Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 29-Apr-25

If a Federal Election were held last weekend the ALP would have been returned to Government with an increased majority with the ALP on 53% (up 0.9% from the 2022 Federal Election) ahead of the L-NP Coalition on 47% (down 0.9%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. This result represents a two-party preferred swing of 2.5% to the L-NP Coalition compared to a week ago. Despite the large two-party preferred swing, primary support for the major parties was little changed with the Coalition on 34.5% (up 0.5%) now just ahead of the ALP on 34% (down 0.5%). Support for the Greens dropped 1.5% to 13% and One Nation increased 1.5% to 7.5%. This is not a ‘direct transfer’ of voting intention but indicates movement between the two major parties and the two key minor parties of the ‘left’ (Greens) and the ‘right’ (One Nation). An unchanged 11% support other minor parties and independents. Within that bloc, the largest support is for so-called ‘Teal Independents’ (2%) and Clive Palmer’s ‘Trumpet of Patriots’ (1.5%). These results take into account that minor parties and independents are not running in every seat.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY, TRUMPET OF PATRIOTS