Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 7-May-19

For the third straight week the two major parties are locked in a tight contest with a slight edge to the ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49% on a two party preferred basis, according to a face-to-face Roy Morgan Poll conducted over the weekend of May 4/5, 2019 with a representative cross-section of 826 Australian electors. Primary support for both major parties fell this week, but there was no change to the close overall two-party preferred result. The L-NP now has a primary vote of 38.5% (down 1%) and is clearly ahead of the ALP on 34% (down 2%) while Greens support is up 1.5% to 11%. Support for One Nation is up 1.5% to 4% while support for Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party is up 1.5% to 3.5%. Support for Independents/Others is down 1.5% to 9%. The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has declined by 2.5pts to 99 with slightly more Australians saying Australia is ‘heading in the wrong direction’ than ‘heading in the right direction’. Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine says both major parties require a small swing to claim a workable majority of 77 seats in the expanded 151 seat Parliament, and with the tight nature of the race it could again be independents and minor party candidates who decide who will be Prime Minister after next week’s election.

CORPORATES
MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY, UNITED AUSTRALIA PARTY