Original article by David Uren
The Australian – Page: 1 : 18-Dec-14

Every single one of the Australian Treasury Department’s four-year forecasts in Budget estimates since 2010 has had to be downgraded later on. The total amount involved is $A290bn, and the poor track record casts doubt as well on the latest prediction, made in the December 2014 Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook, that a surplus will be restored in 2019-20. In the agency’s defence, Deloitte Access Economics’ Chris Richardson notes that reliable forecasts have become very hard to achieve due to the nation’s exposure to commodity export markets for coal, iron ore and LNG

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AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. PARLIAMENTARY BUDGET OFFICE