Slowdown in new vehicle buying intentions but increasing interest in Hybrids

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 27-May-19

Roy Morgan’s latest ‘Automotive Currency Report’ shows that in the March 2019 quarter 1.889 million Australians aged 14+ said they intend to purchase a new vehicle in the next four years, down 435,000 or 19.1% from the same time last year. This level is also well below the 17-year long-term average of 2.155 million. Although intentions are well down, an increasing proportion of intenders say that their next vehicle is most likely to be a hybrid, up to 10.1% (from 5.6% a year ago). In addition to weakening year-on-year levels of vehicle buying intentions, one-year intentions are down by 136,000 (22.2%) over the same time last year. Currently, 476,000 Australians intend to purchase a new vehicle in the next 12 months, well down from the 612,000 last year and the long-term average of 611,000. These low intention levels are a further indication that 2019 is looking not looking positive for new vehicle sales. The report is based on data collected from Roy Morgan’s Single Source Survey, which is from in-depth personal interviews conducted face-to-face with over 50,000 Australians per annum in their homes.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Intention to purchase new motor vehicles declining

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 18-Mar-19

Roy Morgan’s ‘Automotive Currency Report-Quarterly Detailed Report: December 2018’ shows that 2.125 million Australians intend to purchase a new vehicle in the next four years, the lowest level since November 2014 and below the 15-year long-term average. This represents a decline of 135,000 or 6.0% from December 2017. In addition, one-year new vehicle buying intentions are down by 61,000 (9.9%) to be currently on 553,000. Among intending new vehicle buyers over the next four years, there is an increasing level of interest in alternative fuels to petrol. The share of new vehicle sales in Australia in 2018 (VFACTS) that had petrol engines was 75.0%. This compares with only 61.9% among intending buyers over the next four years, who think that their next vehicle would most likely have a petrol engine. Alternatives to petrol all showed higher preference levels among intenders compared to their share of current sales. Diesel was 3.6% points higher among intenders (27.6%) compared to share of sales (24.0%), Hybrid (petrol and electric) was higher by 7.1% points (to 8.0%), fully electric higher by 2.0% points (to 2.1%) and LPG 0.3% points higher (to 0.3%). The report is based on data collected from Roy Morgan’s Single Source survey, which involves in-depth interviews conducted face-to-face with over 50,000 Australian consumers per annum in their homes.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Hybrid and fully electric vehicles now considered as serious alternatives to petrol

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 17-Dec-18

A Roy Morgan Single Source survey shows that 52.2% of Australian drivers would now seriously consider buying a hybrid vehicle, compared with 48.8% a year ago. Interest in buying a fully electric vehicle has increased from 31.6% to 36.2% over the last 12 months. The overall consideration for electric based vehicles (hybrid or fully electric) is now 56.1%, an increase from 52.4% last year and well ahead of the nearest alternative, diesel on 45.5%. Diesel and LPG had been seen as the main alternatives to petrol up to 2015, but both have shown a declining trend over the last three years. Meanwhile, an estimated 77.5% of vehicles currently run on petrol, but this is likely to decline as only 63.7% of drivers say that their next vehicle is most likely have a petrol engine. These are some of the latest results from Roy Morgan’s ‘Automotive Currency Report’, which is based on in-depth personal interviews conducted face-to-face with over 50,000 Australians per annum in their own home, including over 37,000 drivers aged+18.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Brisbane Broncos hold off Storm surge to lead again for NRL support

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 17-Sep-18

The Brisbane Broncos have again topped Roy Morgan’s annual National Rugby League supporter ladder with 1.09 million supporters (up 6.5 per cent on a year ago). It is followed by Melbourne Storm, which increased its support by 26.7 per cent to 1.05 million supporters. Seven NRL clubs increased their support in the year to June 2018, including the four most recent NRL Premiers. Roy Morgan is able to analyse the demographic makeup and intentions of NRL supporters across a vast array of important indicators, including the likelihood supporters of different clubs have of wanting to buy a new car in the next four years. A significant 19.9% of supporters of the Canberra Raiders plan on buying a new vehicle in the next four years, clearly higher than for supporters of the other 15 NRL clubs and well above the Australian figure of 11.9%. However, supporters of several other clubs have significantly higher intentions of buying cars in the next four years than the average Australian. These include the Parramatta Eels (17.2%), Melbourne Storm and Sydney Roosters (both 16.9%) and New Zealand Warriors (16.1%).

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, NATIONAL RUGBY LEAGUE, BRISBANE BRONCOS RUGBY LEAGUE CLUB LIMITED, MELBOURNE STORM RUGBY LEAGUE CLUB LIMITED, CANBERRA RAIDERS, PARRAMATTA EELS, SYDNEY ROOSTERS RUGBY LEAGUE FOOTBALL, NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS LIMITED

Roy Morgan new car purchasing intentions data foreshadowed slow-down in new car sales in July

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 8-Aug-18

Roy Morgan leading indicators report for car buying intention has been showing a reduced appetite for new car buying for several months – well before the latest new car sales data released from VFACTS this week. The motor industry’s statistical service VFACTS show Australian new car sales down 7.8 per cent in July 2018 versus July 2017. Roy Morgan’s two leading indicators – the intention to buy a new vehicle in the next 4 years and the intention to buy a new vehicle in the next 12 months – peaked in late 2017 and have declined through the first half of 2018. The most recent Roy Morgan automotive leading indicators release available in late June showed 2.268 million Australians intended to buy a new car in the next four years and 578,000 intended to buy a car in the next 12 months. Both figures showed a month-on-month decline although there are bright spots with the intention to purchase SUVs improving despite the decline in intentions for more conventional passenger vehicles. See more details on Roy Morgan automotive leading intentions here.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, VFACTS

It’s Official: Majority would consider a hybrid

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 16-Jul-18

A Roy Morgan Single Source survey has found that 51.6% of Australians aged 18+ "would seriously consider buying" a hybrid vehicle, compared with 48.7% three years ago. The greatest growth over the last three years came from interest in fully electric vehicles, which increased by 9.7ppts to 36.2%. Consideration for electric-based vehicles (hybrid or fully electric) increased by 4.2ppts to 55.7%. These are the latest results from Roy Morgan’s "Automotive Currency Report", which is based on in-depth personal interviews conducted face-to-face with over 50,000 Australians per annum in their own home, including over 37,000 drivers aged 18+.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

New car purchasing intentions moderating

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 2-Jul-18

A Roy Morgan Single Source Survey, which was carried out in the three months to April 2018, shows that 2.268 million Australians aged 14+ intend to purchase a new car in the next four years. This is a decline of 66,000 from March, but it still remains above the long-term average of 2.155 million. The number of Australian who intend to purchase a new car in the next 12 months has dropped from 612,000 in March to 578,000. These are the latest results from Roy Morgan’s "Automotive Currency Report" which is based on in-depth personal interviews conducted face-to-face with over 50,000 Australians per annum in their own home, with over 1,300 Australians intending to buy a car in the next four years.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

SUVs gaining popularity as new car buying intention softens

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 30-Apr-18

A Roy Morgan Single Source Survey, which was carried out in February 2018, shows that 2.23 million Australians aged +14 intend to purchase a new vehicle in the next four years. This is just below the same period in 2017 (2.55 million), the current record for intention to purchase a new vehicle. The number of Australians who intend to buy a new vehicle in the next 12 months has fallen by 90,000 in the last year, to 587,000. The survey also shows that 623,000 Australians intend to buy a new SUV/4FWD, five seater within the next four years, up 156,000 compared to the same period in 2017. Meanwhile, 483,000 Australians intend to by a four-door sedan in the next four years (down 109,000) and 319,000 intend to by a five-door car (down 180,000).

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

More than 2.2 million intend to purchase a new vehicle but what fuel?

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 16-Mar-18

A Roy Morgan Single Source Survey, which was carried out in the three months to December 2017, shows that 2.26 million Australians aged 14+ intend to purchase a new vehicle in the next four years. This compares with 2.29 million for the same period in 2016, which led up to the record new cars sales in 2017. A further indication that 2018 is looking very positive for new vehicle sales is the fact that the number of people who intend to buy a new vehicle in the next year has risen by 44,000 (7.7%) to 614,000. Meanwhile, there is an increasing level of interest in alternative fuels to petrol among Australians who intend to buy a new vehicle over the next four years. Only 61.9% think that their next vehicle will most likely have a petrol engine. Alternatives to petrol all showed higher preference levels among intenders compared to their share of current sales, with diesel 5.3% higher on 29.2%, hybrid (petrol and electric) higher by 4.7% (to 5.2%), fully electric higher by 3.0% (to 3.1%) and LPG 0.6% higher (to 0.6%).

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

2.23 million Australians drive diesel fuel vehicles

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 5-Feb-18

A Roy Morgan Single Source survey shows that 45% of Australians aged 18+ say they would seriously consider buying a diesel fuel vehicle, down from 50% two years ago. Meanwhile, 52% say they would consider buying a hybrid vehicle, ahead of electric vehicles (37%), and LPG vehicles (21%). Analysing Australians who mostly drive diesel fuel vehicles shows that 1.13 million reside in capital cities and 1.10 million in country areas, although the differing populations between the two means country Australians are 36% more likely to drive a diesel fuel vehicle than the average Australian. Nearly a third of Australia’s diesel fuel vehicles are driven by either semi/unskilled workers (18.3%) or skilled workers (14.4%), with both over-represented as drivers, while a further 22.5% are professionals/managers. Although farmers represent less than 2% of all diesel fuel vehicle drivers they are 185% more likely to drive a diesel fuel vehicle than the average Australian.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED