Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Morgan Poll Update – Page: Online : 20-Jun-16

Roy Morgan’s 2016 seat-by-seat analysis of the Greens’ 20 best performing electorates at the 2013 Federal Election shows that the Greens will win the Inner Melbourne electorate of Batman from the incumbent David Feeney (Australian Labor Party) and the Greens’ one sitting Member, Adam Bandt, will retain his seat of Melbourne. Roy Morgan interviewed 6,283 Australian electors aged 18+ across the 20 electorates between January and 11-12 June 2016. Of the doubtful Labor seats it appears the Victorian seat of Wills has been saved following Labor’s preference swapping deal with the Liberal Party. In a seat being targeted by the Greens – the electorate of Grayndler in Sydney held by Labor’s Anthony Albanese – voting is similar to the 2013 election. His primary vote was in the high 40s in 2013 and the Greens were outpolled by the Liberals. Albanese is likely to retain his seat. In Melbourne Ports in 2013, Labor’s Michael Danby was outvoted by the Liberals but retained the seat because of Greens preferences. A switch in primary votes between Labor and the Greens could see the seat fall to the Greens, although Labor (33 per cent) retains a significant primary vote lead over the Greens (26 per cent) in Melbourne Ports.

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ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA