Business Confidence ended 2019 at an eight-month low of 104.5

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 21-Jan-20

In Australia, Business Confidence fell 3.9pts (-3.6%) to an eight-month low of 104.5 in December 2019, according to the latest Roy Morgan Business Single Source survey. Business Confidence is now 7.7pts lower than a year ago, and 10.8pts below the long-term average of 115.3. Only 40.3% (down 4.5ppts) of business leaders expect the Australian economy will have ‘good times’ in 2020, and just 42.2% (down 4.3ppts) expect ‘good times’ for the economy over the next five years. Meanwhile, Business Confidence was at 106.3 in the December quarter, down 6.8pts on a year ago but virtually unchanged from the March quarter (106.1). The boost given to Business Confidence following the Federal Election in May has well and truly worn off. Business Confidence was up on a year ago in only two States, WA and Tasmania, which now have the highest ratings among the States. The latest Roy Morgan Business Confidence results for December are based on 979 detailed interviews with a cross-section of Australian businesses from each State and Territory.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Business Confidence improves, up 2.4pts to 108.4 in November

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 10-Dec-19

In Australia, Business Confidence rose 2.4pts (+2.3%) to 108.4 in November 2019, according to the latest Roy Morgan Business Single Source survey. Driving the first increase since August was improving sentiment about the year ahead. Business Confidence is 5.4pts lower than it was year ago and 7pts below the long-term average of 115.4. Now 50.8% (up 9ppts) of businesses expect the business to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year, while 20.4% (virtually unchanged) expect the business to be ‘worse off’. Meanwhile, 44.8% (up 4.1ppts) of businesses expect the Australian economy to have ‘good times’ economically over the next year, while 50.8% (down 1.6ppts) expect the economy to have ‘bad times’. Some 49.0% (down 1.4ppts) of businesses say the next year will be a ‘good time to invest in growing the business’, while 37.9% (up 2.1ppts) say it will be a ‘bad time to invest’. The Roy Morgan Business Confidence results for November are based on 1,086 detailed interviews with a cross-section of Australian businesses from each State and Territory.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Federal Election bounce over – Business Confidence drops to lowest since April

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 12-Nov-19

In Australia, Business Confidence fell 4.6pts (-4.2%) to 106.0 in October 2019, according to the latest Roy Morgan Business Single Source survey. Business Confidence is now at its lowest level since the Federal Election in mid-May; it is also 7.1pts lower than a year ago and 9.5pts below the long-term average of 115.5. Now 41.8% (down 9.9ppts) of businesses expect the business to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year, while 20.3% (up 2.1ppts) expect the business to be ‘worse off’. Meanwhile, 40.7% (down 5.8ppts) of businesses expect the Australian economy to have ‘good times’ economically over the next year, while 52.4% (up 4.2ppts) expect the economy to have ‘bad times’. Some 50.4% (down 2.1ppts) of businesses say the next year will be a ‘good time to invest in growing the business’, while only 35.8% (down 2.8ppts) say it will be a ‘bad time to invest’. Roy Morgan Business Confidence results in October are based on 1,104 interviews with a cross-section of Australian businesses.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED

RBA urges boards: cut hurdle rates

Original article by Matthew Cranston
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 30-Oct-19

Reserve Bank of Australia governor Philip Lowe has used a speech in Canberra to argue that businesses should reduce their return hurdle rates on new investments in response to historically low interest rates. He contends that many business investments that did not make sense commercially when interest rates were much higher should now proceed. Lowe also emphasised that negative interest rates are unlikely in Australia.

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RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Support for business activism

Original article by Patrick Durkin
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 5 : 16-Sep-19

A Committee for Economic Development of Australia survey of over 3,000 people found that over 75 per cent believe business leaders should speak out on issues of national importance. However, under 50 per cent of those surveyed felt that such advocacy was happening. The CEDA’s survey results come at a time when the federal government has criticised business for getting involved in too many activist causes. Tim Reed, the outgoing CEO of MYOB, says companies are entitled to take part in "community conversations", while he says he is proud of MYOB’s stance on issues such as same-sex marriage.

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COMMITTEE FOR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF AUSTRALIA,{SHARE}MYOB GROUP LIMITED

Investment outlook clouded by global risks

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 25 : 30-Aug-19

Marcel Thieliant of Capital Economics expects the upcoming national accounts data to show that the Australian economy grew by just 0.2 per cent in the June quarter. This follows the release of data showing an 0.5 per cent decline in private new capital expenditure during the quarter; financial markets had anticipated an increase of 0.4 per cent. However, there has been a 16.7 per rise in capital expenditure intentions for 2019-20, with capex estimates in the mining sector revised upwards by 17.7 per cent.

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CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, BUSINESS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Business Confidence down slightly at 114 in July

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 6-Aug-19

In Australia, Business Confidence eased 0.7pts (-0.6%) to 114.0 in July 2019, according to the latest Roy Morgan Business Single Source survey. Business Confidence has now averaged 114.4 over the last three months, after an 11.2% jump in May. Business Confidence is now 0.4pts above its level of July 2018, but 1.6pts below its long-term average of 115.6. Now 53.9% (unchanged) of businesses expect the business to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year (the equal highest figure for this indicator since April 2018), while 19.8% (up 5.7ppts) expect the business to be ‘worse off’ financially this time next year. Meanwhile, 49.1% (down 0.4ppts) of businesses expect the Australian economy to have ‘good times’ over the next year, while 43.2% (up 3.5ppts) expect the economy to have ‘bad times’. However, 48.7% (up 7.5ppts) of businesses say the next year will be a ‘good time to invest in growing the business’, while only 38.9% (down 4.5ppts) say it will be a ‘bad time to invest’.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Business Confidence virtually unchanged at 114.7 in June

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 2-Jul-19

In Australia, Business Confidence rose 0.3pts (+0.3%) to 114.7 in June 2019, according to the latest Roy Morgan Business Single Source survey, after an 11.2% jump in May. Business Confidence has now increased to its highest level since May 2018 (117.1). Now 53.9% (up 9.4ppts) of businesses expect the business to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year (the highest figure for this indicator since April 2018), while just 14.1% (down 1.6ppts) expect the business to be ‘worse off’ financially this time next year (the lowest figure for this indicator since April 2016). Meanwhile, 49.5% (up 2.1ppts) of businesses expect the Australian economy to have ‘good times’ over the next year, while 39.7% (down 1.6ppts) expect the economy to have ‘bad times’. However, just 41.2% (down 10.1ppts) of businesses say the next year will be a ‘good time to invest in growing the business’, while 43.4% (up 7.4ppts) say it will be a ‘bad time to invest’.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Business Confidence soars 11% to 114.4 as L-NP win election and majority say now is a good time to invest

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 3-Jun-19

In Australia, Business Confidence rose 11.5pts (+11.2%) to 114.4 in May 2019, according to the latest Roy Morgan Business Single Source survey, in a month in which the L-NP Government was re-elected against the expectations of many. The increase was across the whole month, although the small proportion of interviews conducted after the election had a higher level of Business Confidence (118.4) than the pre-election period (113.5). The jump in Business Confidence in May is the biggest monthly increase since a 14.7pt (+12.3%) jump to 134.3 in September 2013, when the L-NP Government was first elected. Business Confidence is now only 2.7pts below its level in May 2018 and 1.3pts less than its long-term average of 115.7. Now 44.5% (up 9.3ppts) of businesses expect the business to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year, while just 15.7% (down 6.1ppts) expect the business to be ‘worse off’ financially. Meanwhile, 47.4% (up 6.4ppts) of businesses expect the Australian economy to have ‘good times’ over the next year, while 41.3% (down 6.6ppts) expect the economy to have ‘bad times’. Now 51.3% (up 3.6ppts) of businesses also say the next year will be a ‘good time to invest in growing the business’, while 36% (down 2.9ppts) say it will be a ‘bad time to invest’ (the lowest figure for this indicator since February 2018).

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Business Confidence up slightly in March at 106.7 (pre-Budget)

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 8-Apr-19

In Australia, Business Confidence rose 1.1pts to 106.7 in March 2019, according to the latest Roy Morgan Business Single Source survey. Business Confidence is now 8.7pts below its level of March 2018 and 9.1pts below its long-term average of 115.8. In addition, the average Business Confidence during the March quarter of only 106.1 is the weakest start to a year in the history of the Index. Now 49.6% (down 1.1ppts) of businesses expect the business to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year, while just 24% (up 0.2ppts) expect the business to be ‘worse off’ financially. Meanwhile, 45.6% (up 4.9ppts) of businesses expect the Australian economy to have ‘good times’ over the next year, while 48.6% (down 4.6ppts) expect the economy to have ‘bad times’. Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine says April and May are set to be dominated by the looming Federal Election, and the continuing political uncertainty is likely to prevent any significant moves either up or down for Business Confidence.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED