Slow growth puts a brake on rate rises

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 17 & 26 : 7-Dec-17

The latest GDP data has prompted financial markets to price in an 84 per cent chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia will increase the cash rate by the end of 2018, down from 94 per cent previously. The economy expanded by a lower-than-expected 0.6 per cent in the September 2017 quarter, while year-on-year growth rose from 1.9 per cent to 2.8 per cent. Meanwhile, growth in household consumption slowed to just 0.1 per cent quarter-on-quarter in the three months to September.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Banks inquiry top concern of US investors

Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 21 : 5-Dec-17

Shares in Australia’s major banks have fallen in the wake of the Federal Government’s decision to hold a royal commission into the sector. Westpac CEO Brian Hartzer says the issue of a royal commission has been a key concern for US investors in recent weeks. Meanwhile, the Opposition and the Australian Greens have urged the Government to broaden the inquiry’s terms of reference.

CORPORATES
WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

US tax cuts may trigger as good as it gets sell-off

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 28 : 5-Dec-17

Tobias Levkovich of Citigroup still expects the S&P 500 to be trading at 2,675 points in December 2018, despite the passage of President Donald Trump’s tax cuts package. Citi’s forecast for the S&P 500 will be increased by just 3.7 per cent if the US corporate tax rate is reduced to 20 per cent. The firm believes that investors may choose to take profits if the tax rate is cut to 20 per cent, upon expectations that the market will not rise any further.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, CITIGROUP INCORPORATED

ASX may rise on GDP, iron ore and Trump tax

Original article by Timothy Moore
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 22 : 4-Dec-17

Futures pricing suggests that the Australian sharemarket may lose ground when trading resumes on 4 December. However, a number of factors bode well for the domestic bourse in coming days, including a rebound in the prices of key commodities such as iron ore and expectations that official data will show an improvement in the nation’s economic growth. Investor confidence may also be bolstered by the US Senate’s passing of tax cuts, while investors will also be awaiting the Reserve Bank of Australia’s last board meeting for 2017.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL BUREAU OF INVESTIGATION, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, BANK OF MONTREAL, CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED

Opportunity for financial planners to gain trust

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 1-Dec-17

The new 2017 edition of the Roy Morgan "Superannuation & Wealth Management in Australia" report has found financial planners need to gain a greater level of trust among Australians. Trust in financial planners for ethics and honestly has shown no real improvement since the survey began in 2009, declining by 2% points in the past 12 months to 25%, back to the 2009 level. The report suggests ongoing confusion about which financial planners offer independent advice may have a part to play in this issue. Despite low trust in the industry, those who purchase their superannuation through an independent financial planner/adviser are the most satisfied (71.3%). The next most satisfied group are those who purchased through an accountant, with a satisfaction level of 68.8% in the latest 12-month period.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED

ANZ fires staff over harassment

Original article by James Frost
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 18 : 30-Nov-17

The ANZ Bank has dismissed one of its overseas employees after he had sexually harassed a female employee from another bank. The incident occurred outside of work hours. His dismissal was reported to staff in an email from ANZ’s Kathryn van der Merwe; the same email also noted that other staff had been sacked for using illicit drugs at a work-connected event. Van der Merwe stressed in the email that ANZ staff could be dismissed for illegal activities, even if they occurred outside of work time.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

OECD urges RBA to start lifting rates

Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 29-Nov-17

The OECD expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to lift interest rates in the second half of 2018, even if the inflation rate remains within the RBA’s target of two to three per cent. The OECD argues that rates will need to be increased in order to address concerns about Australia’s debt levels and to dampen down its housing market. The OECD has also called on the federal government to stick to its goal of improving the budget.

CORPORATES
ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Sydney’s superstar house prices explained

Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 : 23-Nov-17

Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe says there are certain cities whose house prices increase a lot more than other cities in their countries. Lowe says this trend has been observed by his colleagues at other central banks, and the general consensus is that people are willing to pay higher prices for houses in some cities because of increased "economic or social returns" to be gained by living in them . Such places have been dubbed "superstar" cities, and Lowe says they include cities such as Sydney, Melbourne, Vancouver, Toronto, and San Francisco

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, ST GEORGE BANK LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN BUSINESS ECONOMISTS INCORPORATED, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

RBA governor Philip Lowe says banks needed push on interest-only lending

Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: Online : 22-Nov-17

Reserve Bank of Australia governor Philip Lowe says there is still a place for interest-only mortgage lending, but he believes the recent regulatory crackdown in this area has been a success. Speaking at the Australian Business Economists dinner on 21 November, Lowe said some banks had told him that they had welcomed the crackdown, which had prompted him to ask why they had not taken the initiative themselves and done something about it. Commenting on the prospects for the Australian economy, Lowe expects growth of above three per cent in both 2018 and 2019.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN BUSINESS ECONOMISTS INCORPORATED, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, AUSTRALIA. COUNCIL OF FINANCIAL REGULATORS

NAB and ANZ promise to be up front with employees over looming job cuts

Original article by James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 : 16-Nov-17

National Australia Bank expects voluntary redundancies and natural attrition to account for many of the 6,000 jobs it intends to shed over the next several years. CEO Andrew Thorburn has stressed the need for NAB to be completely open with staff regarding its cost-cutting strategy and the impact of technology on the sector. Kath Bray of the ANZ Bank has expressed a similar view, noting that staff have been fully informed of the kind of skills it requires in a downsized workforce. ANZ has shed more than 5,000 employees in the last two years.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NABAUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZAUSTRALIAN BANKERS’ ASSOCIATION