BUSINESS FORECASTING – AUSTRALIA

Sport can save free-to-air: Netflix founder

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Yolanda Redrup
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 28 : 24-Sep-18

Marc Randolph, the co-founder of subscription video-on-demand giant Netflix, says commercial free-to-air TV networks must adapt to changes in how consumers view content. Randolph notes that consumers increasingly prefer to binge-watch content such as drama; he has also stressed the importance of live content such as sports for traditional broadcasters, noting that viewers have not yet embraced such content via Netflix. Seven West Media CEO Tim Worner says that while live content is important for TV broadcasters, general entertainment remains a key element of the Seven Network’s programming.

CORPORATES
NETFLIX INCORPORATED, SEVEN WEST MEDIA LIMITED – ASX SWM, SEVEN NETWORK LIMITED, FOXTEL MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, NINE ENTERTAINMENT COMPANY HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX NEC, NINE NETWORK AUSTRALIA LIMITED, SINGTEL OPTUS PTY LTD, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, AUSTRALIAN FOOTBALL LEAGUE, NATIONAL RUGBY LEAGUE, OVO MOBILE

Fortescue flags earlier start for higher grade iron ore exports

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Peter Ker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 : 21-Sep-18

Pure-play iron ore producer Fortescue Metals Group has advised that it will begin exporting ore with an iron content of 60.1 per cent in December. Fortescue had previously expected to begin shipments of the higher-grade West Pilbara Fines product during the first half of 2019. Fortescue’s new Eliwana mine will be a key source of the new iron ore blend, and the company expects annual shipments of West Pilbara Fines to be around 40 million when production at Eliwana begins. Fortescue has forecast that it will export 5-10 million tonnes of West Pilbara Fines in 2018-19.

CORPORATES
FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG

Tariff war fuels LNG prospects

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Matt Chambers, Perry Williams
The Australian – Page: 17 & 20 : 20-Sep-18

Saul ­Kavonic of Credit Suisse says China’s move to impose a tariff on LNG imports from the US will make Australian-sourced gas more price-competitive. China has announced plans to subject US LNG to a tariff of 10 per cent, which will rise to 25 per cent in 2019, in retaliation for the Trump administration’s plans for similar tariff hikes on $US200bn worth of Chinese goods. The growing US-China trade war could also increase the likelihood that proposed LNG projects in Australia and Papua New Guinea will proceed.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, OIL SEARCH LIMITED – ASX OSH, RBC CAPITAL MARKETS, S&P GLOBAL PLATTS, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, PETROCHINA COMPANY LIMITED, IGM LIMITED, LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS LIMITED – ASX LNG, WOOD MACKENZIE, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO

Shutdowns to hit China coal hardest

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Peter Ker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 : 19-Sep-18

New Hope Corporation has posted a 2017-18 underlying profit of $253m, which is 96 per cent higher than previously. The result was underpinned by higher commodity prices and increased production. Meanwhile, CEO Shane Stephan forecasts that demand for Australian coal will remain strong over the next six months, despite looming industrial production cutbacks in China. He argues that the traditional winter shutdown in China primarily reduces demand for local rather than imported coal, which tends to be of higher quality.

CORPORATES
NEW HOPE CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX NHC, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO

Officeworks tipped for more growth

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Sue Mitchell
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 20 : 18-Sep-18

Wesfarmers’ Officeworks division posted earnings growth of 8.3 per cent in fiscal 2018, with sales rising by 9.1 per cent and return on capital up 13 per cent. MD Mark Ward is upbeat about the outlook for Officeworks, expressing confidence that it can maintain the recent growth momentum. Although Ward will retire in late 2018, Wesfarmers has yet to appoint a successor as it is focused on the upcoming demerger of Coles.

CORPORATES
OFFICEWORKS SUPERSTORES PTY LTD, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, COLES SUPERMARKETS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, GOOGLE INCORPORATED, ONTHEGO PTY LTD

Worrying sign investment has peaked

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Patrick Commins
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 8 : 31-Aug-18

The Australian Bureau of Statistics has reported that business investment fell by 2.5 per cent in the June quarter; economists had been tipping an increase of 0.6 per cent. Mining sector spending was down 7.2 per cent over the quarter, while non-mining investment declined by 0.5 per cent. However, companies increased their business investment forecast for 2018-19 to just under $102 billion, an increase of 16.1 per cent on the last forecast three months ago.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, TD SECURITIES, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, BIS OXFORD ECONOMICS PTY LTD

CBA may need a rethink on dividend

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Sarah Turner
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 30-Aug-18

Analysts suggest that the Commonwealth Bank may have to reduce its dividend payout if it proceeds with the demerger of CFS Group. Shareholders received a total dividend of $4.31 per share for the 2017-18 financial year, but Richard Wiles of Morgan Stanley estimates that this could fall to around $4 per share if its wealth management and mortgage broking assets are demerged. However, Andrew Martin of Alphinity Investment Management does not expect the bank to reduce its dividend in the near-term.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, CFS GROUP, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, ALPHINITY INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, CLIME ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, PLATYPUS ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC

Miners warn of graduate crisis

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Matt Chambers
The Australian – Page: 19 & 22 : 29-Aug-18

The Minerals Council of Australia has forecast that the number of mining engineering graduates will fall from 171 a year to just 47 between 2017 and 2020 due to a decline in enrolments. However, the MCA’s modelling suggests that at least 200 new graduates will be required each year to offset the number of mining engineers who exit the sector. South32 CEO Graham Kerr and Newcrest Mining CEO Sandeep Biswas are among the industry executives who have expressed concern about the long-term impact of the decline in enrolments for mining-related university courses.

CORPORATES
MINERALS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA, SOUTH32 LIMITED – ASX S32, NEWCREST MINING LIMITED – ASX NCM, DIGGERS AND DEALERS FORUM

NAB operations boss quits as Baird firms for top job

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 & 18 : 28-Aug-18

Former New South Wales premier Mike Baird is now regarded as the leading internal candidate to eventually succeed National Australia Bank CEO Andrew Thorburn. COO Antony Cahill had been seen as a potential successor, but he will leave the bank in mid-September to take up a role at Visa in the UK. Andrew Hagger was also regarded as a contender to replace Thorburn, but he attracted scrutiny by the banking royal commission over the fee-for-no-service scandal. External candidates are said to include former Westpac executive Jason Yetton.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, VISA INTERNATIONAL, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, SOCIETYONE AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, MLC LIMITED, PERPETUAL LIMITED – ASX PPT

Buyer eyes Fairfax Media events arm

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Joyce Moullakis, Max Mason
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 : 28-Aug-18

US-based Motiv has declined to comment on reports that it has made an informal approach to acquire Fairfax Media’s events business, which Macquarie Equities values at about $60m. Fairfax’s proposed merger partner, Nine Entertainment Company, divested its own events business in 2015. A Nine spokeswoman says it is too soon to comment on potential asset sales. There has been speculation that Nine could divest other Fairfax assets, including its regional newspapers.

CORPORATES
FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ, MOTIV, NINE ENTERTAINMENT COMPANY HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX NEC, AUSTRALIAN COMMUNITY MEDIA, STUFF LIMITED, MACQUARIE EQUITIES LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN METRO MEDIA, AUSTRALIAN COMPETITION AND CONSUMER COMMISSION, AFFINITY EQUITY, TEG PTY LTD