Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 25-Jan-23

The latest Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll shows that support for the Labour/Greens coalition government was on 38.5% in December, down 19.4% points since the 2020 election. Support for Labour has fallen by 22.5% to 27.5% since the election in October 2020. Meanwhile, support for a potential National/Act NZ coalition government has risen by 16.3% points to 49.5% since the election. Support for the main opposition National Party is up 9.4% points to 35% and support for Act NZ has increased by 6.9% points to 14.5%. Support for the Maori Party has increased by 2.8% points to 4% since the election. In addition, 8% of electors support minor parties outside Parliament, an increase of 0.3% points since the 2020 election. If these results were repeated at this year’s election the National/Act NZ coalition would likely secure 65 seats in the new Parliament compared to 50 seats for Labour/Greens and a further five seats for the Maori Party. This New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 947 electors during December, prior to the resignation of Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating fell by a further 5pts in December to a record low of 75. The indicator is now down 78pts from January 2021 (153), just after the re-election of the Ardern Government.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, THE OPPORTUNITIES PARTY, NEW CONSERVATIVE PARTY