Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 21-Apr-23

A special Roy Morgan Snap SMS survey has found that 46% of Australians would now vote ‘Yes’ to establish an ‘Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice to Parliament’, down 7% points since December 2022. Some 39% (up 9% points) would vote ‘No’, and a further 15% (down 2% points) are undecided. If the ‘Undecided’ respondents are removed the split in favour of the ‘Yes’ vote is 54% cf. 46%. However, past experience shows that ‘Undecided’ voters are far more likely to end up as a ‘No’ rather than a ‘Yes’ vote. This trend has been observed even over the last few months as ALP and Greens supporters who were ‘Undecided’ have been far more likely to move to the ‘No’ vote rather than becoming a ‘Yes’ vote. Meanwhile, Support for ‘The Voice’ is virtually unchanged for ALP supporters at 75% (down 1% point since December) and Greens supporters at 89% (unchanged). In contrast, support for ‘The Voice’ has dropped among voters for the L-NP, One Nation, Independent and Other Parties since December. This special Roy Morgan Snap SMS survey was conducted with an Australia-wide cross-section of 1,181 Australian electors aged 18+ from April 14-18.

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