since early November) has an election-winning lead over the L-NP Coalition on 45% (up 2% points) on a two-party preferred basis. The Poll shows a swing of 2.3% points away from the ALP since the 2018 Victorian Election in which the ALP on 57.3% defeated the L-NP on 42.7% (a near record margin of 14.6% points). Primary vote support for the two major parties shows the ALP now at 38% (down 4.9% points from the 2018 Election) ahead of the L-NP on 32.5% (down 2.7% points). Support for the Greens is at 12.5% (up 1.8% points) while total support for ‘Other parties and independents’ is now at 17% (up 5.8% points). There are many seats on tight margins that will be closely contested at the election. If the Roy Morgan Poll result of a uniform swing of 2.3% points away from the ALP to the Liberal-National coalition is the outcome this would lead to five or six seats being lost to the Liberal Party. However, even if the Liberal Party does pick up five or six seats from the ALP Government they may lose three or four seats to a ‘Teal Independent’ candidate elsewhere. This special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Poll was conducted with a Victoria-wide cross-section of 1,195 Victorian electors aged 18+ conducted from Tuesday November 22 to Wednesday November 23.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS

Victorians get poorer under Labor

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Original article by John Kehoe
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 10 : 23-Nov-22

Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that Victoria’s gross household disposable income per person was $52,488 in 2021-22, which is the second-lowest among the states and territories. Victoria’s gross household disposable income per person had been ranked fourth in 1999, and reached the third-highest in the early 2000s. Former federal Treasury economist Stephen Anthony says the state government has overseen a "pyramid scheme" built on high debt; he says it is very clear that Premier Daniel Andrews has destroyed living standards and been "fiscally profligate". Victoria’s net debt is forecast to rise to $166bn in 2025-26, which equates to 24.6 per cent of the state’s economy

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET

Greens reveal key policies ahead of Victorian election

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Original article by Mitch Clarke
Herald Sun – Page: Online : 16-Nov-22

Action on climate action and housing affordability are among the key demands that the Victorian Greens will seek in return for supporting Labor if it is unable to form a majority government after the state election. Amongst other things, the Greens would push for a total ban on onshore and offshore gas exploration and production, a statewide ban on logging in native forests, and capping rent increases in line with wages. Premier Daniel Andrews has consistently ruled out any deals with the Greens or independent candidates.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN GREENS, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET

ALP lead over Coalition in Victoria narrows since October and is back to 2018 Election result as minor parties surge: ALP 57% cf. L-NP 43%

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 14-Nov-22

A special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Poll shows that the ALP has retained a large election-winning lead over the Liberal-National Coalition in Victoria. The ALP is now on 57% (down 3.5% points since campaigning began) on a two-party preferred basis, well ahead of the L-NP on 43% (up 3.5% points). The two-party preferred results of this week’s Snap SMS Poll are almost identical to the results from the 2018 Victorian Election in which the ALP on 57.3% defeated the L-NP on 42.7% – a margin of 14.6% points. However, comparing the primary voting results from this Snap SMS Poll to the 2018 Victorian Election shows a large move to minor parties and independents – the same thing Roy Morgan saw at this year’s Federal Election. Primary vote support for the two major parties shows the ALP now at 40% (down 2.9% points from the 2018 Victorian Election) ahead of the L-NP on 29% (down 6.2% points). Support for the Greens is at 11.5% (up 0.8% points) while total support for ‘Other parties and independents’ is now at 19.5% (up 8.3% points). Among the minor parties support for so-called ‘Teal Independents’ is now at 4.5% while there is 1% support for Derryn Hinch’s Justice Party, 0.5% support for Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party and 13.5% support other minor parties and independents. This special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Poll was conducted with a Victoria-wide cross-section of 1,030 Victorian electors aged 18+ conducted from Wednesday November 9 to Thursday November 10.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, JUSTICE PARTY, UNITED AUSTRALIA PARTY